News tracking is live, published at 06:00 and 18:00 CET, with each update sent to subscribers by email the same morning or evening. The tracker is the news layer; the fuller Phase 2 scenario framework is still in preparation.
Get the news digest by email each morning and evening.
Your email is processed in accordance with GDPR. We send updates only — no marketing, no sharing.
What changed
Trump threatened to bomb Oman if it obstructs the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Kurdish authorities said Iranian drones targeted the offices of Kurdistan's prime minister. Israel said its strikes killed 11 people in southern Lebanon.
17 August 2026
18 developmentsThe US Navy awarded Raytheon a $22.9bn contract to raise Tomahawk output from about 60 to over 1,000 missiles a year
The IRGC and Iran's foreign ministry both denied on the record that any US-IRGC backchannel exists
Iran's vice-president said middlemen who move its oil now profit from sanctions and oppose lifting them
Trump said he would bomb Oman if it "gets in the way" of reopening the Strait of Hormuz
Kurdish authorities said two Iranian drones launched from Iran targeted the private office of Kurdistan prime minister Masrour Barzani
Israel said its strikes in southern Lebanon killed 11 people, the deadliest 24 hours there since the June ceasefire
The Wall Street Journal reported that Iranian hardliners used the memorandum period to tighten IRGC control and raise missile production
The Houthis claimed ballistic-missile hits on a Saudi military vessel and four escort boats in the Red Sea, uncorroborated
All three Kharg Island terminals stood empty on 16 August after a dark tanker departed, with the LPG berth vacant 20 days
Twelve Saudi-flagged tankers and bulk carriers are rerouting via the Cape of Good Hope, up from eight in earlier imagery
Iran's parliament approved in principle a bill criminalising contact with foreign media deemed hostile
The 60-day US-Iran ceasefire window under the Islamabad Memorandum expired on 16 August with no extension announced
Trump said he will declare the Strait of Hormuz "a territory of the United States"
Iran's deputy foreign minister said the strait "was Iran's, is Iran's, and will remain Iran's"
ACLED logged no US or Israeli strike events in Iran across 15-16 August, and one Iranian strike event
Named witnesses accused Bushehr lawmaker Jafar Pourkabgani of shooting at protesters in January, killing at least two
Iran's ambassador to Moscow said Iran and Oman would jointly set a Hormuz transit fee of 3-7% of declared cargo value
Axios reported a direct US backchannel to IRGC officials running via intelligence director Gabbard and Masrour Barzani
16 August 2026
19 developmentsThe USS George Washington arrived in the Arabian Sea and is expected to relieve the USS Abraham Lincoln
The Trump administration ran a secret May backchannel to IRGC commanders through Iraqi Kurdish president Nechirvan Barzani
Iran's army chief announced a $30,000 bounty for killing or capturing US soldiers, doubled for female perpetrators
Iran executed Shahram Sadeghi, arrested in the January protests, on charges of operating on Israel's behalf, the judiciary said
Brent crude traded at $88.52 a barrel on 16 August on a maritime and market tracking feed
A Hezbollah drone attack seriously wounded three Israeli soldiers near the Ali al-Taher Ridge, an Israeli research centre said
Turkey's Erdogan called reopening the Strait of Hormuz a priority and said continued closure serves no one's interest
The UAE said an Iranian strike hit an ADNOC vessel in the Strait of Hormuz, the third such incident in under a week
Israeli strikes killed 11 people in southern Lebanon, Lebanon's health ministry said, the deadliest day since the June ceasefire
Bandar Abbas airport resumed scheduled domestic flights to Tehran, Mashhad and Isfahan after repeated wartime closures
Iraq's Security Media Cell said the Popular Mobilization Forces are exempt from the state policy restricting weapons to official bodies
Arab and Western officials described mounting Gulf frustration with Trump's handling of the war, the Washington Post reported
Iran and Oman agreed a safe shipping route through Hormuz, but Tehran said the arrangement does not reopen the strait
Iran told the Red Cross that Qatar has held three of its pilots since March, which Qatar rejected, saying the crew died
Iran's parliament is consolidating about a dozen draft bills into one asserting Tehran's legal authority over the entire waterway
Iran's foreign minister said Tehran has taken no decision to resume talks with Washington, calling relayed messages not negotiations
Houthi missiles and drones struck residential areas of government-held Marib, injuring several people, Yemen's government said
Iran's judiciary chief and two foreign ministry officials rejected Trump's stated plan to declare the Strait of Hormuz US territory
Strait of Hormuz transits ran at 17% of the pre-conflict average over the trailing seven days, UKMTO data showed
15 August 2026
20 developmentsYemen's Mocha port halted operations after Houthi missile attacks that its director said killed seven people
Israeli strikes on the southern Lebanese villages of Ansar and Deir al-Zahrani killed 11, Lebanon's Health Ministry said
UKMTO issued Warning 113-26 after a bulk carrier was struck on the hull by an unknown projectile in the Strait of Hormuz
Iran's foreign minister Abbas Araghchi said there was no ceasefire to extend, only a 60-day window for negotiations
A senior White House official said Trump was joking when he spoke of making Hormuz a US territory, and had not consulted advisers
Hezbollah said Israel's strikes in southern Lebanon would be met with an appropriate response
Brent's futures curve flipped back into backwardation, with the September contract about $8 above the six-month contract
ADNOC said a third of its vessels was attacked in the Strait of Hormuz on 14 August, with no injuries reported
The USS George Washington is deploying to the Middle East to relieve the USS Abraham Lincoln after nearly nine months at sea
The US-Iran ceasefire expires on Monday 17 August, with extension negotiations reported deadlocked and no terms agreed
Brent ended the week at $88.38 a barrel, about $5 higher, as hopes for a Hormuz management deal faded
The US has widened its Iran outreach to Austria and Greece as the Omani and Qatari channels stall
UKMTO recorded two tankers struck by drone on outbound Hormuz transits, reporting minor damage and crews accounted for
Trump said he will 'pretty soon' declare the Strait of Hormuz a territory of the United States
Canada sanctioned five senior Iranian commanders and officials, freezing assets and barring dealings, taking its Iran list to 232 people
Iran's IRGC said it destroyed a US MQ-9 Reaper drone over Hormozgan province on 14 August
Iraq's prime minister ordered a study of an operation to retake Kataib Hezbollah's Jurf al Sakhr stronghold
Charter rates for Gulf-to-Asia supertankers reached about $498,000 a day on 14 August
Iraq's Badr Organisation warned that forcing militias to disarm before the 30 September deadline would produce civil war
France barred its operators from Qatari, Bahraini, Kuwaiti and Jordanian airspace, going beyond EASA's avoidance advice
14 August 2026
20 developmentsBoth the Yanbu and Jizan refineries have been struck under the Houthi maritime embargo on Saudi Arabia, declared on 20 July
Oman's environment agency said the grounded tanker's oil spill has reached the mainland coast and covers about 390 square kilometres
Defense Secretary Hegseth called reports of shortages and broken plumbing aboard the USS Abraham Lincoln 'completely misrepresented'
The UAE accused Iran's Revolutionary Guard of attacking two ADNOC vessels in the Strait of Hormuz on the night of 13 August
