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What changed
CENTCOM destroyed five Iranian oil tankers on Tuesday, four in the Gulf of Oman and one near Kharg Island. Washington then warned Tehran would lose more tankers for every attempt on US warships. Jordan's military said it intercepted 18 of 20 Iranian missiles aimed at Al-Azraq air base.
9 September 2026
10 developmentsJordan's military said it intercepted 18 of 20 Iranian ballistic missiles fired at the Al-Azraq air base, with no casualties
Secretary of State Marco Rubio said Iran would lose tankers each time it attempted to strike US naval vessels
Amnesty International documented at least 41 civilian deaths in strikes on three Tehran neighbourhoods and asked for an independent inquiry
Qatar's foreign ministry said an average of ten commodity vessels a day transited Hormuz over the preceding ten days
CENTCOM said it destroyed five Iranian oil tankers, four in the Gulf of Oman and one near Kharg Island, and released video of one sinking
The Pentagon disclosed 26 further US service members wounded in action since early July under its overseas operations category
A Brown University tracker puts extra US spending on petrol and diesel since 28 February at $100.9bn, or $770 a household
The IRGC Navy told tanker crews near Kuwaiti and Bahraini ports to leave their vessels, saying the ships could be targeted
US officials said Iran attempted to strike the joint US-UK base at Diego Garcia, and that both missiles failed to reach it
Iran's security council secretary said an Oman-mediated temporary Hormuz shipping corridor is days away, with maps to be signed shortly
8 September 2026
20 developmentsThe US Treasury sanctioned Iran's remaining 27 airlines and revoked three authorisations covering overflights and US-origin aircraft
Brent crude traded above $99 a barrel on Tuesday, a second consecutive session higher and about $33 above the year-earlier level
The IRGC Navy said it captured a US autonomous underwater vehicle at the entrance to the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday
Trump posted that oil prices will drop "precipitously" when the US wins its war with Iran, to below $2 a gallon
Iran's third-tier subsidised petrol price doubled to 10,000 tomans a litre on Tuesday, with security forces posted at fuel stations
Turkey moved to sign a fertiliser-import memorandum with Russia, citing difficulty sourcing urea from Gulf producers
Houthi missiles and drones struck Aramco fuel terminals at Abha, Jizan and Najran and King Khalid Air Base overnight
Yemen's deputy defence minister said on state television that the government has decided to retake Sanaa from the Houthis
The Saudi-led coalition said Houthi attacks on civilian and economic sites inside Saudi Arabia had injured 73 people
Seven commodity vessels transited the Strait of Hormuz on Monday against eight the previous day, on Kpler tracking
An adviser to Iraq's prime minister said Baghdad is moving oil exports away from the Strait of Hormuz through pipeline diversification
The Houthi-run health ministry accused Saudi Arabia of an air strike on al-Hazm prison in al-Jawf that killed seven people
An Iranian negotiator said Tehran will abandon "proportionate responses" to US strikes, after six months of matched retaliation
Iran's president and parliament speaker think Tehran should negotiate an exit from the war before its bargaining position weakens
A UAE presidential adviser said the Emirates is building alternative export routes so it is not "held hostage" by the Iran war
Israel issued its third evacuation warning since the June ceasefire before a strike near Deir al-Zahrani that killed at least 11
Foreign ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei said an Iran-managed transit corridor agreed with Oman would be announced in coming days
Iran's security council secretary said Tehran will declare a maritime restricted zone starting at the US blockade line outside Hormuz
IAEA chief Grossi said the agency has had no field verification access in Iran for over a year, as its board weighs a European referral
Brent crude touched $97.29 a barrel on Monday, its highest in nearly seven weeks, after the weekend's strikes on tankers
7 September 2026
20 developmentsHormuz traffic fell to an average of ten vessels a day on Sunday, the lowest daily level since May, on Kpler tracking
The IRGC Navy said Khasab in Oman marks the end of the safe route for vessels crossing the Strait of Hormuz
A UAE presidential adviser said the country is expanding east-coast ports and pipelines to cut its dependence on the Strait of Hormuz
The United States is drafting a UN Security Council referral over Iran's nuclear non-compliance, backed by European IAEA board members
Saudi Aramco's 400,000-barrel-a-day Jizan refinery was struck again on 7 September, the second attack on the site this month
Iran's parliament speaker said US oil and gas facilities in the region are exposed and would be struck if Iranian assets are hit
Iran's foreign ministry said a Qatari delegation visited Tehran on 6 September to reduce tensions, separately from the Oman corridor talks
CENTCOM reported no coalition strike anywhere in the theatre over the 6-7 September reporting day, the first gap since 1 September
Iran and Oman are reported to be days from signing an agreement on a Hormuz transit corridor with Iranian-controlled entry points
AP put the toll from Sunday's Israeli strikes on southern Lebanon at seven killed, against Al Jazeera's later count of four
Iran's security council secretary said Tehran will declare a restricted maritime zone outside the Strait of Hormuz within days
Israeli strikes on Kfar Rumman in southern Lebanon killed at least nine overnight, with Lebanese and US outlets reporting up to twelve
Israel's military held an unannounced nationwide mobilisation drill, calling up commanders without warning and assessing reservists
A UKMTO advisory carried single-digit daily Hormuz transits from AIS tracking alongside US naval liaison data showing over 20 a day
The Financial Times reported a four-month covert US Navy SEAL operation clearing mines from the Strait of Hormuz
Brent crude settled at $96.82 a barrel on 6 September, more than 8% up on the week
CENTCOM's blockade tally reached 92 vessels redirected, three disabled and two boarded as of 6 September
An Iranian opposition compiler put the free-market dollar rate above 2.8 million rials, a record low against an official 1.6 million
The US Treasury designated an IRGC-Quds Force-managed global shipping network and issued a licence to wind down dealings with it
A recovered UKMTO advisory logged two tankers hit near Oman on 30 August, one left dead in the water, with no crew casualties
6 September 2026
20 developmentsLebanon's health ministry put the toll from Israeli attacks at 4,362 killed and 12,378 injured since 2 March
Israel said its artillery struck the outskirts of al-Rafid in southern Syria
Hezbollah launched two explosive drones at Israeli forces beyond the yellow line, the Israeli military said
An Israeli drone strike on a car in Nabatieh, southern Lebanon, wounded several people, Lebanon's national news agency said
US Energy Secretary Chris Wright said about 9 million barrels a day are transiting Hormuz, two-thirds or more of pre-conflict flows
CENTCOM spokesman Capt. Tim Hawkins called Iran's claimed strike on a US uncrewed surface vessel "a total lie"
Iran's foreign minister spoke by phone with his Turkish and Saudi counterparts on Saturday about the Hormuz standoff
TankerTrackers put Middle East crude exports 39% below the pre-war baseline in August, against 67% below at the May low
The IRGC said it attacked a remotely operated US drone boat approaching the Strait of Hormuz
CENTCOM released video showing an Iranian oil tanker capsized and sunk, one of three it struck off Iran on Saturday
Iran's chief negotiator Ghalibaf said the era of proportionate responses has ended and promised faster, more painful answers
The IRGC said it hit six vessels in the Strait of Hormuz with anti-ship missiles, a claim CENTCOM has not confirmed
A satellite-imagery review reports shipping at Iran's Shahid Rajaee and Imam Khomeini ports has fallen sharply since mid-July
The toll from the four-day Houthi offensive toward Bab al-Mandeb reached 189 killed by Saturday, up from 129 on Friday
Israel said its forces have taken the Ali Taher ridge in southern Lebanon, a hill Hezbollah has refused to cede to the Lebanese army
Iran told South Korea that sending military assets to the Strait of Hormuz would amount to joining the war against it
Israel's Knesset extended emergency call-up authority to 30 September, permitting up to 240,000 reservists
Fitch projects Qatar's economy will contract 18.8% in 2026, citing a 96% fall in LNG exports over six months of war
Trump repeated that the US may strike Iran's underground Pickaxe Mountain nuclear-linked site "very soon"
South Korea is weighing a Hormuz deployment of a naval support ship, P-8A patrol aircraft and about 150 troops
5 September 2026
20 developmentsLebanon's health ministry revised the toll from the 4-5 September Israeli strikes to four killed and 32 wounded
Israel struck Lebanon's western Bekaa for the first time since June, beyond the security zone it declared in the south
CENTCOM said US forces disabled two Iranian crude tankers off Kharg and Jask and destroyed a third in the Gulf of Oman
CENTCOM said the IRGC fired ballistic missiles at a US aircraft carrier and a destroyer, which evaded without casualties
The Pentagon polygraphed about 50 Joint Staff officers over leaks describing US munitions depletion, and found no leaker
Iranian state media reported several blasts near the Kharg Island oil terminal on Saturday, with no visible smoke
Israeli strikes killed three people and wounded 23 across southern and eastern Lebanon, Lebanon's health ministry said
Yemeni government warplanes struck Houthi positions in Taiz and Hudaydah, their first such strikes since July
The US, UK, France and Germany drafted an IAEA Board resolution referring Iran to the UN Security Council over NPT non-compliance
Trump said the US might soon strike the Pickaxe Mountain complex near Natanz, repeating a threat he made in July
The US State Department approved a possible $5bn sale of JDAM guidance kits and bombs to Saudi Arabia
Houthi forces attacked government lines in western Taiz and southern Hodeidah to seize high ground above Bab al-Mandeb
Iran's open-market rate slid to about 2,216,000 rial per dollar on Saturday, a record low for the currency
Fitch took Qatar off Rating Watch Negative but held its AA rating on negative outlook, citing continued Hormuz disruption
Iran extended its strikes on US-linked bases to Jordan, which said it intercepted 10 of 13 ballistic missiles entering its airspace
Trump said the administration is weighing whether to declare the war with Iran over
The US Treasury designated Turkey's Golden Global Bank and two subsidiaries over alleged dealings with Iran
Hedge funds raised bullish Brent bets to their highest level since May as the fighting resumed
About 5,000 oil trucks a day are crossing Syria from Iraqi refineries to the Mediterranean port of Banias
Netanyahu told Israeli commanders that toppling Iran's government is Israel's central mission and that the goal is within reach
4 September 2026
20 developmentsIran's Army spokesman said on state television that any Israeli attack would be met faster and more severely
Treasury Secretary Bessent said the US will impose new secondary sanctions each week, beginning with banks tied to Iran
South Korea's presidential office said it is reviewing a possible military deployment to the Strait of Hormuz, with nothing yet decided
Three senior Iranian officials told Reuters oil exports have fallen to about 260,000 barrels a day from roughly 1.7 million
Three of four weapons experts told Reuters the munition that hit Kohistak was more likely American than an Iranian interceptor
A second consecutive day passed with no reported new American strike wave against Iran
US diesel reached a record national average of $5.85 a gallon on 4 September
MEES estimated that about 6.5 million barrels a day of crude and products moved through the Strait of Hormuz in August
Brent crude was quoted at $95.23 on 4 September, easing after passing $97 earlier in the week
CENTCOM said it has redirected 87 commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz, up from the 86 it reported on 2 September
Kurdistan's counter-terrorism service said coalition air defences intercepted ten drones over Erbil, with no actor claiming responsibility
The IDF said it had cleared Hezbollah's Ali al-Taher Ridge tunnel complex in Nabatieh District after a roughly two-month siege
Iran's Red Crescent asked the International Criminal Court to investigate the Kohistak wedding strike as a possible war crime
IRGC spokesman Ebrahim Zolfaghari said on the record that new naval mines have been laid in the Strait of Hormuz
Vice President Vance said the US will not talk to Iran unless it stops shooting at commercial shipping
Iran's new Supreme National Security Council chief, the IRGC's Mohsen Reza'i, wants control of Hormuz restored before any talks
The Balochistan Human Rights Documentation Network named a fourth civilian killed at Kohistak, a 16-year-old hit by shrapnel
Iran's rial fell to a record 2.2 million to the dollar on 2 September, with economists putting inflation above 80%
Israel handed five Lebanese detainees to the Red Cross before talks in Rome, calling the transfer a goodwill gesture
US pump prices averaged $4.14 a gallon on 3 September, more than 30% above their level when the war began
3 September 2026
20 developmentsA US official told Al Jazeera that no US base in the region was hit in the overnight attacks, Kuwait included
Kuwait's Foreign Ministry called the strikes on its territory a flagrant violation of its sovereignty and international law
State broadcaster IRIB said a fifth person died of injuries from the 1 September strike on a wedding gathering near Sirik
Trump denied reports that US munition stockpiles are running low, calling the reporting 'actually treasonous'
