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Phase 2 Last updated 9 September 2026 at 06:01 CEST

What changed

CENTCOM destroyed five Iranian oil tankers on Tuesday, four in the Gulf of Oman and one near Kharg Island. Washington then warned Tehran would lose more tankers for every attempt on US warships. Jordan's military said it intercepted 18 of 20 Iranian missiles aimed at Al-Azraq air base.

9 September 2026

10 developments

Jordan's military said it intercepted 18 of 20 Iranian ballistic missiles fired at the Al-Azraq air base, with no casualties

Secretary of State Marco Rubio said Iran would lose tankers each time it attempted to strike US naval vessels

Amnesty International documented at least 41 civilian deaths in strikes on three Tehran neighbourhoods and asked for an independent inquiry

Qatar's foreign ministry said an average of ten commodity vessels a day transited Hormuz over the preceding ten days

CENTCOM said it destroyed five Iranian oil tankers, four in the Gulf of Oman and one near Kharg Island, and released video of one sinking

The Pentagon disclosed 26 further US service members wounded in action since early July under its overseas operations category

A Brown University tracker puts extra US spending on petrol and diesel since 28 February at $100.9bn, or $770 a household

The IRGC Navy told tanker crews near Kuwaiti and Bahraini ports to leave their vessels, saying the ships could be targeted

US officials said Iran attempted to strike the joint US-UK base at Diego Garcia, and that both missiles failed to reach it

Iran's security council secretary said an Oman-mediated temporary Hormuz shipping corridor is days away, with maps to be signed shortly

8 September 2026

20 developments

The US Treasury sanctioned Iran's remaining 27 airlines and revoked three authorisations covering overflights and US-origin aircraft

Brent crude traded above $99 a barrel on Tuesday, a second consecutive session higher and about $33 above the year-earlier level

The IRGC Navy said it captured a US autonomous underwater vehicle at the entrance to the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday

Trump posted that oil prices will drop "precipitously" when the US wins its war with Iran, to below $2 a gallon

Iran's third-tier subsidised petrol price doubled to 10,000 tomans a litre on Tuesday, with security forces posted at fuel stations

Turkey moved to sign a fertiliser-import memorandum with Russia, citing difficulty sourcing urea from Gulf producers

Houthi missiles and drones struck Aramco fuel terminals at Abha, Jizan and Najran and King Khalid Air Base overnight

Yemen's deputy defence minister said on state television that the government has decided to retake Sanaa from the Houthis

The Saudi-led coalition said Houthi attacks on civilian and economic sites inside Saudi Arabia had injured 73 people

Seven commodity vessels transited the Strait of Hormuz on Monday against eight the previous day, on Kpler tracking

An adviser to Iraq's prime minister said Baghdad is moving oil exports away from the Strait of Hormuz through pipeline diversification

The Houthi-run health ministry accused Saudi Arabia of an air strike on al-Hazm prison in al-Jawf that killed seven people

An Iranian negotiator said Tehran will abandon "proportionate responses" to US strikes, after six months of matched retaliation

Iran's president and parliament speaker think Tehran should negotiate an exit from the war before its bargaining position weakens

A UAE presidential adviser said the Emirates is building alternative export routes so it is not "held hostage" by the Iran war

Israel issued its third evacuation warning since the June ceasefire before a strike near Deir al-Zahrani that killed at least 11

Foreign ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei said an Iran-managed transit corridor agreed with Oman would be announced in coming days

Iran's security council secretary said Tehran will declare a maritime restricted zone starting at the US blockade line outside Hormuz

IAEA chief Grossi said the agency has had no field verification access in Iran for over a year, as its board weighs a European referral

Brent crude touched $97.29 a barrel on Monday, its highest in nearly seven weeks, after the weekend's strikes on tankers

7 September 2026

20 developments

Hormuz traffic fell to an average of ten vessels a day on Sunday, the lowest daily level since May, on Kpler tracking