Hegseth said the US can sustain its naval blockade of Iranian ports indefinitely
Saudi Arabia launched a 13-country Multinational Maritime Defense Coalition covering the Red Sea, Bab al-Mandeb and the Gulf of Aden
The carrier USS George Washington is under way toward the Middle East to relieve the USS Abraham Lincoln
Tankers lifting crude at Saudi Arabia's Yanbu terminal are switching off their AIS transponders to evade Houthi attack
The US Treasury said an 'economic isolation' package targeting Iranian leaders' accounts and crypto wallets rolls out next week
Iran's gasoline shortfall passed 100,000 barrels a day in 2025/26 as the reinstated blockade narrowed import options
Vice President Vance said US-Iran talks are 'currently stalled', days before the Islamabad ceasefire is due to expire on 17 August
Vance ranked low US energy prices as the war's first objective, placing Iran's nuclear programme second
Brent fell below $88 a barrel on 13 August, ending a six-session rally, as traders weighed weakening demand
The Revolutionary Guard set out its conditions for reopening Hormuz: lifting the US naval blockade, compensation and sanctions relief
Sinokor fixed a VLCC at $510,000 a day for a Gulf-China voyage through Hormuz, against roughly $200,000 before the war
CENTCOM said it has launched Task Force Falcon Strike, a multinational attack-drone unit spanning air, surface and undersea systems
Iraqi sources say Baghdad will ring Iranian-backed militia centres with army and counter-terrorism units after the 30 September deadline
Satellite imagery shows Kharg Island's western oil terminal loading a tanker again after 25 days idle, its first use since 18 July
Iran's IRGC waterway authority said the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, rejecting Trump's claim that the US controls it
Israel's defence minister said troops will not leave southern Lebanon until Hezbollah disarms
13 August 2026
20 developmentsUS Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said the Navy can sustain the blockade of Iranian ports indefinitely, rotating ships in and out
Houthi forces claimed a two-drone strike on Saudi Aramco's Jizan refinery, with no Saudi damage assessment by window close
Hapag-Lloyd said the Hormuz closure pushed its second-quarter expenses to nearly $600 million in fuel, insurance, storage and rerouting
Greenpeace said the oil spill from a grounded tanker off Oman now covers roughly 500 square miles in scattered patches
A conflict-event dataset coded five Iranian strike events across five locations on 12-13 August, against zero US or Israeli events
France led a joint declaration by more than 30 states condemning Iran's executions of protest-related detainees
A pilot scheme selling petrol at 87,200 tomans a litre in Kerman Province was suspended hours after launch
The CIA held low confidence in the Israeli intelligence behind the reported threat to Trump that prompted July's Air Force One swap
Brent eased to $87.92 a barrel on 13 August, down 1.19% on the day, after trading between $88 and $91.60 the day before
Congressional Democrats demanded answers on food shortages and plumbing failures aboard the carrier USS Abraham Lincoln
Iraq's intelligence chief and armed-forces director fly to Saudi Arabia on 13 August to discuss militia attacks on Saudi territory
Iran's Persian Gulf Strait Authority said Hormuz remains blocked and will not reopen until Iran's conditions are accepted
Iraq's prime minister set 30 September as the final date for the US-led coalition to end its mission and withdraw
Pakistani government sources say Washington and Tehran have consented to extend the ceasefire, with only the period unsettled
A senior Iranian official told Reuters that no ceasefire-extension talks exist, because the June memorandum never entered into force
The IEA now expects 2026 oil demand to fall by 1.6 million barrels a day, 510,000 more than it forecast in July
Four drones struck three camps used by Iranian Kurdish opposition groups near Erbil, with no casualties reported
Six mariners were killed and ten wounded when missiles hit a cargo ship in the Bab al-Mandeb, Yemen's recognised government says
Trump said US naval forces have cleared mines from the Strait of Hormuz and declared the waterway open
Hormuz transits fell to 78 in the week to 9 August from 95 the week before, with 45 of them not linked to Iran
12 August 2026
19 developmentsTrump wrote on Truth Social that the naval blockade will stay, calling it "a wall of steel", a day after the Vela Nova strike
The spill from the grounded tanker Caroline Bezengi has reached Oman's mainland and covers more than 2,000 sq km
Lebanon's state news agency said an Israeli drone struck an Ashura commemoration site in the south, injuring several people
An IRGC spokesman said US power plants, transmission lines and internet-linked infrastructure would be at risk if strikes resume
Brent rose for a sixth session to $89.81 a barrel, taking the week's gain above 7%, with WTI at $84.08
A human-rights monitor recorded 916 executions in Iran since January, 15 of them in August, and said the true figure is higher
Yemen's government put the death toll from the missile attack on the cargo ship Tihamah at six, after a second missile struck rescuers
Pakistan opened a four-day mediation push in Tehran before the 60-day window from the June MoU expires on 16 August
CENTCOM said it has redirected 55 commercial vessels, disabled three and boarded two since the blockade of Iranian ports resumed on 14 July
Pakistan's interior minister met Pezeshkian, Araghchi and the petroleum minister in Tehran on a visit covering energy and diplomacy
A US Navy helicopter fired two Hellfire missiles into the cargo ship Vela Nova in the Gulf of Oman, disabling it, CENTCOM said
An adviser to the IRGC commander told PBS that Iran's strategy is to prolong the war until Trump's term ends
Turkish officials suspect the Israeli intelligence report of an Iranian plot to kill Trump was fabricated to derail US-Iran talks
A conflict-event dataset recorded no US or Israeli strike events and one Iranian strike event across 10 and 11 August
The IRGC said the closure of the Strait of Hormuz stands regardless of the shipping-route agreement Iran has reached with Oman
Iran's Supreme National Security Council said Hormuz will not reopen until the US lifts the blockade, withdraws forces and releases $24bn
Trump said he is demanding compensation from Iran going back 50 years and has instructed his representatives to raise it in all talks
Khamenei named Ahmad Vahidi commander-in-chief of the IRGC, replacing Mohammad Pakpour, who was killed in earlier strikes
An Iranian parliamentary committee advanced a draft bill barring US- and Israeli-linked ships from Hormuz, with a 20% cargo-value penalty
11 August 2026
20 developmentsBrent crude reached $88 a barrel overnight into 11 August, its highest level since 31 July
UNIFIL recorded 455 Israeli projectiles and 97 airspace breaches into southern Lebanon between Friday and Sunday
Houthi forces launched a third wave of missiles and drones at Mocha port and Marib in the early hours of 11 August
Qatar says Iran and Oman have reached a technical stage on reopening Hormuz and agreed inbound and outbound shipping routes
US forces fired a missile at the container ship Vela Nova in the Gulf of Oman, the twelfth vessel hit since the blockade began
Three to five crew were killed aboard the cargo ship Tihamah at anchor near Perim Island, in a suspected Houthi attack
A Houthi drone strike killed two Yemeni government soldiers and wounded seven in Shabwa province
The US average pump price crossed $4.01 a gallon as Brent traded near $87.61 a barrel
Satellite imagery showed twelve ship-to-ship crude transfers off the Oman and UAE coasts as tankers ran dark
Hormuz transits ran at six to seven vessels a day against a pre-war baseline of 130 to 140