Commerce Secretary Lutnick said 18 US service members have died in the Iran war, correcting his claim that there had been no deaths
Fortune's commodity tracker put Brent at $99.38 a barrel on 3 September, up 3.4% on the previous day's close
Iran's regular Army, not the IRGC, claimed missile and drone strikes on Kuwait's Ahmad al-Jaber airbase and a US-used base in the UAE
Iran's Health Ministry put the toll from the 1 September strike wave at 18 killed and 142 injured, without a civilian-military breakdown
Brent settled at $95.63 and WTI at $91.01, five-week highs, with the front month about $8 above the six-month forward
Trump said US forces had destroyed 28 Iranian ships in the Strait of Hormuz, a figure carrying no independent damage assessment
Rubio said of the scrapped June memorandum that 'that ship, in many ways, has sailed'
Israeli Defence Minister Katz said an Iranian attack would free Israel to strike all Iranian infrastructure, energy sites included
Four US government and industry sources told NBC News that Iranian-linked hackers have probed US water, telecoms and energy networks
Axios reported Iran has shown renewed interest in talks through Pakistani, Omani and Qatari intermediaries
Jordan's military said 13 Iranian ballistic missiles entered its airspace and 10 were intercepted, with no casualties reported
Iran struck or claimed to strike US-linked sites in Bahrain, Kuwait and Iraqi Kurdistan overnight on 1-2 September
Energy Secretary Wright told CNBC more than 17 million barrels transited Hormuz on 1 September, the highest daily volume of the war
Iran's rial fell to fresh lows, with the euro above 250,000 toman and the dollar near 219,000 on open-market tracking data
The IRGC claimed its missile strike on the US Marine site Camp Titin in Jordan killed American personnel, which Washington denies
A US official told Axios that drones struck the engine rooms of two Iranian government tankers under a policy Trump approved
2 September 2026
20 developmentsIranian media and the IRGC said at least 19 people, including soldiers, were killed across the 1 September US strikes
Maritime security firm Ambrey warned that coordinating Hormuz transits with Iranian authorities carries US sanctions-compliance risk
US Energy Secretary Chris Wright said a record 17 million barrels of oil transited the Strait of Hormuz on 1 September
US drones struck the engine rooms of two Iranian government tankers, the first such strikes in retaliation for attacks on shipping
Iran fired two drones at a US base in Erbil in Iraqi Kurdistan, both intercepted with no damage reported
Hormozgan's governor named four civilians it said were killed in a US strike on a wedding near Sirik, including a four-year-old
Iran's foreign ministry called the Sirik wedding strike a war crime and said Tehran would respond with firmness
Reuters reported senior Trump aides want to avoid further escalation with Iran until after the 3 November midterms
European gas rose above EUR69/MWh, its highest level since January 2023
The Financial Times reported Russia has covertly helped Iran develop a hypersonic cruise missile able to threaten US carriers
Kuwait and Bahrain said their air defences intercepted Iranian drone and missile attacks, reporting no damage or injuries
Jordan's army said it engaged 13 Iranian ballistic missiles, intercepting 10, with three falling in remote areas and no casualties
Trump said an agreement with Iran 'isn't worth the paper it's written on', rejecting Pezeshkian's offer to restore the June memorandum
CENTCOM said US forces struck IRGC air-defence, radar, maritime, mine-laying and communications sites across Iran on 1 September
Trump said 'the biggest attack of them all' is waiting in the wings if Iran retaliates again
Treasury Secretary Bessent said new sanctions on Iranian banks are likely 'this week and next'
Reuters reported no Iranian crude cargo has reached China since the blockade was reinstated on 14 July, seven weeks ago
The IAEA's quarterly report called with utmost urgency for access to Iran's nuclear sites, singling out Isfahan
Iranian crude and condensate loadings fell to about 220,000-255,000 barrels a day in August, from roughly 740,000 in July
France said the Security Council will vote on 17 September on renewing the Iran sanctions panel of experts
1 September 2026
20 developmentsIran's parliament speaker said Tehran would respond militarily if the US intensifies its economic and naval pressure
Security forces fired on jobseekers protesting hiring practices at sites in Gachsaran and Ahvaz, rights monitors said
Brent's prompt premium over the six-month contract widened to about $8.92 a barrel, the widest since 10 June
Two supertankers, including the Saudi VLCC Sidr, were struck by projectiles off Khasab within minutes of each other
Pezeshkian said Iran would reciprocate immediately if Washington returned to its commitments under the June interim deal
Oman's Sultan Haitham and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman held direct talks on Strait of Hormuz solutions
CENTCOM said it has redirected 84 commercial vessels, disabled three and boarded two under the naval blockade
Putin held his first bilateral with Pezeshkian since the war began and said Russia is providing the assistance Iran needs
A tanker was struck by three projectiles 17 nautical miles east of Khasab, Oman, during an outbound Hormuz transit, UKMTO said
Trump said at a White House press conference that he had ruled out using a nuclear weapon against Iran
UAE presidential adviser Anwar Gargash said the US-Iran memorandum failed to draw a practical roadmap and called for a broader approach
Pezeshkian met Modi at the SCO summit in Bishkek and said continued war serves neither Iran's interest nor the region's
Iran's national oil company and a US official said no strike hit Kharg Island, after Trump posted an AI-generated video of its destruction
US Army Secretary Dan Driscoll resigned effective 3 September, citing disagreements over Army transformation and readiness
A new pro-diplomacy party, Mahd-e Iran, launched, with Ali Baqeri disavowing a confrontation-building approach at the event
US petrol averaged $4.08 a gallon, with the daily national average holding above $4 every day in August, AAA data show
Treasury Secretary Bessent told the G20 he will announce secondary sanctions on banks dealing with Iran every week
Yemeni government forces said they destroyed four Houthi explosive boats near the Hanish and Zuqar islands
EASA extended all five of its Middle East conflict-zone airspace bulletins to 30 September and downgraded none
War-risk cover for Gulf voyages runs at 7.5 to 10% of hull value, against about 0.25% before the war
31 August 2026
20 developmentsThe US Army extended the 82nd Airborne Division's Middle East deployment to a full year, citing operational requirements
No vessel has struck a mine in the Strait of Hormuz, CENTCOM said, rejecting an IRGC claim that a supertanker caught fire on Monday
Trump said the US would hit Iran "hard" following the Iranian attacks on US forces in Jordan
Iranian outlets put the claimed death toll from Sunday's Larak Island attack at three, a figure no independent source has verified
Iran detained a bulk carrier in the Strait of Hormuz over an alleged oil discharge and handed the vessel to its judiciary
Iran's rial traded at about 2.1 million to the dollar on the open market, its weakest reading on record
Some Iranian missiles fired at Jordan on Monday were not intercepted, two Jordanian security sources said, reporting no casualties
Iran's army said it launched dozens of drones at the Al Minhad air base in the United Arab Emirates, a claim no other party has backed
The IRGC said it shot down a US MQ-9 Reaper drone over the Strait of Hormuz, which US forces have not confirmed
President Pezeshkian said Iran "is not looking for war", hours after the IRGC announced its retaliation against the bases in Jordan
Trump posted an AI-generated video captioned "STRIKE ON KHARG", depicting Iran's main oil export terminal being destroyed
Jordan's armed forces said they intercepted eight missiles fired at two US-linked air bases after the IRGC announced a retaliation operation
Brent crude rose about 1.2 to 1.7% to roughly $89 a barrel after the Larak Island strike, with WTI near $84.5
The UAE said its air force intercepted a drone approaching from Iran and that Al Minhad Air Base was not hit
Brent crude settled near $90.69 a barrel, up about 2.9%, after the resumed exchange of US and Iranian strikes
An Istanbul ministerial on Iran and the Strait of Hormuz, planned for 30 August, was postponed with no new date set
US forces struck two Iranian rocket launchers on Larak Island, the first acknowledged US attack on Iranian forces since late July
A tanker was struck by an unattributed projectile about 12 nautical miles north of Khasab, Oman, with no casualties reported
An activist channel reported that a Revolutionary Court in Isfahan sentenced 10 protesters to death and six to prison terms
Two outlets reported a split in Tehran between officials favouring a phased Hormuz reopening and hardliners opposed to talks
30 August 2026
20 developmentsIran's armed forces said they had confronted 30 vessels crossing the Strait of Hormuz outside its approved route since 22 August
The conflict-data project ACLED recorded no strike events by either side for a second consecutive reporting window
A senior Iranian official told state agencies to streamline customs at Norduz, the country's only land crossing with Armenia
Mojtaba Khamenei published a written message to Gulf and Muslim rulers, his first substantive statement since being injured in February
Iran said its Hormuz transit understanding with Oman takes effect only once Washington meets its Islamabad memorandum commitments
Iran's president said implementing the Islamabad memorandum serves Iran's own interests, not only Washington's
CENTCOM's public-release index lists no strike announcement since 29 July and no entries of any kind after 5 August
Iran's statistics agency put headline inflation at 89%, with food and beverage prices up 127.5% year-on-year
Currency trackers in Iran quoted 207,000 to 208,000 toman per dollar on Sunday, a spread of roughly 1,000 between sites
Iran's largest commercial port reported a sharp decline in activity under the US naval blockade, without publishing a baseline figure
The US Treasury sanctioned Hong Kong-based Kameng Trading for allegedly laundering funds for a designated Iranian exchange house
The rial traded at 206,000 toman to the dollar on the open market, down from about 204,000 toman days earlier
An Iran-aligned Iraqi faction set full US and Turkish withdrawal as its price for joining Baghdad's weapons-collection process
Gulf oil flows were put at about 40% of pre-war levels, against a separate estimate of roughly two-thirds
State-run press reported a daily petrol shortfall of about 14 million litres, with officials publicly split over raising prices
Iran's crude loadings fell to about 260,000 barrels a day in August, against 1.7m barrels a day a year earlier
US petrol averaged $4.09 a gallon on 29 August, 88 cents above the same week a year earlier
Russia's foreign ministry said Moscow will coordinate with Iran and others to counter US sanctions, without naming any measure
The US State Department began a phased return of diplomats to Middle East embassies, capping staffing at 75 to 85% in seven countries
OFAC suspended five Iran general licences, including personal remittances and educational activity, with an 8 September wind-down
29 August 2026
20 developmentsAn MP on Iran's parliamentary energy commission attributed nationwide petrol queues to continued drawdown of fuel reserves
Pezeshkian said Iranian imports and exports have fallen between 25% and 35% in recent months under the blockade and sanctions
Supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei ordered the government to phase the US dollar out of Iran's economy, with inflation at 66% a year
The IRGC Navy said vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz without prior coordination with Iran will not be allowed through
Pezeshkian said Hormuz could open if Washington implements the 17 June Islamabad memorandum
CENTCOM said it has rerouted 82 vessels, disabled three and boarded two since the naval blockade resumed
Israeli aircraft, drones and artillery struck at least six locations across south Lebanon, Lebanon's state news agency reported
The IMO said about 400 ships and 6,000 crew remain stranded in the Gulf six months into the war
A written statement issued in Mojtaba Khamenei's name, with no video or photograph attached, banned acts that harm social cohesion
Lloyd's List Intelligence counted 114 Hormuz transits in the week to 23 August, up from 88 the week before
Hezbollah leader Naim Qassem rejected the Israel-Lebanon framework and refused any verification mechanism
Iraq's national security adviser said 30 September is the date for the international coalition to leave, not a militia disarmament deadline
The White House said no talks with Iran are under way, six months after the war began
US Treasury proposed cutting a UAE branch of Banque Misr off from American correspondent banking over $1.8bn in Iran-linked transfers
Kpler counts about 20 million barrels of Iranian crude sitting on tankers awaiting discharge, mainly in China
Iran will not reopen Hormuz until the US ends the blockade, lifts sanctions, unfreezes assets and pays reparations, Mohsen Rezaei said
Iran's foreign ministry told all governments they are obliged to refrain from implementing the new US sanctions
Of more than 200 mine-like objects swept from the Hormuz shipping lane, 11 were confirmed mines, US and Israeli officials said
Iran's rial fell 9.4% in under two weeks to a record 204,000 tomans to the dollar on the open market
Qatar's prime minister met Iran's president and foreign minister in Tehran to discuss a joint shipping corridor and mine clearance
28 August 2026
20 developmentsFive commodity vessels transited the Strait of Hormuz on Thursday, against 17 the day before and a 10-day average of 15