The IRGC Navy said Khasab in Oman marks the end of the safe route for vessels crossing the Strait of Hormuz

A UAE presidential adviser said the country is expanding east-coast ports and pipelines to cut its dependence on the Strait of Hormuz

The United States is drafting a UN Security Council referral over Iran's nuclear non-compliance, backed by European IAEA board members

Saudi Aramco's 400,000-barrel-a-day Jizan refinery was struck again on 7 September, the second attack on the site this month

Iran's parliament speaker said US oil and gas facilities in the region are exposed and would be struck if Iranian assets are hit

Iran's foreign ministry said a Qatari delegation visited Tehran on 6 September to reduce tensions, separately from the Oman corridor talks

CENTCOM reported no coalition strike anywhere in the theatre over the 6-7 September reporting day, the first gap since 1 September

Iran and Oman are reported to be days from signing an agreement on a Hormuz transit corridor with Iranian-controlled entry points

AP put the toll from Sunday's Israeli strikes on southern Lebanon at seven killed, against Al Jazeera's later count of four

Iran's security council secretary said Tehran will declare a restricted maritime zone outside the Strait of Hormuz within days

Israeli strikes on Kfar Rumman in southern Lebanon killed at least nine overnight, with Lebanese and US outlets reporting up to twelve

Israel's military held an unannounced nationwide mobilisation drill, calling up commanders without warning and assessing reservists

A UKMTO advisory carried single-digit daily Hormuz transits from AIS tracking alongside US naval liaison data showing over 20 a day

The Financial Times reported a four-month covert US Navy SEAL operation clearing mines from the Strait of Hormuz

Brent crude settled at $96.82 a barrel on 6 September, more than 8% up on the week

CENTCOM's blockade tally reached 92 vessels redirected, three disabled and two boarded as of 6 September

An Iranian opposition compiler put the free-market dollar rate above 2.8 million rials, a record low against an official 1.6 million

The US Treasury designated an IRGC-Quds Force-managed global shipping network and issued a licence to wind down dealings with it

A recovered UKMTO advisory logged two tankers hit near Oman on 30 August, one left dead in the water, with no crew casualties

6 September 2026

20 developments

Lebanon's health ministry put the toll from Israeli attacks at 4,362 killed and 12,378 injured since 2 March

Israel said its artillery struck the outskirts of al-Rafid in southern Syria

Hezbollah launched two explosive drones at Israeli forces beyond the yellow line, the Israeli military said

An Israeli drone strike on a car in Nabatieh, southern Lebanon, wounded several people, Lebanon's national news agency said

US Energy Secretary Chris Wright said about 9 million barrels a day are transiting Hormuz, two-thirds or more of pre-conflict flows

CENTCOM spokesman Capt. Tim Hawkins called Iran's claimed strike on a US uncrewed surface vessel "a total lie"

Iran's foreign minister spoke by phone with his Turkish and Saudi counterparts on Saturday about the Hormuz standoff

TankerTrackers put Middle East crude exports 39% below the pre-war baseline in August, against 67% below at the May low

The IRGC said it attacked a remotely operated US drone boat approaching the Strait of Hormuz

CENTCOM released video showing an Iranian oil tanker capsized and sunk, one of three it struck off Iran on Saturday

Iran's chief negotiator Ghalibaf said the era of proportionate responses has ended and promised faster, more painful answers

The IRGC said it hit six vessels in the Strait of Hormuz with anti-ship missiles, a claim CENTCOM has not confirmed

A satellite-imagery review reports shipping at Iran's Shahid Rajaee and Imam Khomeini ports has fallen sharply since mid-July

The toll from the four-day Houthi offensive toward Bab al-Mandeb reached 189 killed by Saturday, up from 129 on Friday

Israel said its forces have taken the Ali Taher ridge in southern Lebanon, a hill Hezbollah has refused to cede to the Lebanese army

Iran told South Korea that sending military assets to the Strait of Hormuz would amount to joining the war against it