Pakistan's defence minister said the United States and Iran are close to some sort of arrangement
Araghchi told German foreign minister Wadephul that securing the strait requires an end to the US naval blockade
Mojtaba Khamenei issued decrees naming six senior commanders, with Ahmad Vahidi as IRGC commander-in-chief
Khamenei ordered the armed forces general staff to complete its merger with the Khatam ol Anbia central headquarters
Trump declined to rule out further military escalation, telling ABC News the ability is there and 'you'll find out'
Trump ordered US negotiators to demand Iranian compensation for killed and wounded Americans in all future talks
CENTCOM has published no public release since 29 July, so no US military account of this window's strikes exists
Iran's Supreme National Security Council set war-damage compensation from Washington as a condition for reopening Hormuz
Trump said the US Navy controls the Strait of Hormuz and has cleared Iranian mines, which no independent source verified
The US strategic petroleum reserve fell to 298.7 million barrels, its lowest level since January 1983
10 August 2026
10 developmentsYemeni officials reported 11 dead and 32 wounded at Mocha after a second, larger wave of missiles and drones on Sunday evening
Trump said the US is low-keying it with Iran and only semi-negotiating, betting on economic pressure over new strikes
Araghchi said the Iran-Oman shipping-lane deal is in final drafting, with inbound and outbound routes running for two to four months
The IRGC called Hormuz a theatre of war and said the strait will stay shut until Washington accepts all of Iran's conditions
Mohsen Rezaei, a former IRGC commander-in-chief, was named secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council, replacing Zolghadr
Iran's Kharg Island oil terminal recorded no tanker departures across the ten days to 9 August, with all three berths idle
Araghchi said no negotiations are under way with the US, only an exchange of messages through intermediaries
US reporting says Trump would accept ending the war without a nuclear deal if Iran fully reopens Hormuz
Oil futures rose about 1.2% after Iran set out its reopening conditions, with Brent trading above $83 a barrel
At least 24 tankers were anchored off Larak Island on 7 August, 16 of them under US sanctions
9 August 2026
20 developmentsSaudi authorities extinguished a fire at Aramco's Jizan refinery after a Houthi drone strike, reporting no casualties
Yemeni government-aligned forces reported seven killed in a Houthi missile and drone attack on the port of Mocha
Hormuz transits fell 34% week-on-week, with 33 vessels crossing Monday to Thursday against 50 the previous week
War-risk insurance for Gulf voyages is running at 7.5-10% of hull value, about ten times pre-conflict levels
Rosatom resumed staffing at Bushehr, with 25 Russian personnel on site and full restoration tied to a documented ceasefire
Iran summoned close to 100 public figures, including more than 20 actors, over posts using the hashtag "No to executions"
Iranian media reported that national security council secretary Zolghadr submitted a resignation and that Pezeshkian refused it
A transitional Hormuz plan would route inbound ships along Iran's northern coast and outbound ships along Oman's for 2-4 months
Iran is seeking roughly 5% of cargo value as a Hormuz transit fee, against Oman's proposed 3%
CENTCOM has redirected 53 commercial vessels, disabled two and boarded two since the naval blockade began
No tanker has loaded crude at Iran's Kharg Island terminal for at least a week
Iran's president and central bank chief told Khamenei directly that the naval blockade is crippling the economy
Iranian annual inflation stood at 88.6% in late June, with output expected to contract 5.4% this year
The Pentagon told defence firms to speed production of low-cost missiles after the war consumed most US long-range precision stocks
UKMTO logged the 8 August vessel strike off Khasab as an unidentified projectile and recorded no claim of responsibility
Vance says the US is negotiating a protected shipping corridor through Hormuz and expects a deal within days
Iran's security council set six conditions for reopening Hormuz, among them sanctions relief and war reparations
Oman said on 8 August that continued attacks on transiting vessels put the Hormuz navigation talks at risk
Turkey's foreign minister said the Mecca defence pact with Saudi Arabia and Pakistan could expand to include Egypt
An open-source tracker recorded no US or Israeli strike inside Iran for eight consecutive nights to 7 August
8 August 2026
20 developmentsThe UAE says an Iranian missile struck an ADNOC tanker off Khasab in the Strait of Hormuz, causing a fire
Iran's Supreme National Security Council has yet to ratify the Hormuz corridor framework, Iranian state media said
Foreign Minister Araghchi said talks with Oman on Hormuz traffic are "very close to an agreement"
US Vice President Vance said Iran has privately told Washington it has no plans to toll the Strait of Hormuz
Israeli troops entered the Lebanese-army-held village of Zawtar al-Gharbiya and built an earthen barrier, an AFP reporter saw
An IRGC spokesman said reopening the Strait of Hormuz depends on the US fully accepting Iran's conditions, not the Oman framework
President Pezeshkian said now is the best time for a Hormuz agreement to be reached
Qatar and Bahrain rejected using the Strait of Hormuz as a bargaining chip and called for it to reopen
An Iranian opposition council reported at least 26 executions across Iran over a single week
The US Treasury sanctioned Dubai crypto exchange Shelbit for processing IRGC-linked funds within an alleged $4bn evasion scheme
Houthi fire on a displacement camp near Sahn al-Jinn in Marib killed two civilians and wounded 14, Yemeni authorities said
Iran's Foreign Ministry denied that talks with the US are underway, contradicting Trump's account of an all-day negotiation
An Israeli drone struck a Lebanese Armed Forces bulldozer in Mansouri, Tyre district, wounding one soldier
Joint Chiefs Chairman Dan Caine is reported to have privately urged senior officials to seek an off-ramp from the war
CENTCOM says it has redirected 51 commercial vessels under the blockade since 14 July, against 44 on 3 August
A source close to the Saudi military said the coalition will not allow the balance of power in Yemen to be changed
A running tally puts the six-month war's added cost to a US household at $527.07 as of 4 August
Kharg Island's three crude export terminals stood idle, with 19 tankers waiting offshore without normal tracking signals
Aramco lifted Red Sea crude exports from about 750,000 b/d to near 4mn b/d by switching to its East-West pipeline
Qatar has lost more than $10bn in LNG export revenue over six months of the conflict
7 August 2026
20 developmentsUS Treasury Secretary Bessent said a 30-60 day ceasefire and a parallel Hormuz resolution could be reached today or tomorrow
Iran said on 7 August that its Hormuz framework with Oman is finalised, with the final text still to be published
Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Pakistan signed the Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, treating an attack on one as an attack on all
Iraq raised its national alert level as an Iran-aligned militia ultimatum over the US-Saudi strikes expired without an attack
ADNOC Logistics reported one crew member killed and 20 injured across 15 of its vessels struck since the war began
Hormuz transits averaged 3.9 vessels a day over the past seven days, about 4% of the pre-war level
Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan are due to sign a trilateral defence pact in Jeddah on 7 August
Mossad chief Roman Gofman reportedly removed two senior officials behind an abandoned plan to unseat Iran's leadership