CENTCOM's commander says US forces have cleared Iranian sea mines from the Strait of Hormuz's recognised transit routes
Iran's security council secretary says Iran will target US economic interests in the region if the naval blockade continues
CENTCOM says Iran has exported no oil since mid-July, while Iran's oil minister says reduced deliveries continue
Trump declined to rule out sanctioning Chinese banks over Iran trade while saying Russia has "behaved rather well"
Iran's deputy foreign minister said US Navy mine-detection vessels in the Strait of Hormuz would be "very good targets"
The US Treasury cut the UAE operations of Egypt's Banque Misr off from dollar access over alleged Iran sanctions evasion
Commercial tanker tracking put Iran's August crude loadings near 250,000 barrels a day, against the US military's claim of zero
China's crude purchases from Iran fell to about 534,000 barrels a day in August from 823,000 a day in July
Gulf-to-China supertanker charters were fixed near $647,000 a day, against $20,000 to $40,000 before the conflict intensified
QatarEnergy extended force majeure on LNG shipments and cancelled five cargoes due between late September and early November
At least 7,900 people have been killed since the war began on 28 February, on national health ministry and ACLED figures
The CIA director made an unannounced Moscow trip to press Russia to cut its economic and military support for Iran
The US Treasury secretary will press G20 finance ministers at the Asheville summit to cut what Washington calls Iran's illicit revenue
Continued Iranian targeting of transiting vessels jeopardises progress on reopening Hormuz, Oman's foreign ministry warned
Deputy foreign minister Kazem Gharibabadi said a temporary Hormuz route would run through Iranian waters under partial Tehran control
Greek-operated and Saudi air defences shot down a drone swarm near oil infrastructure at Yanbu on the Red Sea
Qatar's prime minister met four of Iran's most senior officials in Tehran and pressed for freedom of navigation through Hormuz
An Israeli strike on the Nabatieh area killed a woman who had been married two days earlier, Lebanon's news agency said
Iran holds more than 80 million barrels outside the blockade zone, assessed as five to six months of remaining revenue
27 August 2026
20 developmentsIran's deputy oil minister says about 40% of the South Pars gas field damaged in a March airstrike has been restored
ACLED coded two Iranian strike events for 26-27 August, its first non-zero count since 10-11 August, with US-Israeli events at zero
Israeli strikes in south Lebanon killed a woman, Lebanon's state news agency says, after Hezbollah flew two drones at Israeli troops
The USS Theodore Roosevelt carrier strike group will deploy to the Middle East for at least seven months, naval officers said
Qatar's prime minister raised a phased Hormuz framework and a joint mine-clearing project with Iran's foreign minister in Tehran
The White House press secretary says no US-Iran negotiations are happening or scheduled and that all options remain open
US military leaders plan to meet European counterparts on a Hormuz security mission once a deal is struck, unnamed sources say
Two drones of unconfirmed origin struck facilities of Iranian-Kurdish opposition parties in Iraq's Erbil governorate
A senior Iranian source tells Reuters no Iran-Oman accord on the Strait of Hormuz is final, hours after the IRGC said terms were agreed
Brent traded near $88 on 27 August, leaving the week's cumulative fall above 7%
France told its operators not to enter the airspace of Bahrain, Kuwait and Jordan, its top avoidance category
Five commodity vessels transited Hormuz on 25 August, against a ten-day average of fifteen
Iran's deputy foreign minister puts the Hormuz corridor agreed with Oman at seven nautical miles wide, with the southern route closed
Trump says he will impose "crushing measures" on Iran and that he is not in a hurry to negotiate
The foreign ministers of Oman, Qatar and Iran held a closed trilateral meeting in Tehran on the US-Iran talks
Iran's atomic energy chief says the IAEA may not inspect strike-damaged nuclear sites until a new wartime protocol is written
An Iranian army spokesperson says Iran has moved to an offensive posture that includes preemptive strikes on US assets
Iran sentenced two more detainees from the January protests to death, a rights documentation network reports
Qatar's LNG exports have fallen 96% since the war began on 28 February, at an estimated cost of $24bn
Iran's Fars news agency says an Iranian warship confronted an Indian vessel attempting to transit Hormuz
26 August 2026
20 developmentsThe latest sanctions round targets about 60 people, firms and tankers tied to Iran's shadow fleet, most managed by Chinese companies
Iran's IRGC says its talks with Oman produced agreements on each country's share of the strait's waters and its revenues
Qatar's prime minister is reported to be travelling to Tehran on 27 August for talks on regional tensions
Conflict monitors recorded no strike by or against Iran overnight, extending the pause to a twenty-seventh consecutive night
Oman and Iran agreed the text of a phased plan for a temporary Hormuz corridor and a joint mine-clearing project, Albusaidi said
Two rights monitors documented at least fifteen executions in Iranian prisons between 18 and 25 August
Trump says he does not believe Iran's supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei is dead, describing him as very seriously wounded
Unnamed sources say Iran's fuel reserves could run dry within weeks
Brent crude softened further to about $87.41 a barrel, down $2.80 from the previous morning
The IDF struck southern Lebanon several times overnight, with no target, casualty or damage detail reported
Trump says all mines have been removed or detonated within the international waters of the Strait of Hormuz
Two US officials say the mine clearance leaves the draft Iran-Oman corridor deal far less relevant to Washington
Iran's Mohsen Rezaei told Pakistan's Munir that Tehran distrusts America and that it must change its behaviour
Rubio privately told allied foreign ministers the US will refrain from renewed strikes on Iran for the time being
Trump said Iran was formally notified that any vessel laying new mines will be immediately and systematically destroyed
An IRGC-linked outlet urged Iran to move from reactive defence to active deterrence and strategic initiative
The State Department offered rewards of up to $10 million for information on five senior IRGC commanders
Iran's central bank injected $500 million in foreign-currency banknotes and curbed currency and gold speculation
Petrol stations across Tehran closed after running out of fuel, and officials said quotas will be cut
The tanker disabled off Oman is the Greek-managed Metro Venetian, which regained propulsion and reached Fujairah
25 August 2026
20 developmentsTrump said the US Navy has removed or detonated every mine in the international waters of the Strait of Hormuz
Pakistan's interior minister said the Munir mission ended with "significant progress" on de-escalation and reopening Hormuz
Oil hit a one-week low on 25 August, with WTI down 3.14% to $82.34 a barrel
Two commodity tankers transited the Strait of Hormuz on 24 August, the lowest daily count since early May
Pakistan's Munir carried a US offer of sanctions relief and an end to the naval blockade in return for reopening Hormuz
Iran's economy minister said Washington "should expect an attack from our side as well" over the sanctions campaign
Dozens of Chinese and Hong Kong companies were named in the US Treasury's Iran sanctions package
China's foreign ministry said it will take "all necessary measures" to safeguard its interests against the US sanctions
Oman's foreign minister met Araghchi in Tehran to discuss a designated safe-passage waterway through the Strait of Hormuz
Pezeshkian told Pakistan's Field Marshal Munir in Tehran that US "coercion and bullying" will complicate any talks
UKMTO reported a tanker disabled by an unknown projectile off Ash Shishah, Oman, after damage to its engine room
The US Treasury sanctioned 60 people, firms and vessels and opened five sectors of Iran's economy to non-US designations
Pentagon chief Hegseth said sanctions pressure will leave Iran no choice but to return to nuclear talks
The Houthis said they struck the Saudi state-owned tanker Amzan with a ballistic missile off Yanbu in the Red Sea
Iran's security council secretary Rezaei threatened to halt oil exports from the whole Persian Gulf, not only through Hormuz
Rezaei said neighbouring states backing the US campaign would be treated as enemies, calling such support an act of war
Brent crude fell about 2.5% to $92.06 a barrel on 24 August, ending a two-week rally
A voyage through the Strait of Hormuz now costs about $20 million per supertanker, TotalEnergies chief executive Patrick Pouyanné said
Iran's crude exports to China ran near 534,000 barrels a day in August, against about 1.4 million a day averaged in 2025
Iran's rial fell to a record low of about 2.02 million to the dollar on the parallel market
24 August 2026
20 developmentsIran's chief negotiator Ghalibaf told Pakistan's army chief in Tehran that US breaches of the June memorandum blocked regional stability
US Treasury will ask governments to close Iran's remaining banking and third-country lifelines, a senior administration official said
An IRGC spokesman said any attack on Iran's infrastructure would bring heavy strikes on US energy sites and interests
Iran said it has blacklisted 45 tankers for breaching its Hormuz transit rules and warned of action against future transits
Two Israeli air strikes hit al-Mansouri and its surroundings in the Tyre district of southern Lebanon
Iran's security chief said Tehran would join the Saudi-Turkey-Pakistan Mecca Pact only as a founding partner setting its principles
Iran's police command said it seized 997 Starlink terminals and made 163 arrests over satellite internet equipment
Kpler data show 13 vessels transited the Strait of Hormuz on Saturday and four on Sunday, against 16 on Friday
Iran's foreign ministry said Pakistan's defence chief Asim Munir would travel to Tehran on 24 August for talks
Iraq's national security adviser said Baghdad has proposed a joint Saudi-Iranian security coordination council
Brent crude fell about 1.2% to $93.22 a barrel in early trading, ahead of the US sanctions announcement
A projectile struck a Saudi-operated tanker 63 nautical miles west of Yanbu and set fire to its main deck
China and Jordan jointly called for Strait of Hormuz shipping to return to normal after talks between Xi Jinping and King Abdullah
Bessent said maximum economic pressure will likely mean no immediate return to large-scale military action against Iran
Iran's parliamentary security committee approved Article 3 of a bill charging vessels fees for Strait of Hormuz transit
Security council secretary Mohsen Rezaei called third-country support for the US economic campaign an act of war
Iran's government is weighing petrol at about 872,000 rials a litre, nearly 60 times the lowest subsidised tier
Iranian food inflation was reported above 128%, with consumer prices up 88% year on year
Iran announced a natural-gas discovery of more than 7.5 trillion cubic feet
Iran executed Majid Adineh over the January 2026 Karaj protests, the 29th protester execution by one independent count
23 August 2026
20 developmentsIran's rial fell to a record low past 2,000,000 to the dollar, down more than 7% in under a week
Iraqi officials asked for special Strait of Hormuz transit arrangements during a visit by Iran's parliament speaker
Mossad director Roman Gofman met Syria's foreign minister on 23 August to lower tensions after an Israeli strike
Windward estimates 62% of about 430 tankers active in the Iran trade broadcast false registry flags
Pezeshkian told Iran's security council the US memorandum contains "not a single provision" of capitulation
About 40 tankers carrying some 16 million barrels transited Hormuz's southern channel on the night of 21 August
Iran executed Majid Adineh, a January protest detainee, after the Supreme Court upheld his death sentence
A live check of US Central Command's public release log on 23 August found no strike release since 29 July
An Israeli strike was reported in southern Lebanon's Ali Taher area early on 23 August, with no Israeli confirmation
Trump said Iran wants an agreement but is not ready for the right deal, citing Iranian inflation of roughly 350%
The US Treasury has scheduled a new Iran sanctions announcement for 1800 GMT on Monday 24 August
Bessent's Monday sanctions package will reportedly reach buyers in China, India, Turkey and the UAE
Floating storage of Iranian crude outside the blockade zone fell to about 80 million barrels from roughly 105 million
Iran's security council secretary said Tehran could act against alternative Gulf oil-export routes if neighbours back US pressure
Ghalibaf said Iran has received messages from neighbouring countries about new regional security and economic arrangements
Iran's foreign ministry said deputy-minister talks with Oman on Strait of Hormuz transit ran in Tehran on 21 and 22 August
Iran's defence ministry said production of strategic weapons and ammunition more than tripled during the 40-day war phase
Iran asked Qatar to move detained Iranian pilots to a land hospital, saying they are held at sea in poor health
Trade-flow data put China's August intake of Iranian crude near 534,000 barrels a day against a 1.4m average in 2025
IRGC-aligned outlets and Commander Ahmad Vahidi's faction publicly rejected concessions to Washington on 21 August
22 August 2026
20 developmentsUS envoy Tom Barrack said Israel struck a Syrian airbase without warning Ankara, which considered scrambling fighter jets
Iran granted several Iraqi oil tankers permission to transit the Strait of Hormuz, Iranian state media reported
The US Energy Secretary said the Navy is helping ship an average of 8 million barrels of oil a day past the strait
Brent crude settled near $93.87 a barrel on 21 August, a second consecutive weekly gain of about 6%
UKMTO research puts Strait of Hormuz commercial traffic near 20% of pre-war levels, with daily transits in single digits
Oman's and Iran's foreign ministers held a phone call on restoring freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz
Iran's foreign minister said the US sanctions package is "bound to fail", listing three earlier pressure campaigns that did
Rubio met Oman's ambassador in Washington, four days after Trump threatened military action if Muscat got in the way
CENTCOM said US forces have redirected 68 commercial vessels, disabled three and boarded two under the blockade
The Israeli military said it struck a target at Beit Jinn in southwestern Syria on 22 August
President Pezeshkian said Iran should end the war now, from what he called a position of power and dignity
Pentagon casualty reporting puts US losses in the war at 18 service members killed and more than 750 wounded
US pump prices held near $4.06 to $4.11 a gallon, about 35% above pre-war levels
US Central Command said more than 20 warships now support its blockade of shipping, a force figure not previously stated
Conflict monitors recorded no strikes by or against Iran, extending the pause to a 22nd consecutive night
The US naval blockade has brought Iranian crude exports to a halt, with gasoline imports also down
Trump said the United States views the Strait of Hormuz "as an American territory", a claim two Iranian officials rejected
Iraq's prime minister sent his oil and finance ministers to Riyadh to press for a higher OPEC production quota
The US Treasury waiver authorising dollar sales of Iranian crude reached its expiry on 21 August, with no renewal announced
Treasury Secretary Bessent said that under maximum economic pressure there will not be a large-scale kinetic response
21 August 2026
20 developmentsCENTCOM said US forces have assisted the passage of 660 million barrels of oil through Hormuz since May, aboard about 1,300 vessels
Houthi forces said they struck an Aramco facility and Najran airport in Saudi Arabia with drones, a claim Riyadh has not addressed
Iranian oil offers to China for September and October delivery have fallen and prices have risen as the naval blockade cuts shipments
Israeli air strikes and artillery hit three areas of southern Lebanon overnight into 21 August, with no casualty figures reported
Seven commodity vessels transited the Strait of Hormuz on 20 August against 14 the day before, with no supertankers or LNG carriers recorded
The USS Abraham Lincoln left the theatre after nine months and the USS George Washington took over carrier presence under CENTCOM
Brent traded near $94 to $95 a barrel on 21 August, extending a second consecutive weekly gain of roughly 6%
Beijing said US sanctions and pressure will not help resolve the conflict, answering the measures Bessent threatened this week
Iran's president said it would be better to end the war today, arguing Tehran still holds "power and dignity"
Iran's armed-forces chief of staff said any new US action would meet a "crushing, punishing and devastating" response
Ghaem Hosseini was hanged in Isfahan on 20 August, the fifth protester executed over the Alikhani Square case
Bessent said maximum economic pressure makes a large-scale return to strikes unlikely, casting sanctions as a substitute
Six armed men boarded a tanker about 136 nautical miles east of Al Mukalla on 20 August and redirected it toward Somalia
Bessent warned that any country providing Iran a financial lifeline will itself face economic consequences, naming China among the targets
The tanker AMARA, boarded by Iranian forces near Qeshm Island around 17-18 August, has been reclassified as seized after showing no movement
Trump has begun threatening Oman, the principal mediator on Strait of Hormuz talks, and other Gulf allies as the war passed six months
The EPA cleared early sales of winter-blend gasoline from 1 September, citing fuel costs driven by the Iran conflict
The US Treasury re-designated Hezbollah as acting under the command of Iran's IRGC Quds Force
More than two dozen Russian-flagged ships delivered drone components, ammunition and TNT to Iran's Amirabad port
Iranian planners assessed possible strikes on US assets in Bulgaria and Cyprus, two unnamed insiders said
20 August 2026
20 developmentsBrent crude closed at $93.01 on 20 August, up 1.5% on the day, after an intraday print of $95.40
Of 112 crude, LPG and LNG vessels crossing Hormuz from 1 to 19 August, 89 went dark or unclassified
Iran hanged Ghaem Hosseini, an Afghan national, in Isfahan, the fifth defendant executed over the January 2026 protests
Syria and Turkey denied the Turkish deployment Israel cited to justify its 18 August strike on the Abu al-Duhur airbase
Sources conflict on the US licence for Iranian oil sales: some put its expiry at 21 August, others say it was revoked on 7 July
Iran's foreign minister dismissed the US economic campaign as a diversion from America's own debt and interest costs
A former Central Bank of Iran adviser said the UAE embargo could deepen Iran's contraction to about 5% this year
A previously unregistered attack on a bulk carrier in the Strait of Hormuz on 18 August left one crew casualty, logged as Warning 116-26
Iran's supreme leader ordered commanders to prepare large-scale offensive operations, shifting declared doctrine from retaliation to offence
Six commodity vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on 18 August, against a 10-day average of eleven
Trump threatened consequences for any country providing Iran a financial lifeline, announcing an escalation of the economic campaign
Brent crude rose for a fourth session to about $91 to $92, with the futures curve in backwardation
Trump said talks with Iran could resume "maybe at some point", hours after his economic announcement
The UN Security Council has gone eight months without agreeing leadership of its subsidiary bodies, including the Iran sanctions committee
Iraq's parliament speaker asked Iran to grant Iraqi oil exports special status through the Strait during Ghalibaf's Baghdad visit
An Iraqi militia handed 20 Iranian-made fixed-wing drones to the federal government under Baghdad's weapons-collection push
No US or Israeli strike events inside Iran were recorded in the 24 hours to 19 August, on two independent trackers
Two US officials said American-escorted convoys have moved about 10 million barrels a day nightly through the Strait's southern lane
The 60-day US-Iran negotiating deadline lapsed on 17 August without a deal
The US Treasury licence authorising Iranian oil and petrochemical sales expires on 21 August, with no renewal decision announced
19 August 2026
20 developmentsPetrol ran out at stations across parts of Tehran, with officials citing a 14-15 million litre daily shortfall
Gulf crude clearance averaged 6.1 million barrels a day over the 60-day truce, against about 15 million before the war
Three China-linked tankers turned back from Strait of Hormuz transits inside the reporting window
Iranian forces have assessed possible strikes on US-linked bases in Bulgaria and Cyprus, two insiders said
Iran boarded and seized the tanker AMARA near Qeshm Island, its first seizure since 22 June
Iran's armed forces chief said any Gulf state assisting the US military will be treated as a party to hostilities
Iran's parliament speaker Ghalibaf said the Strait will not reopen until the US implements the Islamabad memorandum
Lebanon's national news agency reported Israeli shelling and demolitions at Majdal Zoun, al-Mansouri and Haddatha overnight
Kpler revised Monday's Hormuz count upward to nine crossings and logged six for Tuesday 18 August
Iraq's cabinet approved a mechanism to export Iraqi crude through outlets that bypass Hormuz
Iran's foreign ministry rejected the UAE's missile accusation and called it a false flag operation
Israel confirmed it struck Syria's Abu al-Duhur airbase, saying Damascus was about to let Turkish forces deploy there
The UAE suspended all trade, commercial exchanges and financial transactions with Iran until further notice
The UAE said its air defences detected two ballistic missiles launched from Iran, both of which fell into the sea
France will expel two Iranian diplomats in the coming days, Foreign Minister Jean-Noël Barrot said
US prosecutors charged 17 Iranians over a cyber-intrusion campaign against 144 universities and 42 companies
A bulk carrier's chief engineer was killed when an unknown projectile hit its engine room off the Omani coast
Trump said no talks with Iran are under way or scheduled and that the naval blockade continues at full force
Qatar said de-escalation needs a ceasefire, a reopened Strait of Hormuz and a US return to talks, moving together
Araghchi ruled out a further interim ceasefire and set six conditions for talks, among them lifting the blockade
18 August 2026
10 developmentsA vessel outbound through the Strait of Hormuz was struck by an unknown projectile late on 17 August, UKMTO said, with one crew casualty
Six commodity vessels transited Hormuz on 17 August against a ten-day average of about 11, on Kpler's count of tracked traffic
A European government document seen by NBC News describes Russia shipping drone components, ammunition and TNT to Iran across the Caspian
Brent crude touched a session high of $90.87 on 17 August, up 2.7%, before settling lower at $88.31
Iran's Fars news agency reported the seizure of a UAE-linked tanker near Qeshm Island, unconfirmed by any authority on either side
CENTCOM said its naval blockade has redirected 64 commercial vessels, disabled three and boarded two as of 17 August
A senior Iranian official told Reuters that Tehran has given Washington a few weeks to lift the Hormuz blockade
IRGC political deputy Yadollah Javani said Iran's defence doctrine is being reorganised into an offensive form
Foreign ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei said Iran and Oman have an understanding on a Hormuz transit-route map, unconfirmed by Muscat
The 60-day US-Iran memorandum of understanding lapsed on 17 August with no successor agreement or extension
17 August 2026
18 developmentsThe US Navy awarded Raytheon a $22.9bn contract to raise Tomahawk output from about 60 to over 1,000 missiles a year
The IRGC and Iran's foreign ministry both denied on the record that any US-IRGC backchannel exists
Iran's vice-president said middlemen who move its oil now profit from sanctions and oppose lifting them
Trump said he would bomb Oman if it "gets in the way" of reopening the Strait of Hormuz
Kurdish authorities said two Iranian drones launched from Iran targeted the private office of Kurdistan prime minister Masrour Barzani
Israel said its strikes in southern Lebanon killed 11 people, the deadliest 24 hours there since the June ceasefire
The Wall Street Journal reported that Iranian hardliners used the memorandum period to tighten IRGC control and raise missile production
The Houthis claimed ballistic-missile hits on a Saudi military vessel and four escort boats in the Red Sea, uncorroborated
All three Kharg Island terminals stood empty on 16 August after a dark tanker departed, with the LPG berth vacant 20 days
Twelve Saudi-flagged tankers and bulk carriers are rerouting via the Cape of Good Hope, up from eight in earlier imagery
Iran's parliament approved in principle a bill criminalising contact with foreign media deemed hostile
The 60-day US-Iran ceasefire window under the Islamabad Memorandum expired on 16 August with no extension announced
Trump said he will declare the Strait of Hormuz "a territory of the United States"
Iran's deputy foreign minister said the strait "was Iran's, is Iran's, and will remain Iran's"
ACLED logged no US or Israeli strike events in Iran across 15-16 August, and one Iranian strike event
Named witnesses accused Bushehr lawmaker Jafar Pourkabgani of shooting at protesters in January, killing at least two
Iran's ambassador to Moscow said Iran and Oman would jointly set a Hormuz transit fee of 3-7% of declared cargo value
Axios reported a direct US backchannel to IRGC officials running via intelligence director Gabbard and Masrour Barzani
16 August 2026
19 developmentsThe USS George Washington arrived in the Arabian Sea and is expected to relieve the USS Abraham Lincoln
The Trump administration ran a secret May backchannel to IRGC commanders through Iraqi Kurdish president Nechirvan Barzani
Iran's army chief announced a $30,000 bounty for killing or capturing US soldiers, doubled for female perpetrators
Iran executed Shahram Sadeghi, arrested in the January protests, on charges of operating on Israel's behalf, the judiciary said
Brent crude traded at $88.52 a barrel on 16 August on a maritime and market tracking feed
A Hezbollah drone attack seriously wounded three Israeli soldiers near the Ali al-Taher Ridge, an Israeli research centre said
Turkey's Erdogan called reopening the Strait of Hormuz a priority and said continued closure serves no one's interest
The UAE said an Iranian strike hit an ADNOC vessel in the Strait of Hormuz, the third such incident in under a week
Israeli strikes killed 11 people in southern Lebanon, Lebanon's health ministry said, the deadliest day since the June ceasefire
Bandar Abbas airport resumed scheduled domestic flights to Tehran, Mashhad and Isfahan after repeated wartime closures
Iraq's Security Media Cell said the Popular Mobilization Forces are exempt from the state policy restricting weapons to official bodies
Arab and Western officials described mounting Gulf frustration with Trump's handling of the war, the Washington Post reported
Iran and Oman agreed a safe shipping route through Hormuz, but Tehran said the arrangement does not reopen the strait
Iran told the Red Cross that Qatar has held three of its pilots since March, which Qatar rejected, saying the crew died
Iran's parliament is consolidating about a dozen draft bills into one asserting Tehran's legal authority over the entire waterway