A Houthi attack on Saudi Arabia's Najran region wounded 11 civilians, among them a woman and a four-year-old child
An Iranian parliamentary committee is reviewing a draft bill to bar US and Israeli ships from the Strait of Hormuz
Houthi missile and drone attacks on Yemeni government camps in Marib and Hadramawt killed at least 30 soldiers
Iran's parliamentary Hormuz plan would keep US- and Israel-linked ships barred until Tehran is compensated for war damage
Eight shipping industry associations, among them BIMCO and the ICS, wrote to the UN opposing mandatory Hormuz transit fees
US crude imports from Saudi Arabia fell to zero in July, the first full month without Saudi shipments in 41 years
Iran and Oman agreed in principle on the coordinates of a temporary Strait of Hormuz shipping route
Iran's foreign ministry said the Oman agreement alone is not enough to reopen the Strait of Hormuz
Israel's Knesset defence committee voted to extend call-up authority for up to 240,000 reservists to 30 September
A senior Saudi official said intelligence detected planning for coordinated militia and Houthi attacks on Saudi ports and energy sites
Oman has proposed a 3% transit fee on declared cargo value for the Hormuz route, against Iran's 5-7%
Brent's futures curve stayed in backwardation, with near-term contracts about $8 a barrel above six-month contracts
6 August 2026
20 developmentsHouthi missiles and drones hit Yemeni army camps in Marib and Hadramaut, killing at least 30 soldiers by government counts
Saudi Arabia announced a 13-country Red Sea maritime coalition that excludes the United States and the European Union
Mediators suspended the Rome round between Israel and Lebanon for a second day running on 6 August, citing 'events on the ground'
Israeli strikes on Burj al-Shamal near Tyre in southern Lebanon wounded between four and eight people on 6 August
The Houthis said they struck the tanker Wafa near Yanbu, taking to eight the Saudi-linked vessels they claim to have hit
Brent was quoted near $83.64 on the morning of 6 August, about $4 above the settlement figures reported a day earlier
Iran's intelligence ministry said it arrested 25 people in Kerman province, 21 of them accused of passing air-defence data to Israel
Mohammad-Bagher Kharrazi, a relative by marriage of the Khamenei family, said publicly that the Islamic Republic 'doesn't work anymore'
Iran Human Rights recorded 71 executions in July, bringing its documented total for 2026 to at least 444
The Houthis said they fired a ballistic missile at the Saudi-operated tanker Daisy in the Gulf of Aden
A tanker master reported hearing two explosions while transiting the Strait of Hormuz near Kumzar, Oman, on 5 August
Pezeshkian said contact with Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei is 'very difficult', holding up sign-off on the Hormuz draft
The United States said it strongly opposes any arrangement letting Iran charge fees on Strait of Hormuz transits
Iran told Gulf capitals that renewed US strikes on its territory would trigger Iranian attacks on regional energy infrastructure
Trump told Fox News that Iran will 'get hit really hard' if it backs out of talks again
An explosive device killed two Israeli reservists and wounded four at Majdal Zoun in southern Lebanon on 5 August
The seventh round of US-mediated Israel-Lebanon talks in Rome broke off early after Israel's envoy requested a suspension
Trump confronted Defense Secretary Hegseth over shortages of long-range precision munitions and air-defence interceptors
Brent crude settled below $80 on 5 August, a third consecutive losing session
Kataib Hezbollah's leader rejected Iraq's end-September disarmament deadline and said the group will expand its arsenal
5 August 2026
20 developmentsThe UN human rights chief said at least 56 people have been executed on national-security charges in Iran since 19 March
Iran and Oman agreed the coordinates of a two-way Hormuz shipping corridor, with a joint statement in final drafting
Iranian and Omani negotiators finished a draft text that now awaits sign-off from Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei
Iranian state television said the corridor agreement does not reopen the strait while what Tehran calls US violations continue
An Israeli strike on Tebnine in southern Lebanon killed one person and wounded 11 to 12, Lebanese state media reported
Houthi military spokesman Yahya Saree threatened to strike Saudi oil tankers transiting the northern Red Sea
Secretary of State Rubio said there has been progress in the Hormuz talks but no finality yet
Brent traded in an $80.37 to $83.72 band on 5 August, modestly higher than the day before
Strait of Hormuz transits held at eight vessels on 5 August, against a pre-war baseline of roughly 130 to 140 a day
The US Treasury removed counterterrorism sanctions on Fly Baghdad Airlines and two of its aircraft
Khamenei's office called the claim that the Supreme Leader would accept a Pezeshkian resignation entirely false
Brent crude fell about 4.7% on 4 August to roughly $79.82 a barrel
Pezeshkian said on state television that he will not resign, rejecting a cleric's claim of repeated resignation threats
Iran's leadership approved terms for a 60-day interim Hormuz arrangement, a US official and a regional source said
Indian-flagged cargo vessel MSV Faize Noore Oliya sank 13 nautical miles south of Hodeidah after a projectile strike
Iran is privately weighing letting European navies clear mines from a proposed central Hormuz channel, people familiar said
Iranian officials cite unresolved issues over the reopening mechanism, maritime service fees and security arrangements
Trump discussed de-escalation by phone with Qatar's Emir, who urged implementation of the earlier US-Iran memorandum
Three officials said the US has expended nearly 80% of its key missile interceptors since the war began
Saudi-linked Bab el-Mandeb crossings averaged 0.86 a day over 27 July to 2 August, down from 1.83 beforehand
4 August 2026
20 developmentsIran said no IAEA inspectors are currently in the country, with a delegation visit expected in less than 10 days
The IRGC struck a US military installation area in Kuwait with at least three drones
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the US and Iran may reach a deal to open the Strait of Hormuz 'today or tomorrow'
Foreign ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei said an Oman route deal alone would not reopen the Strait without an end to US strikes
Sources familiar with the negotiations described a draft Iran-Oman arrangement giving Iran control of the inbound lane into the Gulf
A US official said any new shipping routes would be temporary and would not require Iranian approval or permission
Qatar's foreign ministry said draft language for an agreement is circulating between Washington and Tehran
Iran's foreign ministry said it has no plans to send or host negotiating delegations in the coming days
Government sources said US forces have used virtually all ATACMS missiles and about 65% of Patriot interceptors since 28 February
Yemen's Houthis claimed a drone strike on Najran Airport in southern Saudi Arabia, which Saudi authorities have not confirmed
A projectile hit the bulk carrier Minoan Pioneer 20 nautical miles off Al Khasab, Oman, leaving one crew member missing
The US blockade's running total of redirected ships reached 44 on 3 August, nine more than the day before
Trump called the talks Iran's 'last chance' for a deal and said he was offering 'every last chance before decapitation'
US Central Command asked intelligence staff for 'creative and unconventional' ways to pressure and punish Iran
The Pentagon signed contracts with Lockheed Martin and Northrop Grumman to quadruple output of missile-interceptor components
Brent's September contract traded at $85.79 a barrel against $77.49 six months out, a gap of roughly $8
Zarif and Rezaei took opposing public positions on how long Iran should keep the Strait of Hormuz closed
Iranian point-to-point inflation was reported at 96%, approaching triple digits
Araghchi said Iran's talks with Oman on a separate-lane transit route through the Strait of Hormuz are in their final stages
QatarEnergy extended force majeure to 24 cargoes after the LNG carrier GasLog Shanghai was struck off Oman on 31 July
3 August 2026
19 developmentsBrent fell 5.1% to $83.44 and WTI 6.4% to $79.28 by 1315 GMT, which traders tied to the cancelled strike
US Central Command emailed military analysts asking for creative and unconventional ways to pressure and punish Iran
Singapore's foreign minister rejected Iran's Hormuz transit fees, which Lloyd's List reports reaching $2m a ship
Iran's Foreign Ministry said it is not negotiating with the United States, rejecting Trump's account of Monday talks
Israel's Knesset defence committee extended emergency reservist call-up authority to 30 September, capped at 240,000
A tanker master reported an explosion 20 nautical miles north-east of Khasab, with vessel and crew reported safe
Iran hanged Omid Behzad and Pouria Safvat at dawn on charges of passing site coordinates to Israeli intelligence
Pezeshkian said the Supreme National Security Council stands behind the June memorandum and urged Washington to honour it
Trump said a new round of US-Iran talks, arranged by Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Qatar, begins on Monday afternoon
Trump said he called off a planned major strike on Iran after Gulf states and Tehran asked him to hold off
Oman asked whether Araghchi's acceptance of the US-Qatari transit proposal carries Revolutionary Guard backing
Iran's foreign minister said talks with Oman on a new traffic-separation shipping route are in their final stages
An Iranian army spokesman said Iran used the ceasefire to import, repair and produce weapons, including an upgraded drone
Yemen's Houthis widened their declared blockade of Saudi shipping through Bab el-Mandeb after Saudi strikes on Sanaa airport
CENTCOM said it has diverted 35 commercial vessels, disabled two and boarded two more under the naval blockade
The LNG carrier GasLog Shanghai lost propulsion off the Omani coast after a projectile hit its port engine room
Iran executed Arvin Kheirkhah, a 20-year-old detained during the January protests, at Shahroud prison on 1 August
Cyberattacks disrupted municipal water systems in at least seven US states, with 30 or more affected in Minnesota
Brent crude closed July near $88 a barrel, up 24% over the month
2 August 2026
20 developmentsIran's Fars and Mehr agencies rejected Trump's claim of an agreed framework, saying Hormuz stays closed to uncoordinated vessels
Iran's negotiating team called the reported Qatar- and US-brokered plan to split Hormuz transit between Iranian and Omani waters false
No strike by any party was recorded after the cancellation, per a live-blog entry timestamped 06:37 EDT on 2 August
Trump said he cancelled the approved strike on Iran, citing agreed "perimeters of a deal" covering Hormuz and the nuclear file
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman telephoned Trump about an hour earlier, urging him not to hit Iranian energy sites
Foreign Minister Araghchi told Pakistani, Turkish and Saudi counterparts by phone that Iran would answer any attack in kind
Kuwait said the drones intercepted on 1 August hit several vital facilities, including a government building in the north
The White House said Iran "will continue to pay" until it comes to the table, hours after Trump announced the halted strike
Israeli media report the government learned of the cancelled strike from Trump's post rather than through direct coordination
Brent futures moved into backwardation, the September contract at $85.79 against $77.49 six months out
Iranian authorities blocked or seized at least 72 high-profile social-media accounts and sealed 23 businesses between 11 July and 1 August
An explosion occurred near a second vessel 21 nautical miles north-west of Khasab on 1 August, with no damage or injuries recorded
A projectile hit the LNG carrier GasLog Shanghai, carrying Qatari cargo, off Oman and damaged its engine room, with no injuries reported
Iran's national security secretary said continued naval blockade enforcement could push Tehran to close sea passages beyond Hormuz
Two IRGC officers said Quds Force staff used the April ceasefire to coordinate with Hezbollah, Houthi and Iraqi militia commanders
Iran's Statistical Center put point-to-point inflation at 87.9% for July, with rural inflation at 106.9%
An opposition group counted at least 72 executions in Iran during July, including seven prisoners held over the January unrest
Yemen's Houthi authorities denied planning to charge ships for Red Sea passage, calling their transit service voluntary and free
US and Israeli planning for the 1-2 August weekend put Iran's oil terminals, refining capacity and Kharg Island on the target list
A maritime intelligence vendor named the two LNG carriers burned at Egypt's Port of Damietta and attributed the attack to Iran
1 August 2026
20 developmentsNo attack on Iranian energy sites had been carried out as of 16:20 GMT on 1 August, and no go-order was reported
Iraq and Turkey signed a one-year deal to keep 750,000 barrels a day flowing through their pipeline, bypassing Hormuz
An Israeli official said Israel had not been asked to join US operations against Iran, contradicting US sourcing in the same report
US embassies in Amman, Jerusalem and Baghdad told American citizens to prepare to leave, urging those in Iraq to depart immediately
Iran executed Arvin Kheirkhah, a 20-year-old sentenced to death over the January protests, at Shahroud prison
Iran's foreign minister warned the UK, Bulgaria and Cyprus that hosting attacks on Iran would make them aggressors
Kuwait said it destroyed a fresh wave of Iranian drones at dawn on 1 August, with falling shrapnel hitting a government facility
An unknown projectile hit a tanker 11 nautical miles off Lima, Oman, damaging its engine room and leaving it without propulsion
Iranian officials said the armed forces have a broad plan ready to strike US and Israeli sites across the region
Hormuz transits rose to nine vessels on 1 August, against about 140 a day before the crisis
Trump ordered preparations for a fresh strike on Iranian energy infrastructure, with officials saying no final order has been given
Trump told a Camp David Cabinet meeting that US strikes will continue until Iran "can't take it anymore"
Iran's new Persian Gulf Strait Authority said passage through Hormuz is "not possible" and paused transit permits
The IRGC said it struck and halted two oil tankers transiting Hormuz under US military escort
Iran said it hit two US-linked airbases in Kuwait with kamikaze drones, a claim CENTCOM answered by reporting no damage
Tehran's prosecutors opened cases against people who publicly criticised last week's executions of two protesters in Isfahan
A Houthi foreign-affairs source denied Yemeni responsibility for the drone strike on two gas carriers at Egypt's Damietta port
Iran has halted talks with the United States until Israeli strikes in Lebanon stop, one Iraqi outlet reported
Iran's ambassador to Moscow said Tehran and Oman will jointly set a Hormuz transit fee for Western ships
Weapons forensics identified a 2,000lb Mark-84 bomb at a Qeshm Island home where a family of three was killed
31 July 2026
10 developmentsBrent settled near $89 after touching above $92 this week, on track for its biggest monthly gain since March at about 21%
US Treasury sanctioned two Shanghai firms and an executive for shipping electronics to Iran's Mahan Air
US Navy warships began escorting some tankers through Hormuz, though overall transit stayed about 90% below normal