Iran's foreign minister said Tehran has taken no decision to resume talks with Washington, calling relayed messages not negotiations
Houthi missiles and drones struck residential areas of government-held Marib, injuring several people, Yemen's government said
Iran's judiciary chief and two foreign ministry officials rejected Trump's stated plan to declare the Strait of Hormuz US territory
Strait of Hormuz transits ran at 17% of the pre-conflict average over the trailing seven days, UKMTO data showed
15 August 2026
20 developmentsYemen's Mocha port halted operations after Houthi missile attacks that its director said killed seven people
Israeli strikes on the southern Lebanese villages of Ansar and Deir al-Zahrani killed 11, Lebanon's Health Ministry said
UKMTO issued Warning 113-26 after a bulk carrier was struck on the hull by an unknown projectile in the Strait of Hormuz
Iran's foreign minister Abbas Araghchi said there was no ceasefire to extend, only a 60-day window for negotiations
A senior White House official said Trump was joking when he spoke of making Hormuz a US territory, and had not consulted advisers
Hezbollah said Israel's strikes in southern Lebanon would be met with an appropriate response
Brent's futures curve flipped back into backwardation, with the September contract about $8 above the six-month contract
ADNOC said a third of its vessels was attacked in the Strait of Hormuz on 14 August, with no injuries reported
The USS George Washington is deploying to the Middle East to relieve the USS Abraham Lincoln after nearly nine months at sea
The US-Iran ceasefire expires on Monday 17 August, with extension negotiations reported deadlocked and no terms agreed
Brent ended the week at $88.38 a barrel, about $5 higher, as hopes for a Hormuz management deal faded
The US has widened its Iran outreach to Austria and Greece as the Omani and Qatari channels stall
UKMTO recorded two tankers struck by drone on outbound Hormuz transits, reporting minor damage and crews accounted for
Trump said he will 'pretty soon' declare the Strait of Hormuz a territory of the United States
Canada sanctioned five senior Iranian commanders and officials, freezing assets and barring dealings, taking its Iran list to 232 people
Iran's IRGC said it destroyed a US MQ-9 Reaper drone over Hormozgan province on 14 August
Iraq's prime minister ordered a study of an operation to retake Kataib Hezbollah's Jurf al Sakhr stronghold
Charter rates for Gulf-to-Asia supertankers reached about $498,000 a day on 14 August
Iraq's Badr Organisation warned that forcing militias to disarm before the 30 September deadline would produce civil war
France barred its operators from Qatari, Bahraini, Kuwaiti and Jordanian airspace, going beyond EASA's avoidance advice
14 August 2026
20 developmentsBoth the Yanbu and Jizan refineries have been struck under the Houthi maritime embargo on Saudi Arabia, declared on 20 July
Oman's environment agency said the grounded tanker's oil spill has reached the mainland coast and covers about 390 square kilometres
Defense Secretary Hegseth called reports of shortages and broken plumbing aboard the USS Abraham Lincoln 'completely misrepresented'
The UAE accused Iran's Revolutionary Guard of attacking two ADNOC vessels in the Strait of Hormuz on the night of 13 August
Hegseth said the US can sustain its naval blockade of Iranian ports indefinitely
Saudi Arabia launched a 13-country Multinational Maritime Defense Coalition covering the Red Sea, Bab al-Mandeb and the Gulf of Aden
The carrier USS George Washington is under way toward the Middle East to relieve the USS Abraham Lincoln
Tankers lifting crude at Saudi Arabia's Yanbu terminal are switching off their AIS transponders to evade Houthi attack
The US Treasury said an 'economic isolation' package targeting Iranian leaders' accounts and crypto wallets rolls out next week
Iran's gasoline shortfall passed 100,000 barrels a day in 2025/26 as the reinstated blockade narrowed import options
Vice President Vance said US-Iran talks are 'currently stalled', days before the Islamabad ceasefire is due to expire on 17 August
Vance ranked low US energy prices as the war's first objective, placing Iran's nuclear programme second
Brent fell below $88 a barrel on 13 August, ending a six-session rally, as traders weighed weakening demand
The Revolutionary Guard set out its conditions for reopening Hormuz: lifting the US naval blockade, compensation and sanctions relief
Sinokor fixed a VLCC at $510,000 a day for a Gulf-China voyage through Hormuz, against roughly $200,000 before the war
CENTCOM said it has launched Task Force Falcon Strike, a multinational attack-drone unit spanning air, surface and undersea systems
Iraqi sources say Baghdad will ring Iranian-backed militia centres with army and counter-terrorism units after the 30 September deadline
Satellite imagery shows Kharg Island's western oil terminal loading a tanker again after 25 days idle, its first use since 18 July
Iran's IRGC waterway authority said the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, rejecting Trump's claim that the US controls it
Israel's defence minister said troops will not leave southern Lebanon until Hezbollah disarms
13 August 2026
20 developmentsUS Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said the Navy can sustain the blockade of Iranian ports indefinitely, rotating ships in and out
Houthi forces claimed a two-drone strike on Saudi Aramco's Jizan refinery, with no Saudi damage assessment by window close
Hapag-Lloyd said the Hormuz closure pushed its second-quarter expenses to nearly $600 million in fuel, insurance, storage and rerouting
Greenpeace said the oil spill from a grounded tanker off Oman now covers roughly 500 square miles in scattered patches
A conflict-event dataset coded five Iranian strike events across five locations on 12-13 August, against zero US or Israeli events
France led a joint declaration by more than 30 states condemning Iran's executions of protest-related detainees
A pilot scheme selling petrol at 87,200 tomans a litre in Kerman Province was suspended hours after launch
The CIA held low confidence in the Israeli intelligence behind the reported threat to Trump that prompted July's Air Force One swap
Brent eased to $87.92 a barrel on 13 August, down 1.19% on the day, after trading between $88 and $91.60 the day before
Congressional Democrats demanded answers on food shortages and plumbing failures aboard the carrier USS Abraham Lincoln
Iraq's intelligence chief and armed-forces director fly to Saudi Arabia on 13 August to discuss militia attacks on Saudi territory
Iran's Persian Gulf Strait Authority said Hormuz remains blocked and will not reopen until Iran's conditions are accepted
Iraq's prime minister set 30 September as the final date for the US-led coalition to end its mission and withdraw
Pakistani government sources say Washington and Tehran have consented to extend the ceasefire, with only the period unsettled
A senior Iranian official told Reuters that no ceasefire-extension talks exist, because the June memorandum never entered into force
The IEA now expects 2026 oil demand to fall by 1.6 million barrels a day, 510,000 more than it forecast in July
Four drones struck three camps used by Iranian Kurdish opposition groups near Erbil, with no casualties reported
Six mariners were killed and ten wounded when missiles hit a cargo ship in the Bab al-Mandeb, Yemen's recognised government says
Trump said US naval forces have cleared mines from the Strait of Hormuz and declared the waterway open
Hormuz transits fell to 78 in the week to 9 August from 95 the week before, with 45 of them not linked to Iran
12 August 2026
19 developmentsTrump wrote on Truth Social that the naval blockade will stay, calling it "a wall of steel", a day after the Vela Nova strike
The spill from the grounded tanker Caroline Bezengi has reached Oman's mainland and covers more than 2,000 sq km
Lebanon's state news agency said an Israeli drone struck an Ashura commemoration site in the south, injuring several people
An IRGC spokesman said US power plants, transmission lines and internet-linked infrastructure would be at risk if strikes resume
Brent rose for a sixth session to $89.81 a barrel, taking the week's gain above 7%, with WTI at $84.08
A human-rights monitor recorded 916 executions in Iran since January, 15 of them in August, and said the true figure is higher
Yemen's government put the death toll from the missile attack on the cargo ship Tihamah at six, after a second missile struck rescuers
Pakistan opened a four-day mediation push in Tehran before the 60-day window from the June MoU expires on 16 August
CENTCOM said it has redirected 55 commercial vessels, disabled three and boarded two since the blockade of Iranian ports resumed on 14 July
Pakistan's interior minister met Pezeshkian, Araghchi and the petroleum minister in Tehran on a visit covering energy and diplomacy
A US Navy helicopter fired two Hellfire missiles into the cargo ship Vela Nova in the Gulf of Oman, disabling it, CENTCOM said
An adviser to the IRGC commander told PBS that Iran's strategy is to prolong the war until Trump's term ends
Turkish officials suspect the Israeli intelligence report of an Iranian plot to kill Trump was fabricated to derail US-Iran talks
A conflict-event dataset recorded no US or Israeli strike events and one Iranian strike event across 10 and 11 August
The IRGC said the closure of the Strait of Hormuz stands regardless of the shipping-route agreement Iran has reached with Oman
Iran's Supreme National Security Council said Hormuz will not reopen until the US lifts the blockade, withdraws forces and releases $24bn
Trump said he is demanding compensation from Iran going back 50 years and has instructed his representatives to raise it in all talks
Khamenei named Ahmad Vahidi commander-in-chief of the IRGC, replacing Mohammad Pakpour, who was killed in earlier strikes
An Iranian parliamentary committee advanced a draft bill barring US- and Israeli-linked ships from Hormuz, with a 20% cargo-value penalty
11 August 2026
20 developmentsBrent crude reached $88 a barrel overnight into 11 August, its highest level since 31 July
UNIFIL recorded 455 Israeli projectiles and 97 airspace breaches into southern Lebanon between Friday and Sunday
Houthi forces launched a third wave of missiles and drones at Mocha port and Marib in the early hours of 11 August
Qatar says Iran and Oman have reached a technical stage on reopening Hormuz and agreed inbound and outbound shipping routes
US forces fired a missile at the container ship Vela Nova in the Gulf of Oman, the twelfth vessel hit since the blockade began
Three to five crew were killed aboard the cargo ship Tihamah at anchor near Perim Island, in a suspected Houthi attack
A Houthi drone strike killed two Yemeni government soldiers and wounded seven in Shabwa province
The US average pump price crossed $4.01 a gallon as Brent traded near $87.61 a barrel
Satellite imagery showed twelve ship-to-ship crude transfers off the Oman and UAE coasts as tankers ran dark
Hormuz transits ran at six to seven vessels a day against a pre-war baseline of 130 to 140
Pakistan's defence minister said the United States and Iran are close to some sort of arrangement
Araghchi told German foreign minister Wadephul that securing the strait requires an end to the US naval blockade
Mojtaba Khamenei issued decrees naming six senior commanders, with Ahmad Vahidi as IRGC commander-in-chief
Khamenei ordered the armed forces general staff to complete its merger with the Khatam ol Anbia central headquarters
Trump declined to rule out further military escalation, telling ABC News the ability is there and 'you'll find out'
Trump ordered US negotiators to demand Iranian compensation for killed and wounded Americans in all future talks
CENTCOM has published no public release since 29 July, so no US military account of this window's strikes exists
Iran's Supreme National Security Council set war-damage compensation from Washington as a condition for reopening Hormuz
Trump said the US Navy controls the Strait of Hormuz and has cleared Iranian mines, which no independent source verified
The US strategic petroleum reserve fell to 298.7 million barrels, its lowest level since January 1983
10 August 2026
10 developmentsYemeni officials reported 11 dead and 32 wounded at Mocha after a second, larger wave of missiles and drones on Sunday evening
Trump said the US is low-keying it with Iran and only semi-negotiating, betting on economic pressure over new strikes
Araghchi said the Iran-Oman shipping-lane deal is in final drafting, with inbound and outbound routes running for two to four months
The IRGC called Hormuz a theatre of war and said the strait will stay shut until Washington accepts all of Iran's conditions
Mohsen Rezaei, a former IRGC commander-in-chief, was named secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council, replacing Zolghadr
Iran's Kharg Island oil terminal recorded no tanker departures across the ten days to 9 August, with all three berths idle
Araghchi said no negotiations are under way with the US, only an exchange of messages through intermediaries
US reporting says Trump would accept ending the war without a nuclear deal if Iran fully reopens Hormuz
Oil futures rose about 1.2% after Iran set out its reopening conditions, with Brent trading above $83 a barrel
At least 24 tankers were anchored off Larak Island on 7 August, 16 of them under US sanctions
9 August 2026
20 developmentsSaudi authorities extinguished a fire at Aramco's Jizan refinery after a Houthi drone strike, reporting no casualties
Yemeni government-aligned forces reported seven killed in a Houthi missile and drone attack on the port of Mocha
Hormuz transits fell 34% week-on-week, with 33 vessels crossing Monday to Thursday against 50 the previous week
War-risk insurance for Gulf voyages is running at 7.5-10% of hull value, about ten times pre-conflict levels
Rosatom resumed staffing at Bushehr, with 25 Russian personnel on site and full restoration tied to a documented ceasefire
Iran summoned close to 100 public figures, including more than 20 actors, over posts using the hashtag "No to executions"