British Airways permanently ended its Jeddah service as Gulf carriers cancelled flights across the region
Fourteen states signed a founding statement launching Saudi Arabia's maritime-defence coalition, without the UAE and Oman
The US State Department said a return to direct talks with Iran is not imminent and remains in a difficult phase
CENTCOM said no US aircraft were lost in its strike wave on Iran, disputing IRGC claims of destroyed jets in Jordan
Iraq's prime minister cancelled his first official visit to Saudi Arabia after US-Saudi air strikes killed about 20 fighters on Iraqi soil
A drone struck the US-owned LNG storage unit at Egypt's Damietta port, marking the war's first attack on Egyptian territory
Trump threatened to destroy an Iranian bridge or power plant for every ship Iran fires on in Hormuz
30 July 2026
20 developmentsSaudi Arabia is consulting dozens of countries to build a coalition protecting Red Sea shipping as the Houthi blockade holds
US revoked the licence permitting limited Iranian oil sales after the IRGC Navy said it halted three tankers in the Strait of Hormuz
Local media reported three civilians killed on Iran's Qeshm Island in the overnight US strikes, including a two-year-old child
Iran launched retaliatory strikes on Kuwait, hitting the Ali al-Salem air base and a Chinese firm's site, where one worker was killed
US struck dozens of IRGC targets across at least six Iranian provinces overnight, ending its five-night pause in the air campaign
Brent crude closed at $90.74 a barrel on 29 July, up 7.9%, after the Jordan strike and near-halted Hormuz traffic
US Treasury sanctioned eight tankers and ten firms, six of them China-based, for moving Iranian oil through the Strait of Hormuz
Houthi forces hit Saudi oil facilities with drones launched from Iraqi soil, coordinated with Iraqi militias under IRGC supervision
Trump warned of further US strikes on Iran while framing them as contingent on reaching an agreement
Iran said it has submitted no request to negotiate with the US in the past 15 days, denying an active back-channel
Rights monitors said Iran moved protester Kaveh Arabian toward execution and upheld a second protester's death sentence
The Houthis said they will expand their Red Sea blockade and are weighing a toll system for ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb
A drone struck the US-owned tanker Energos Winter at Egypt's Damietta port and started a fire that spread to a second vessel
US and Saudi aircraft struck Iran-aligned militia sites across seven Iraqi provinces, killing at least 20 fighters and wounding 32
China supplied Iran 300 to 400 shoulder-fired air-defence systems via Pakistan in a reported deal Beijing and Islamabad denied
At least 14 drone strikes since 27 July hit Iranian-Kurdish opposition bases in Iraqi Kurdistan, Kurdish authorities said
Israel mobilised about 100,000 additional reservists and said it is prepared to resume strikes on Iran
Iran's missile strike on a US airbase in Jordan was intercepted in full, CENTCOM and Jordan's military said, with no casualties
Iran publicly hanged two men in Isfahan convicted over deaths during January's unrest, bringing the case total to four executed
Hormuz tanker transits fell to zero on both 24 and 25 July, against a historical norm near 138 vessels a day
29 July 2026
40 developmentsKataib Hezbollah threatened to strike US assets in Saudi Arabia and gave Iraq's government until 6 August to defend its sovereignty
Iran's IRGC Navy said it stopped three vessels in the Strait of Hormuz for taking an 'unsafe and illegal route'
Iran's deputy foreign minister Gharibabadi countered Oman's even split, asking that parts of both Hormuz legs sit in Iranian waters
Iran rejected a US proposal in Islamabad-mediated indirect talks and the US withdrew its delegates
The IRGC said it struck and stopped three oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz that ignored its warnings
The US Treasury sanctioned eight tankers and ten entities, six of them China-based, over Iran-related shipping
China and Pakistan denied a Reuters report that 300 to 400 man-portable air-defence systems are being routed to Iran
China is reportedly shipping 300-400 shoulder-fired air-defence missiles to Iran via Pakistan, a claim Beijing and Islamabad both deny
Brent rebounded 4% to $87.73 a barrel on 29 July, reversing the prior week's decline after Iran's missile attack
China will reportedly supply Iran with air-defence missiles within weeks
US and Saudi aircraft struck Iran-backed militia sites in eastern Iraq on 29 July, the first Saudi-claimed strikes inside Iraq this war
Jordan's armed forces said they detected and shot down five missiles fired from Iran under their rules of engagement
Iraq's prime minister cancelled a planned Jeddah meeting with the Saudi crown prince after the joint strikes on Iraqi soil
A Hezbollah drone hit an Israeli army engineering vehicle in south Lebanon, which the IDF called a breach of the June ceasefire
The front-month Brent contract traded $8.92 a barrel above the sixth month, the widest premium since 10 June
Iraq's Popular Mobilisation Forces said at least 20 of its fighters were killed and 32 wounded in the joint strikes
Iran's deputy parliament speaker, Ali Nikzad, said the Strait of Hormuz will not return to its previous status
Trump said the US would hit Iran hard in retaliation after the missile attack on its forces in Jordan
Trump said the US would be hitting Iran hard in response to the ballistic-missile launch at American forces
Iran fired ballistic missiles at US forces on 28 July, and CENTCOM said all were intercepted with no casualties
Israeli intelligence presented to Trump alleges Iran moved centrifuges to the underground Pickaxe Mountain site near Natanz
Iraq's Popular Mobilisation Forces put their losses from the US-Saudi strikes at 20 killed and 32 wounded
Netanyahu presented Trump with three Iran options at the White House: a diplomatic deal, continued sanctions, or a major offensive
Analysts map a three-way split in Iran's leadership over Hormuz, from IRGC hardliners to a Pezeshkian-aligned compromise bloc
Trump said on 28 July that the US would strike the Pickaxe Mountain nuclear site if Iran does not reach an agreement
All six Strait of Hormuz transits on 27 July used the IRGC-controlled northern corridor, with none through the contested southern channel
Iran said Ukraine told it the Caspian Sea strike that killed an Iranian sailor was unintentional
Ukraine told Tehran that its 25 July Caspian Sea strike, which killed an Iranian sailor, was unintentional
Iran's foreign ministry said no negotiations are underway and called reports of an Iranian initiative fabrications
Pakistan says Iran has signalled readiness to resume talks on a phased agenda taking Hormuz first and the nuclear file last
Iran rejected Oman's proposed 50-50 split of Strait of Hormuz shipping lanes, demanding full control of the inbound lane
Economic protests spread across at least nine Iranian cities in late July as the IMF projected a 5.4% GDP contraction for 2026
UKMTO reported that CENTCOM had redirected 17 commercial vessels, disabled two and boarded two enforcing the blockade of Iranian ports
Amnesty International said at least 60 protest-linked defendants in Iran face execution, three of them minors when the offence occurred
Houthis struck a fourth Saudi tanker, the NCC Ghazal, with ballistic missiles, forcing it to turn back under their Saudi-shipping ban
Iran publicly executed two men in Isfahan on 28 July over January protests, its first public executions of 2026, as crowds gathered
Windward recorded no tanker crossings of the Strait of Hormuz on 27 July, a count that UKMTO's official figures do not match