Iranian media reported that national security council secretary Zolghadr submitted a resignation and that Pezeshkian refused it
A transitional Hormuz plan would route inbound ships along Iran's northern coast and outbound ships along Oman's for 2-4 months
Iran is seeking roughly 5% of cargo value as a Hormuz transit fee, against Oman's proposed 3%
CENTCOM has redirected 53 commercial vessels, disabled two and boarded two since the naval blockade began
No tanker has loaded crude at Iran's Kharg Island terminal for at least a week
Iran's president and central bank chief told Khamenei directly that the naval blockade is crippling the economy
Iranian annual inflation stood at 88.6% in late June, with output expected to contract 5.4% this year
The Pentagon told defence firms to speed production of low-cost missiles after the war consumed most US long-range precision stocks
UKMTO logged the 8 August vessel strike off Khasab as an unidentified projectile and recorded no claim of responsibility
Vance says the US is negotiating a protected shipping corridor through Hormuz and expects a deal within days
Iran's security council set six conditions for reopening Hormuz, among them sanctions relief and war reparations
Oman said on 8 August that continued attacks on transiting vessels put the Hormuz navigation talks at risk
Turkey's foreign minister said the Mecca defence pact with Saudi Arabia and Pakistan could expand to include Egypt
An open-source tracker recorded no US or Israeli strike inside Iran for eight consecutive nights to 7 August
8 August 2026
20 developmentsThe UAE says an Iranian missile struck an ADNOC tanker off Khasab in the Strait of Hormuz, causing a fire
Iran's Supreme National Security Council has yet to ratify the Hormuz corridor framework, Iranian state media said
Foreign Minister Araghchi said talks with Oman on Hormuz traffic are "very close to an agreement"
US Vice President Vance said Iran has privately told Washington it has no plans to toll the Strait of Hormuz
Israeli troops entered the Lebanese-army-held village of Zawtar al-Gharbiya and built an earthen barrier, an AFP reporter saw
An IRGC spokesman said reopening the Strait of Hormuz depends on the US fully accepting Iran's conditions, not the Oman framework
President Pezeshkian said now is the best time for a Hormuz agreement to be reached
Qatar and Bahrain rejected using the Strait of Hormuz as a bargaining chip and called for it to reopen
An Iranian opposition council reported at least 26 executions across Iran over a single week
The US Treasury sanctioned Dubai crypto exchange Shelbit for processing IRGC-linked funds within an alleged $4bn evasion scheme
Houthi fire on a displacement camp near Sahn al-Jinn in Marib killed two civilians and wounded 14, Yemeni authorities said
Iran's Foreign Ministry denied that talks with the US are underway, contradicting Trump's account of an all-day negotiation
An Israeli drone struck a Lebanese Armed Forces bulldozer in Mansouri, Tyre district, wounding one soldier
Joint Chiefs Chairman Dan Caine is reported to have privately urged senior officials to seek an off-ramp from the war
CENTCOM says it has redirected 51 commercial vessels under the blockade since 14 July, against 44 on 3 August
A source close to the Saudi military said the coalition will not allow the balance of power in Yemen to be changed
A running tally puts the six-month war's added cost to a US household at $527.07 as of 4 August
Kharg Island's three crude export terminals stood idle, with 19 tankers waiting offshore without normal tracking signals
Aramco lifted Red Sea crude exports from about 750,000 b/d to near 4mn b/d by switching to its East-West pipeline
Qatar has lost more than $10bn in LNG export revenue over six months of the conflict
7 August 2026
20 developmentsUS Treasury Secretary Bessent said a 30-60 day ceasefire and a parallel Hormuz resolution could be reached today or tomorrow
Iran said on 7 August that its Hormuz framework with Oman is finalised, with the final text still to be published
Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Pakistan signed the Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, treating an attack on one as an attack on all
Iraq raised its national alert level as an Iran-aligned militia ultimatum over the US-Saudi strikes expired without an attack
ADNOC Logistics reported one crew member killed and 20 injured across 15 of its vessels struck since the war began
Hormuz transits averaged 3.9 vessels a day over the past seven days, about 4% of the pre-war level
Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan are due to sign a trilateral defence pact in Jeddah on 7 August
Mossad chief Roman Gofman reportedly removed two senior officials behind an abandoned plan to unseat Iran's leadership
A Houthi attack on Saudi Arabia's Najran region wounded 11 civilians, among them a woman and a four-year-old child
An Iranian parliamentary committee is reviewing a draft bill to bar US and Israeli ships from the Strait of Hormuz
Houthi missile and drone attacks on Yemeni government camps in Marib and Hadramawt killed at least 30 soldiers
Iran's parliamentary Hormuz plan would keep US- and Israel-linked ships barred until Tehran is compensated for war damage
Eight shipping industry associations, among them BIMCO and the ICS, wrote to the UN opposing mandatory Hormuz transit fees
US crude imports from Saudi Arabia fell to zero in July, the first full month without Saudi shipments in 41 years
Iran and Oman agreed in principle on the coordinates of a temporary Strait of Hormuz shipping route
Iran's foreign ministry said the Oman agreement alone is not enough to reopen the Strait of Hormuz
Israel's Knesset defence committee voted to extend call-up authority for up to 240,000 reservists to 30 September
A senior Saudi official said intelligence detected planning for coordinated militia and Houthi attacks on Saudi ports and energy sites
Oman has proposed a 3% transit fee on declared cargo value for the Hormuz route, against Iran's 5-7%
Brent's futures curve stayed in backwardation, with near-term contracts about $8 a barrel above six-month contracts
6 August 2026
20 developmentsHouthi missiles and drones hit Yemeni army camps in Marib and Hadramaut, killing at least 30 soldiers by government counts
Saudi Arabia announced a 13-country Red Sea maritime coalition that excludes the United States and the European Union
Mediators suspended the Rome round between Israel and Lebanon for a second day running on 6 August, citing 'events on the ground'
Israeli strikes on Burj al-Shamal near Tyre in southern Lebanon wounded between four and eight people on 6 August
The Houthis said they struck the tanker Wafa near Yanbu, taking to eight the Saudi-linked vessels they claim to have hit
Brent was quoted near $83.64 on the morning of 6 August, about $4 above the settlement figures reported a day earlier
Iran's intelligence ministry said it arrested 25 people in Kerman province, 21 of them accused of passing air-defence data to Israel
Mohammad-Bagher Kharrazi, a relative by marriage of the Khamenei family, said publicly that the Islamic Republic 'doesn't work anymore'
Iran Human Rights recorded 71 executions in July, bringing its documented total for 2026 to at least 444
The Houthis said they fired a ballistic missile at the Saudi-operated tanker Daisy in the Gulf of Aden
A tanker master reported hearing two explosions while transiting the Strait of Hormuz near Kumzar, Oman, on 5 August
Pezeshkian said contact with Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei is 'very difficult', holding up sign-off on the Hormuz draft
The United States said it strongly opposes any arrangement letting Iran charge fees on Strait of Hormuz transits
Iran told Gulf capitals that renewed US strikes on its territory would trigger Iranian attacks on regional energy infrastructure
Trump told Fox News that Iran will 'get hit really hard' if it backs out of talks again
An explosive device killed two Israeli reservists and wounded four at Majdal Zoun in southern Lebanon on 5 August
The seventh round of US-mediated Israel-Lebanon talks in Rome broke off early after Israel's envoy requested a suspension
Trump confronted Defense Secretary Hegseth over shortages of long-range precision munitions and air-defence interceptors
Brent crude settled below $80 on 5 August, a third consecutive losing session
Kataib Hezbollah's leader rejected Iraq's end-September disarmament deadline and said the group will expand its arsenal
5 August 2026
20 developmentsThe UN human rights chief said at least 56 people have been executed on national-security charges in Iran since 19 March
Iran and Oman agreed the coordinates of a two-way Hormuz shipping corridor, with a joint statement in final drafting
Iranian and Omani negotiators finished a draft text that now awaits sign-off from Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei
Iranian state television said the corridor agreement does not reopen the strait while what Tehran calls US violations continue
An Israeli strike on Tebnine in southern Lebanon killed one person and wounded 11 to 12, Lebanese state media reported
Houthi military spokesman Yahya Saree threatened to strike Saudi oil tankers transiting the northern Red Sea
Secretary of State Rubio said there has been progress in the Hormuz talks but no finality yet
Brent traded in an $80.37 to $83.72 band on 5 August, modestly higher than the day before
Strait of Hormuz transits held at eight vessels on 5 August, against a pre-war baseline of roughly 130 to 140 a day
The US Treasury removed counterterrorism sanctions on Fly Baghdad Airlines and two of its aircraft
Khamenei's office called the claim that the Supreme Leader would accept a Pezeshkian resignation entirely false
Brent crude fell about 4.7% on 4 August to roughly $79.82 a barrel
Pezeshkian said on state television that he will not resign, rejecting a cleric's claim of repeated resignation threats
Iran's leadership approved terms for a 60-day interim Hormuz arrangement, a US official and a regional source said
Indian-flagged cargo vessel MSV Faize Noore Oliya sank 13 nautical miles south of Hodeidah after a projectile strike
Iran is privately weighing letting European navies clear mines from a proposed central Hormuz channel, people familiar said
Iranian officials cite unresolved issues over the reopening mechanism, maritime service fees and security arrangements
Trump discussed de-escalation by phone with Qatar's Emir, who urged implementation of the earlier US-Iran memorandum
Three officials said the US has expended nearly 80% of its key missile interceptors since the war began
Saudi-linked Bab el-Mandeb crossings averaged 0.86 a day over 27 July to 2 August, down from 1.83 beforehand
4 August 2026
20 developmentsIran said no IAEA inspectors are currently in the country, with a delegation visit expected in less than 10 days
The IRGC struck a US military installation area in Kuwait with at least three drones
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the US and Iran may reach a deal to open the Strait of Hormuz 'today or tomorrow'
Foreign ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei said an Oman route deal alone would not reopen the Strait without an end to US strikes
Sources familiar with the negotiations described a draft Iran-Oman arrangement giving Iran control of the inbound lane into the Gulf
A US official said any new shipping routes would be temporary and would not require Iranian approval or permission
Qatar's foreign ministry said draft language for an agreement is circulating between Washington and Tehran
Iran's foreign ministry said it has no plans to send or host negotiating delegations in the coming days
Government sources said US forces have used virtually all ATACMS missiles and about 65% of Patriot interceptors since 28 February
Yemen's Houthis claimed a drone strike on Najran Airport in southern Saudi Arabia, which Saudi authorities have not confirmed
A projectile hit the bulk carrier Minoan Pioneer 20 nautical miles off Al Khasab, Oman, leaving one crew member missing
The US blockade's running total of redirected ships reached 44 on 3 August, nine more than the day before
Trump called the talks Iran's 'last chance' for a deal and said he was offering 'every last chance before decapitation'
US Central Command asked intelligence staff for 'creative and unconventional' ways to pressure and punish Iran
The Pentagon signed contracts with Lockheed Martin and Northrop Grumman to quadruple output of missile-interceptor components
Brent's September contract traded at $85.79 a barrel against $77.49 six months out, a gap of roughly $8
Zarif and Rezaei took opposing public positions on how long Iran should keep the Strait of Hormuz closed
Iranian point-to-point inflation was reported at 96%, approaching triple digits
Araghchi said Iran's talks with Oman on a separate-lane transit route through the Strait of Hormuz are in their final stages
QatarEnergy extended force majeure to 24 cargoes after the LNG carrier GasLog Shanghai was struck off Oman on 31 July
3 August 2026
19 developmentsBrent fell 5.1% to $83.44 and WTI 6.4% to $79.28 by 1315 GMT, which traders tied to the cancelled strike
US Central Command emailed military analysts asking for creative and unconventional ways to pressure and punish Iran
Singapore's foreign minister rejected Iran's Hormuz transit fees, which Lloyd's List reports reaching $2m a ship
Iran's Foreign Ministry said it is not negotiating with the United States, rejecting Trump's account of Monday talks
Israel's Knesset defence committee extended emergency reservist call-up authority to 30 September, capped at 240,000
A tanker master reported an explosion 20 nautical miles north-east of Khasab, with vessel and crew reported safe
Iran hanged Omid Behzad and Pouria Safvat at dawn on charges of passing site coordinates to Israeli intelligence
Pezeshkian said the Supreme National Security Council stands behind the June memorandum and urged Washington to honour it
Trump said a new round of US-Iran talks, arranged by Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Qatar, begins on Monday afternoon
Trump said he called off a planned major strike on Iran after Gulf states and Tehran asked him to hold off
Oman asked whether Araghchi's acceptance of the US-Qatari transit proposal carries Revolutionary Guard backing
Iran's foreign minister said talks with Oman on a new traffic-separation shipping route are in their final stages
An Iranian army spokesman said Iran used the ceasefire to import, repair and produce weapons, including an upgraded drone
Yemen's Houthis widened their declared blockade of Saudi shipping through Bab el-Mandeb after Saudi strikes on Sanaa airport
CENTCOM said it has diverted 35 commercial vessels, disabled two and boarded two more under the naval blockade
The LNG carrier GasLog Shanghai lost propulsion off the Omani coast after a projectile hit its port engine room
Iran executed Arvin Kheirkhah, a 20-year-old detained during the January protests, at Shahroud prison on 1 August
Cyberattacks disrupted municipal water systems in at least seven US states, with 30 or more affected in Minnesota
Brent crude closed July near $88 a barrel, up 24% over the month
2 August 2026
20 developmentsIran's Fars and Mehr agencies rejected Trump's claim of an agreed framework, saying Hormuz stays closed to uncoordinated vessels
Iran's negotiating team called the reported Qatar- and US-brokered plan to split Hormuz transit between Iranian and Omani waters false
No strike by any party was recorded after the cancellation, per a live-blog entry timestamped 06:37 EDT on 2 August
Trump said he cancelled the approved strike on Iran, citing agreed "perimeters of a deal" covering Hormuz and the nuclear file
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman telephoned Trump about an hour earlier, urging him not to hit Iranian energy sites
Foreign Minister Araghchi told Pakistani, Turkish and Saudi counterparts by phone that Iran would answer any attack in kind
Kuwait said the drones intercepted on 1 August hit several vital facilities, including a government building in the north
The White House said Iran "will continue to pay" until it comes to the table, hours after Trump announced the halted strike
Israeli media report the government learned of the cancelled strike from Trump's post rather than through direct coordination
Brent futures moved into backwardation, the September contract at $85.79 against $77.49 six months out
Iranian authorities blocked or seized at least 72 high-profile social-media accounts and sealed 23 businesses between 11 July and 1 August
An explosion occurred near a second vessel 21 nautical miles north-west of Khasab on 1 August, with no damage or injuries recorded
A projectile hit the LNG carrier GasLog Shanghai, carrying Qatari cargo, off Oman and damaged its engine room, with no injuries reported
Iran's national security secretary said continued naval blockade enforcement could push Tehran to close sea passages beyond Hormuz
Two IRGC officers said Quds Force staff used the April ceasefire to coordinate with Hezbollah, Houthi and Iraqi militia commanders
Iran's Statistical Center put point-to-point inflation at 87.9% for July, with rural inflation at 106.9%
An opposition group counted at least 72 executions in Iran during July, including seven prisoners held over the January unrest
Yemen's Houthi authorities denied planning to charge ships for Red Sea passage, calling their transit service voluntary and free
US and Israeli planning for the 1-2 August weekend put Iran's oil terminals, refining capacity and Kharg Island on the target list
A maritime intelligence vendor named the two LNG carriers burned at Egypt's Port of Damietta and attributed the attack to Iran
1 August 2026
20 developmentsNo attack on Iranian energy sites had been carried out as of 16:20 GMT on 1 August, and no go-order was reported
Iraq and Turkey signed a one-year deal to keep 750,000 barrels a day flowing through their pipeline, bypassing Hormuz
An Israeli official said Israel had not been asked to join US operations against Iran, contradicting US sourcing in the same report
US embassies in Amman, Jerusalem and Baghdad told American citizens to prepare to leave, urging those in Iraq to depart immediately
Iran executed Arvin Kheirkhah, a 20-year-old sentenced to death over the January protests, at Shahroud prison
Iran's foreign minister warned the UK, Bulgaria and Cyprus that hosting attacks on Iran would make them aggressors
Kuwait said it destroyed a fresh wave of Iranian drones at dawn on 1 August, with falling shrapnel hitting a government facility
An unknown projectile hit a tanker 11 nautical miles off Lima, Oman, damaging its engine room and leaving it without propulsion
Iranian officials said the armed forces have a broad plan ready to strike US and Israeli sites across the region
Hormuz transits rose to nine vessels on 1 August, against about 140 a day before the crisis
Trump ordered preparations for a fresh strike on Iranian energy infrastructure, with officials saying no final order has been given
Trump told a Camp David Cabinet meeting that US strikes will continue until Iran "can't take it anymore"
Iran's new Persian Gulf Strait Authority said passage through Hormuz is "not possible" and paused transit permits
The IRGC said it struck and halted two oil tankers transiting Hormuz under US military escort
Iran said it hit two US-linked airbases in Kuwait with kamikaze drones, a claim CENTCOM answered by reporting no damage
Tehran's prosecutors opened cases against people who publicly criticised last week's executions of two protesters in Isfahan
A Houthi foreign-affairs source denied Yemeni responsibility for the drone strike on two gas carriers at Egypt's Damietta port
Iran has halted talks with the United States until Israeli strikes in Lebanon stop, one Iraqi outlet reported
Iran's ambassador to Moscow said Tehran and Oman will jointly set a Hormuz transit fee for Western ships
Weapons forensics identified a 2,000lb Mark-84 bomb at a Qeshm Island home where a family of three was killed
31 July 2026
10 developmentsBrent settled near $89 after touching above $92 this week, on track for its biggest monthly gain since March at about 21%
US Treasury sanctioned two Shanghai firms and an executive for shipping electronics to Iran's Mahan Air
US Navy warships began escorting some tankers through Hormuz, though overall transit stayed about 90% below normal
British Airways permanently ended its Jeddah service as Gulf carriers cancelled flights across the region
Fourteen states signed a founding statement launching Saudi Arabia's maritime-defence coalition, without the UAE and Oman
The US State Department said a return to direct talks with Iran is not imminent and remains in a difficult phase
CENTCOM said no US aircraft were lost in its strike wave on Iran, disputing IRGC claims of destroyed jets in Jordan
Iraq's prime minister cancelled his first official visit to Saudi Arabia after US-Saudi air strikes killed about 20 fighters on Iraqi soil
A drone struck the US-owned LNG storage unit at Egypt's Damietta port, marking the war's first attack on Egyptian territory
Trump threatened to destroy an Iranian bridge or power plant for every ship Iran fires on in Hormuz
30 July 2026
20 developmentsSaudi Arabia is consulting dozens of countries to build a coalition protecting Red Sea shipping as the Houthi blockade holds
US revoked the licence permitting limited Iranian oil sales after the IRGC Navy said it halted three tankers in the Strait of Hormuz
Local media reported three civilians killed on Iran's Qeshm Island in the overnight US strikes, including a two-year-old child
Iran launched retaliatory strikes on Kuwait, hitting the Ali al-Salem air base and a Chinese firm's site, where one worker was killed
US struck dozens of IRGC targets across at least six Iranian provinces overnight, ending its five-night pause in the air campaign
Brent crude closed at $90.74 a barrel on 29 July, up 7.9%, after the Jordan strike and near-halted Hormuz traffic
US Treasury sanctioned eight tankers and ten firms, six of them China-based, for moving Iranian oil through the Strait of Hormuz
Houthi forces hit Saudi oil facilities with drones launched from Iraqi soil, coordinated with Iraqi militias under IRGC supervision
Trump warned of further US strikes on Iran while framing them as contingent on reaching an agreement
Iran said it has submitted no request to negotiate with the US in the past 15 days, denying an active back-channel
Rights monitors said Iran moved protester Kaveh Arabian toward execution and upheld a second protester's death sentence
The Houthis said they will expand their Red Sea blockade and are weighing a toll system for ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb
A drone struck the US-owned tanker Energos Winter at Egypt's Damietta port and started a fire that spread to a second vessel
US and Saudi aircraft struck Iran-aligned militia sites across seven Iraqi provinces, killing at least 20 fighters and wounding 32
China supplied Iran 300 to 400 shoulder-fired air-defence systems via Pakistan in a reported deal Beijing and Islamabad denied
At least 14 drone strikes since 27 July hit Iranian-Kurdish opposition bases in Iraqi Kurdistan, Kurdish authorities said
Israel mobilised about 100,000 additional reservists and said it is prepared to resume strikes on Iran
Iran's missile strike on a US airbase in Jordan was intercepted in full, CENTCOM and Jordan's military said, with no casualties
Iran publicly hanged two men in Isfahan convicted over deaths during January's unrest, bringing the case total to four executed
Hormuz tanker transits fell to zero on both 24 and 25 July, against a historical norm near 138 vessels a day
29 July 2026
40 developmentsKataib Hezbollah threatened to strike US assets in Saudi Arabia and gave Iraq's government until 6 August to defend its sovereignty
Iran's IRGC Navy said it stopped three vessels in the Strait of Hormuz for taking an 'unsafe and illegal route'
Iran's deputy foreign minister Gharibabadi countered Oman's even split, asking that parts of both Hormuz legs sit in Iranian waters
Iran rejected a US proposal in Islamabad-mediated indirect talks and the US withdrew its delegates
The IRGC said it struck and stopped three oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz that ignored its warnings
The US Treasury sanctioned eight tankers and ten entities, six of them China-based, over Iran-related shipping
China and Pakistan denied a Reuters report that 300 to 400 man-portable air-defence systems are being routed to Iran
China is reportedly shipping 300-400 shoulder-fired air-defence missiles to Iran via Pakistan, a claim Beijing and Islamabad both deny
Brent rebounded 4% to $87.73 a barrel on 29 July, reversing the prior week's decline after Iran's missile attack
China will reportedly supply Iran with air-defence missiles within weeks
US and Saudi aircraft struck Iran-backed militia sites in eastern Iraq on 29 July, the first Saudi-claimed strikes inside Iraq this war
Jordan's armed forces said they detected and shot down five missiles fired from Iran under their rules of engagement
Iraq's prime minister cancelled a planned Jeddah meeting with the Saudi crown prince after the joint strikes on Iraqi soil
A Hezbollah drone hit an Israeli army engineering vehicle in south Lebanon, which the IDF called a breach of the June ceasefire
The front-month Brent contract traded $8.92 a barrel above the sixth month, the widest premium since 10 June
Iraq's Popular Mobilisation Forces said at least 20 of its fighters were killed and 32 wounded in the joint strikes
Iran's deputy parliament speaker, Ali Nikzad, said the Strait of Hormuz will not return to its previous status
Trump said the US would hit Iran hard in retaliation after the missile attack on its forces in Jordan
Trump said the US would be hitting Iran hard in response to the ballistic-missile launch at American forces
Iran fired ballistic missiles at US forces on 28 July, and CENTCOM said all were intercepted with no casualties
Israeli intelligence presented to Trump alleges Iran moved centrifuges to the underground Pickaxe Mountain site near Natanz
Iraq's Popular Mobilisation Forces put their losses from the US-Saudi strikes at 20 killed and 32 wounded
Netanyahu presented Trump with three Iran options at the White House: a diplomatic deal, continued sanctions, or a major offensive
Analysts map a three-way split in Iran's leadership over Hormuz, from IRGC hardliners to a Pezeshkian-aligned compromise bloc
Trump said on 28 July that the US would strike the Pickaxe Mountain nuclear site if Iran does not reach an agreement
All six Strait of Hormuz transits on 27 July used the IRGC-controlled northern corridor, with none through the contested southern channel
Iran said Ukraine told it the Caspian Sea strike that killed an Iranian sailor was unintentional
Ukraine told Tehran that its 25 July Caspian Sea strike, which killed an Iranian sailor, was unintentional
Iran's foreign ministry said no negotiations are underway and called reports of an Iranian initiative fabrications
Pakistan says Iran has signalled readiness to resume talks on a phased agenda taking Hormuz first and the nuclear file last
Iran rejected Oman's proposed 50-50 split of Strait of Hormuz shipping lanes, demanding full control of the inbound lane
Economic protests spread across at least nine Iranian cities in late July as the IMF projected a 5.4% GDP contraction for 2026
UKMTO reported that CENTCOM had redirected 17 commercial vessels, disabled two and boarded two enforcing the blockade of Iranian ports
Amnesty International said at least 60 protest-linked defendants in Iran face execution, three of them minors when the offence occurred
Houthis struck a fourth Saudi tanker, the NCC Ghazal, with ballistic missiles, forcing it to turn back under their Saudi-shipping ban
Iran publicly executed two men in Isfahan on 28 July over January protests, its first public executions of 2026, as crowds gathered
Windward recorded no tanker crossings of the Strait of Hormuz on 27 July, a count that UKMTO's official figures do not match