China and Pakistan denied a Reuters report that 300 to 400 Chinese shoulder-launched air-defence launchers are being shipped to Iran
Trump and Netanyahu met at the White House for about 80 minutes on 28 July, their first meeting in person since the war began
Asian spot LNG rose to $22/MMBtu as the Hormuz crisis cut Qatari and Emirati gas loadings
28 July 2026
20 developmentsBrent crude settled near $86.58 on 28 July, down about 1.5% in a third consecutive session of losses
Trump met Netanyahu at the White House on 28 July with the Iran war top of the agenda, and played down Israeli pressure to escalate
Trump threatened to hit a named underground site, bridges and power plants, and said the US controls the Strait of Hormuz
Oman offered Iran a joint Hormuz-management scheme modelled on the Strait of Malacca and funded by voluntary contributions
A separate US-Iran back-channel on Red Sea and Hormuz shipping was reported, with Washington seeking an end to attacks at sea
Iran estimated its total conflict losses at about $270 billion, including destroyed natural-gas production capacity
Commercial transits through Bab el-Mandeb fell to 15 vessels on 26 July from 34 on 20 July, a 56% decline
Iran's foreign ministry said it will not let the US set the timing of war and peace and will keep defending itself as long as necessary
The US Joint Chiefs chairman said Russia continued sharing intelligence and satellite imagery with Iran to help target US forces
An execution monitor put Iran's 2026 total at 424 across all categories, up about 54 over July
Iran executed two more protesters in Isfahan on 28 July, raising executions in the Alikhani Square case to four of 12 sentenced
A US think tank reported Iranian-backed militias struck Jordanian and Saudi energy sites, a claim not independently corroborated
Netanyahu left Israel from a military airbase under secret arrangements, citing an Iranian threat, ahead of his 28 July Trump meeting
Iran vowed to answer Ukraine's deadly Caspian Sea strike on Iranian-linked vessels and summoned Kyiv's chargé d'affaires
Trump said he is ready to order strong military action against Iran, larger than prior strikes, if negotiations fail
Iran said it rejected a US proposal and made no request to negotiate, contradicting Trump's claim that a deal was close
Officials reported significant progress in Iran-Oman talks on a Hormuz transit compromise, with a Qatari delegation joining
Pakistani officials said the US may be readying a coastal ground push against Iran even as Islamabad and Qatar relay ceasefire offers
Brent crude fell about 8% on 27 July as the US-Iran strike pause held a fourth day, easing supply-disruption fears
The Pentagon recategorised its Iran-war casualty reporting, raising the cumulative total to 18 killed and 624 wounded
27 July 2026
18 developmentsAn FDD analysis judged the US short on munitions, naval modernisation and multi-theatre manpower after months of fighting Iran
Saudi Arabia said it destroyed several drones launched from Iraqi territory toward oil installations and Riyadh
Mediators reported progress toward a compromise, with Oman proposing two separately controlled but open shipping lanes through Hormuz
An Iranian source said Tehran will keep holding fire as long as the US maintains its strike pause, now in its third day
Al Arabiya reported Iran and the US each answered a Pakistani-Qatari proposal to resume talks in Geneva, Doha or Islamabad
Iran said a Ukrainian strike on an Iranian commercial vessel in the Caspian Sea killed one sailor
Mojtaba Khamenei said in a written statement there is 'no path forward except jihad and resistance' against the US and Israel
Trump posted AI-generated images depicting a strike on Iran's Kharg Island oil terminal during the strike pause
A US think tank assessed that current US strikes have likely not changed Iran's aim to control Hormuz by force
Netanyahu told Fox News the war ends only with the Iranian government's fall or its abandonment of nuclear weapons work
Netanyahu will meet Trump at the White House on 28 July to discuss Iran, including possible military action
Brent crude fell about 7% to roughly $90 a barrel on 26 July after the US paused strikes
A Patriot battery operated by Greek personnel reportedly intercepted two Houthi missiles aimed at Saudi Arabia's Yanbu on 26 July
Iranian missiles and drones are increasingly evading US air defences through saturation tactics, the Wall Street Journal reported
Araghchi told the EU and Russia that Ukraine's Caspian strike on Iran-linked shipping 'cannot go unanswered'
CENTCOM's Adm. Brad Cooper judged Iran's Hormuz-campaign targets 'mostly exhausted', reported as the driver of the US strike pause
Kpler recorded one vessel transiting the Strait of Hormuz in the 24 hours to 25 July, down from a pre-war baseline near 120-140 a day
Iran transferred Issa Chari, sentenced to death on 25 July for alleged PMOI membership, to pre-execution solitary confinement
26 July 2026
20 developmentsUS strikes on Iran paused for a third night after Trump declined a prepared 14th-night strike plan
Iran's army said it halted retaliatory operations while the US strike pause holds
Iran said deputy-foreign-minister talks with Oman in Tehran on safe Hormuz transit made 'useful' progress
Iran and Oman advanced a Strait of Hormuz transit-toll plan estimated at up to $7bn a year
Iranian state media said an oil tanker exploded after striking a naval mine, having left Iran's designated Hormuz route
US paused its nightly strikes on Iran for a second consecutive night, with a Defense Department source describing operations as on hold
Oman-mediated talks on reopening the Strait of Hormuz showed progress but remained unresolved
A Ukrainian strike hit a commercial vessel Tehran describes as Iran-linked in the Caspian Sea, killing one sailor
Satellite thermal data confirmed fires at Saudi Aramco's Jizan refinery after 25 July Houthi strikes on Yanbu and Jizan
US Treasury reportedly designated about $100m in properties tied to new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei
Houthis fired missiles and drones at Saudi Aramco facilities at Yanbu and Jizan, with a fire reported at Jizan
CENTCOM said its naval blockade of Iran continued despite the strike pause: 12 vessels redirected, two disabled and two boarded
Trump said the US was 'locked and loaded and ready to go, but we're talking to them' on Iran, signalling no final decision on a wider strike
Vance and Caine reportedly raised concerns about widening the war at a Friday White House meeting as Trump weighed whether to escalate
Brent crude rose above $100 a barrel after the Aramco strikes before partially retracing
Zelenskyy said he would share intelligence alleging Russian satellite targeting support to Iran
Trump and Netanyahu will meet at the White House on 28 July, officially on Iran and security
US and UK planned a London conference to build a maritime coalition to reopen the Strait of Hormuz
Pakistan and Iran explored a China-initiated path back to US talks, conditioned on a halt to Gulf attacks
Daily Strait of Hormuz crossings fell 70%, from 45 to 13, with most traffic rerouting through Iran's corridor
25 July 2026
31 developmentsUS skips a 14th consecutive night of strikes on Iran, breaking a 13-night run of bombing
Houthis struck Saudi Aramco sites at Yanbu and Jizan with ballistic missiles, cruise missiles and drones
US intelligence assesses Iran's new supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei favours nuclear weapons more than his father
Brent crude fell about 4% on the talks-revival reports, retracing from a peak near $102 a barrel
CENTCOM completed a 13th consecutive night of strikes on Iran, with command centres and communications networks leading the published target list alongside air-defence, missile-storage and coastal-surveillance sites; CENTCOM said the Strait of Hormuz remains open under US escort.
Corroborated
A US missile strike near Ahvaz killed four and wounded five as the 13th-night wave hit sites across Khuzestan, with strikes also reported in Isfahan, Lorestan, Markazi and Hormozgan provinces.
Corroborated
US-led forces intercepted five explosive-laden drones over Erbil, northern Iraq, near a base hosting US forces; no casualties or damage were reported and attribution between Iranian forces and Iraqi militias is unresolved.
The US Navy disabled a second merchant vessel breaching the Iran port blockade, firing into the engine room of the M/T Lavine in the Gulf of Oman; the IMO reports about 6,000 mariners stranded on roughly 400 vessels around the Strait.
Trump said he was considering 'a massive attack, bigger than anything that has happened before' and was 'close to making a decision', framing the exit as either escalated strikes or a deal Iran 'isn't ready' for; two US officials said no decision had been made and no new orders issued.
Corroborated
Trump threatened via Truth Social to strike a bridge or power plant 'in the Capital City of Tehran' in response to any new Iranian attack on a Hormuz tanker, widening the declared target set to the capital.
WSJ reporting, relayed via an aggregator, said Trump has privately 'had it' with negotiations and is inclined to keep striking (primary WSJ source paywalled; relay only).
Iran rejected a US ceasefire proposal carried to Tehran by Iraqi PM Ali al-Zaidi, insisting on a settlement codifying its say over the Strait of Hormuz rather than a time-limited truce.
Corroborated
Pakistan and Iran explored a China-initiated push to restart US-Iran talks, with Iran's interior minister visiting Islamabad a second time in ten days; sourcing cautioned that obstacles to US engagement remain high.
The US and UK are planning a London summit next week to build a Western-Middle Eastern maritime coalition for the Strait of Hormuz, framed as part of a US exit strategy; date and itinerary are not finalised.
Corroborated
Iran addressed the UN Security Council, defending its strikes as lawful self-defence under Article 51 and accusing the US of unlawful attacks it said had killed over 50 Iranians (casualty figure is an Iranian government claim, not independently verified).
The Saudi-led coalition struck Houthi military targets in Hodeidah, including reported hits on telecommunications facilities, after a Houthi attack caused minor hull damage to the Saudi-flagged tanker NCC MASA; no casualties were reported.
Corroborated
A Houthi spokesman narrowed the Red Sea blockade to Saudi-flagged and Saudi-bound shipping, with analysts reporting enforcement selective by flag; Chinese-owned tankers reportedly passed while Saudi- and Western-linked operators faced warnings or attack.
Corroborated
Brent crossed $100 mid-week and peaked near $102 before settling 3.9% lower at $96.78 on Friday, its biggest one-day drop since late June, as traders weighed mediation signals; US retail petrol reached a $4.09 national average.
Corroborated
The war fed into global debt markets, with the 10-year US Treasury yield rising to 4.71% on 23 July, its highest since January 2025, as traders braced for higher Gulf sovereign borrowing.
Corroborated
US intelligence is formally investigating a reported Russian role in Iran's precision drone strikes on CIA facilities in the Gulf; a Western intelligence memo reportedly judged Russia 'likely' involved, which Russia denies, while Trump said Xi and Putin had assured him neither would arm Iran.
Corroborated
An opposition source reported Iran executed a protester, Mehdi Khanaki, on 23 July and that scattered protests continued amid water and electricity shortages from strike damage (Iranian opposition source, not independently verified).
Bahraini and Kuwaiti warplanes reportedly struck Iranian drone and missile depots, their first direct strikes on Iran
Iran launched drones and missiles at US bases in Bahrain, Jordan, Kuwait and Qatar
A US missile strike near Ahvaz killed four people and wounded five inside Iran
Bomb-laden drones targeted Erbil in Iraqi Kurdistan, with five intercepted near the airport and one crashing nearby
Iran rejected a US ceasefire proposal delivered to Tehran by the Iraqi prime minister
China and Pakistan pushed to revive stalled US-Iran talks as Iran's interior minister visited Islamabad
Iran struck US-linked bases in Kuwait, Jordan and Bahrain in its broadest retaliation of the week; the IRGC claimed hits on the Ali Al Salem and Udairi bases in Kuwait and Iran's army claimed drone strikes on Al-Azraq in Jordan (claimed effects are Iran-sourced).
Corroborated
The US House passed a second, non-binding war-powers resolution rebuking Trump on Iran 214-208 with four Republicans crossing over, while the Senate fell short 47-49 on a binding measure.
Corroborated
Hormuz war-risk insurance premiums climbed to a reported 7.5-10% of hull value, up from about 5% on 11 July, implying $3-10m in added cost on a $100m tanker.
Corroborated
A Qatar-Pakistan-Egypt 10-day truce proposal stalled on the same Hormuz-control impasse, with an envoy meeting Iran's leadership on 24 July but no agreed diplomatic text.
24 July 2026
9 developmentsTrump says Gulf shipping-damage claims will be paid from frozen Iranian assets; Araghchi calls it an 'incendiary precedent'.
Iranian officials signal Iran would strike Tel Aviv and seek a Bab al-Mandab blockade if the US strikes Tehran.
Corroborated
Iran returns a ten-point counter-proposal tying any settlement to the Strait of Hormuz's legal status, which a US official calls 'maximalist'.
Southern Red Sea war-risk premiums roughly triple in three days, passing 1% of hull value.
Brent eases to about $100.40 a barrel, holding above $100.
Corroborated
US missile strike near Ahvaz kills four and wounds five on the 13th consecutive night of CENTCOM strikes.
Corroborated
Iraqi PM al-Zaidi's Tehran visit yields four cooperation agreements and a timetable for US troops to leave Iraq by end-September.
Corroborated
Trump conditions the new US-Saudi civil-nuclear pact on Saudi normalisation with Israel.
Corroborated
Hormuz daily tanker transits fall to 10 on 22 July from 16 the day before.
Get the news digest by email each morning and evening.
Your email is processed in accordance with GDPR. We send updates only — no marketing, no sharing.