China and Pakistan denied a Reuters report that 300 to 400 Chinese shoulder-launched air-defence launchers are being shipped to Iran
Trump and Netanyahu met at the White House for about 80 minutes on 28 July, their first meeting in person since the war began
Asian spot LNG rose to $22/MMBtu as the Hormuz crisis cut Qatari and Emirati gas loadings
28 July 2026
20 developmentsBrent crude settled near $86.58 on 28 July, down about 1.5% in a third consecutive session of losses
Trump met Netanyahu at the White House on 28 July with the Iran war top of the agenda, and played down Israeli pressure to escalate
Trump threatened to hit a named underground site, bridges and power plants, and said the US controls the Strait of Hormuz
Oman offered Iran a joint Hormuz-management scheme modelled on the Strait of Malacca and funded by voluntary contributions
A separate US-Iran back-channel on Red Sea and Hormuz shipping was reported, with Washington seeking an end to attacks at sea
Iran estimated its total conflict losses at about $270 billion, including destroyed natural-gas production capacity
Commercial transits through Bab el-Mandeb fell to 15 vessels on 26 July from 34 on 20 July, a 56% decline
Iran's foreign ministry said it will not let the US set the timing of war and peace and will keep defending itself as long as necessary
The US Joint Chiefs chairman said Russia continued sharing intelligence and satellite imagery with Iran to help target US forces
An execution monitor put Iran's 2026 total at 424 across all categories, up about 54 over July
Iran executed two more protesters in Isfahan on 28 July, raising executions in the Alikhani Square case to four of 12 sentenced
A US think tank reported Iranian-backed militias struck Jordanian and Saudi energy sites, a claim not independently corroborated
Netanyahu left Israel from a military airbase under secret arrangements, citing an Iranian threat, ahead of his 28 July Trump meeting
Iran vowed to answer Ukraine's deadly Caspian Sea strike on Iranian-linked vessels and summoned Kyiv's chargé d'affaires
Trump said he is ready to order strong military action against Iran, larger than prior strikes, if negotiations fail
Iran said it rejected a US proposal and made no request to negotiate, contradicting Trump's claim that a deal was close
Officials reported significant progress in Iran-Oman talks on a Hormuz transit compromise, with a Qatari delegation joining
Pakistani officials said the US may be readying a coastal ground push against Iran even as Islamabad and Qatar relay ceasefire offers
Brent crude fell about 8% on 27 July as the US-Iran strike pause held a fourth day, easing supply-disruption fears
The Pentagon recategorised its Iran-war casualty reporting, raising the cumulative total to 18 killed and 624 wounded
27 July 2026
18 developmentsAn FDD analysis judged the US short on munitions, naval modernisation and multi-theatre manpower after months of fighting Iran
Saudi Arabia said it destroyed several drones launched from Iraqi territory toward oil installations and Riyadh
Mediators reported progress toward a compromise, with Oman proposing two separately controlled but open shipping lanes through Hormuz
An Iranian source said Tehran will keep holding fire as long as the US maintains its strike pause, now in its third day
Al Arabiya reported Iran and the US each answered a Pakistani-Qatari proposal to resume talks in Geneva, Doha or Islamabad
Iran said a Ukrainian strike on an Iranian commercial vessel in the Caspian Sea killed one sailor
Mojtaba Khamenei said in a written statement there is 'no path forward except jihad and resistance' against the US and Israel
Trump posted AI-generated images depicting a strike on Iran's Kharg Island oil terminal during the strike pause
A US think tank assessed that current US strikes have likely not changed Iran's aim to control Hormuz by force
Netanyahu told Fox News the war ends only with the Iranian government's fall or its abandonment of nuclear weapons work
Netanyahu will meet Trump at the White House on 28 July to discuss Iran, including possible military action
Brent crude fell about 7% to roughly $90 a barrel on 26 July after the US paused strikes
A Patriot battery operated by Greek personnel reportedly intercepted two Houthi missiles aimed at Saudi Arabia's Yanbu on 26 July
Iranian missiles and drones are increasingly evading US air defences through saturation tactics, the Wall Street Journal reported
Araghchi told the EU and Russia that Ukraine's Caspian strike on Iran-linked shipping 'cannot go unanswered'
CENTCOM's Adm. Brad Cooper judged Iran's Hormuz-campaign targets 'mostly exhausted', reported as the driver of the US strike pause
Kpler recorded one vessel transiting the Strait of Hormuz in the 24 hours to 25 July, down from a pre-war baseline near 120-140 a day
Iran transferred Issa Chari, sentenced to death on 25 July for alleged PMOI membership, to pre-execution solitary confinement
26 July 2026
20 developmentsUS strikes on Iran paused for a third night after Trump declined a prepared 14th-night strike plan
Iran's army said it halted retaliatory operations while the US strike pause holds
Iran said deputy-foreign-minister talks with Oman in Tehran on safe Hormuz transit made 'useful' progress
Iran and Oman advanced a Strait of Hormuz transit-toll plan estimated at up to $7bn a year
Iranian state media said an oil tanker exploded after striking a naval mine, having left Iran's designated Hormuz route
US paused its nightly strikes on Iran for a second consecutive night, with a Defense Department source describing operations as on hold
Oman-mediated talks on reopening the Strait of Hormuz showed progress but remained unresolved
A Ukrainian strike hit a commercial vessel Tehran describes as Iran-linked in the Caspian Sea, killing one sailor
Satellite thermal data confirmed fires at Saudi Aramco's Jizan refinery after 25 July Houthi strikes on Yanbu and Jizan
US Treasury reportedly designated about $100m in properties tied to new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei
Houthis fired missiles and drones at Saudi Aramco facilities at Yanbu and Jizan, with a fire reported at Jizan
CENTCOM said its naval blockade of Iran continued despite the strike pause: 12 vessels redirected, two disabled and two boarded
Trump said the US was 'locked and loaded and ready to go, but we're talking to them' on Iran, signalling no final decision on a wider strike
Vance and Caine reportedly raised concerns about widening the war at a Friday White House meeting as Trump weighed whether to escalate
Brent crude rose above $100 a barrel after the Aramco strikes before partially retracing
Zelenskyy said he would share intelligence alleging Russian satellite targeting support to Iran
Trump and Netanyahu will meet at the White House on 28 July, officially on Iran and security
US and UK planned a London conference to build a maritime coalition to reopen the Strait of Hormuz
Pakistan and Iran explored a China-initiated path back to US talks, conditioned on a halt to Gulf attacks
Daily Strait of Hormuz crossings fell 70%, from 45 to 13, with most traffic rerouting through Iran's corridor
25 July 2026
31 developmentsUS skips a 14th consecutive night of strikes on Iran, breaking a 13-night run of bombing
Houthis struck Saudi Aramco sites at Yanbu and Jizan with ballistic missiles, cruise missiles and drones
US intelligence assesses Iran's new supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei favours nuclear weapons more than his father
Brent crude fell about 4% on the talks-revival reports, retracing from a peak near $102 a barrel
CENTCOM completed a 13th consecutive night of strikes on Iran, with command centres and communications networks leading the published target list alongside air-defence, missile-storage and coastal-surveillance sites; CENTCOM said the Strait of Hormuz remains open under US escort.
Corroborated
A US missile strike near Ahvaz killed four and wounded five as the 13th-night wave hit sites across Khuzestan, with strikes also reported in Isfahan, Lorestan, Markazi and Hormozgan provinces.
Corroborated
US-led forces intercepted five explosive-laden drones over Erbil, northern Iraq, near a base hosting US forces; no casualties or damage were reported and attribution between Iranian forces and Iraqi militias is unresolved.
The US Navy disabled a second merchant vessel breaching the Iran port blockade, firing into the engine room of the M/T Lavine in the Gulf of Oman; the IMO reports about 6,000 mariners stranded on roughly 400 vessels around the Strait.
Trump said he was considering 'a massive attack, bigger than anything that has happened before' and was 'close to making a decision', framing the exit as either escalated strikes or a deal Iran 'isn't ready' for; two US officials said no decision had been made and no new orders issued.
Corroborated
Trump threatened via Truth Social to strike a bridge or power plant 'in the Capital City of Tehran' in response to any new Iranian attack on a Hormuz tanker, widening the declared target set to the capital.
WSJ reporting, relayed via an aggregator, said Trump has privately 'had it' with negotiations and is inclined to keep striking (primary WSJ source paywalled; relay only).
Iran rejected a US ceasefire proposal carried to Tehran by Iraqi PM Ali al-Zaidi, insisting on a settlement codifying its say over the Strait of Hormuz rather than a time-limited truce.
Corroborated
Pakistan and Iran explored a China-initiated push to restart US-Iran talks, with Iran's interior minister visiting Islamabad a second time in ten days; sourcing cautioned that obstacles to US engagement remain high.
The US and UK are planning a London summit next week to build a Western-Middle Eastern maritime coalition for the Strait of Hormuz, framed as part of a US exit strategy; date and itinerary are not finalised.
Corroborated
Iran addressed the UN Security Council, defending its strikes as lawful self-defence under Article 51 and accusing the US of unlawful attacks it said had killed over 50 Iranians (casualty figure is an Iranian government claim, not independently verified).
The Saudi-led coalition struck Houthi military targets in Hodeidah, including reported hits on telecommunications facilities, after a Houthi attack caused minor hull damage to the Saudi-flagged tanker NCC MASA; no casualties were reported.
Corroborated
A Houthi spokesman narrowed the Red Sea blockade to Saudi-flagged and Saudi-bound shipping, with analysts reporting enforcement selective by flag; Chinese-owned tankers reportedly passed while Saudi- and Western-linked operators faced warnings or attack.
Corroborated
Brent crossed $100 mid-week and peaked near $102 before settling 3.9% lower at $96.78 on Friday, its biggest one-day drop since late June, as traders weighed mediation signals; US retail petrol reached a $4.09 national average.
Corroborated
The war fed into global debt markets, with the 10-year US Treasury yield rising to 4.71% on 23 July, its highest since January 2025, as traders braced for higher Gulf sovereign borrowing.
Corroborated
US intelligence is formally investigating a reported Russian role in Iran's precision drone strikes on CIA facilities in the Gulf; a Western intelligence memo reportedly judged Russia 'likely' involved, which Russia denies, while Trump said Xi and Putin had assured him neither would arm Iran.
Corroborated
An opposition source reported Iran executed a protester, Mehdi Khanaki, on 23 July and that scattered protests continued amid water and electricity shortages from strike damage (Iranian opposition source, not independently verified).
Bahraini and Kuwaiti warplanes reportedly struck Iranian drone and missile depots, their first direct strikes on Iran
Iran launched drones and missiles at US bases in Bahrain, Jordan, Kuwait and Qatar
A US missile strike near Ahvaz killed four people and wounded five inside Iran
Bomb-laden drones targeted Erbil in Iraqi Kurdistan, with five intercepted near the airport and one crashing nearby
Iran rejected a US ceasefire proposal delivered to Tehran by the Iraqi prime minister
China and Pakistan pushed to revive stalled US-Iran talks as Iran's interior minister visited Islamabad
Iran struck US-linked bases in Kuwait, Jordan and Bahrain in its broadest retaliation of the week; the IRGC claimed hits on the Ali Al Salem and Udairi bases in Kuwait and Iran's army claimed drone strikes on Al-Azraq in Jordan (claimed effects are Iran-sourced).
Corroborated
The US House passed a second, non-binding war-powers resolution rebuking Trump on Iran 214-208 with four Republicans crossing over, while the Senate fell short 47-49 on a binding measure.
Corroborated
Hormuz war-risk insurance premiums climbed to a reported 7.5-10% of hull value, up from about 5% on 11 July, implying $3-10m in added cost on a $100m tanker.
Corroborated
A Qatar-Pakistan-Egypt 10-day truce proposal stalled on the same Hormuz-control impasse, with an envoy meeting Iran's leadership on 24 July but no agreed diplomatic text.
24 July 2026
9 developmentsTrump says Gulf shipping-damage claims will be paid from frozen Iranian assets; Araghchi calls it an 'incendiary precedent'.
Iranian officials signal Iran would strike Tel Aviv and seek a Bab al-Mandab blockade if the US strikes Tehran.
Corroborated
Iran returns a ten-point counter-proposal tying any settlement to the Strait of Hormuz's legal status, which a US official calls 'maximalist'.
Southern Red Sea war-risk premiums roughly triple in three days, passing 1% of hull value.
Brent eases to about $100.40 a barrel, holding above $100.
Corroborated
US missile strike near Ahvaz kills four and wounds five on the 13th consecutive night of CENTCOM strikes.
Corroborated
Iraqi PM al-Zaidi's Tehran visit yields four cooperation agreements and a timetable for US troops to leave Iraq by end-September.
Corroborated
Trump conditions the new US-Saudi civil-nuclear pact on Saudi normalisation with Israel.
Corroborated
Hormuz daily tanker transits fall to 10 on 22 July from 16 the day before.
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