Israel's Knesset extended emergency call-up authority to 30 September, permitting up to 240,000 reservists

Fitch projects Qatar's economy will contract 18.8% in 2026, citing a 96% fall in LNG exports over six months of war

Trump repeated that the US may strike Iran's underground Pickaxe Mountain nuclear-linked site "very soon"

South Korea is weighing a Hormuz deployment of a naval support ship, P-8A patrol aircraft and about 150 troops

5 September 2026

20 developments

Lebanon's health ministry revised the toll from the 4-5 September Israeli strikes to four killed and 32 wounded

Israel struck Lebanon's western Bekaa for the first time since June, beyond the security zone it declared in the south

CENTCOM said US forces disabled two Iranian crude tankers off Kharg and Jask and destroyed a third in the Gulf of Oman

CENTCOM said the IRGC fired ballistic missiles at a US aircraft carrier and a destroyer, which evaded without casualties

The Pentagon polygraphed about 50 Joint Staff officers over leaks describing US munitions depletion, and found no leaker

Iranian state media reported several blasts near the Kharg Island oil terminal on Saturday, with no visible smoke

Israeli strikes killed three people and wounded 23 across southern and eastern Lebanon, Lebanon's health ministry said

Yemeni government warplanes struck Houthi positions in Taiz and Hudaydah, their first such strikes since July

The US, UK, France and Germany drafted an IAEA Board resolution referring Iran to the UN Security Council over NPT non-compliance

Trump said the US might soon strike the Pickaxe Mountain complex near Natanz, repeating a threat he made in July

The US State Department approved a possible $5bn sale of JDAM guidance kits and bombs to Saudi Arabia

Houthi forces attacked government lines in western Taiz and southern Hodeidah to seize high ground above Bab al-Mandeb

Iran's open-market rate slid to about 2,216,000 rial per dollar on Saturday, a record low for the currency

Fitch took Qatar off Rating Watch Negative but held its AA rating on negative outlook, citing continued Hormuz disruption

Iran extended its strikes on US-linked bases to Jordan, which said it intercepted 10 of 13 ballistic missiles entering its airspace

Trump said the administration is weighing whether to declare the war with Iran over

The US Treasury designated Turkey's Golden Global Bank and two subsidiaries over alleged dealings with Iran

Hedge funds raised bullish Brent bets to their highest level since May as the fighting resumed

About 5,000 oil trucks a day are crossing Syria from Iraqi refineries to the Mediterranean port of Banias

Netanyahu told Israeli commanders that toppling Iran's government is Israel's central mission and that the goal is within reach

4 September 2026

20 developments

Iran's Army spokesman said on state television that any Israeli attack would be met faster and more severely

Treasury Secretary Bessent said the US will impose new secondary sanctions each week, beginning with banks tied to Iran

South Korea's presidential office said it is reviewing a possible military deployment to the Strait of Hormuz, with nothing yet decided

Three senior Iranian officials told Reuters oil exports have fallen to about 260,000 barrels a day from roughly 1.7 million

Three of four weapons experts told Reuters the munition that hit Kohistak was more likely American than an Iranian interceptor

A second consecutive day passed with no reported new American strike wave against Iran

US diesel reached a record national average of $5.85 a gallon on 4 September

MEES estimated that about 6.5 million barrels a day of crude and products moved through the Strait of Hormuz in August

Brent crude was quoted at $95.23 on 4 September, easing after passing $97 earlier in the week

CENTCOM said it has redirected 87 commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz, up from the 86 it reported on 2 September

Kurdistan's counter-terrorism service said coalition air defences intercepted ten drones over Erbil, with no actor claiming responsibility

The IDF said it had cleared Hezbollah's Ali al-Taher Ridge tunnel complex in Nabatieh District after a roughly two-month siege

Iran's Red Crescent asked the International Criminal Court to investigate the Kohistak wedding strike as a possible war crime

IRGC spokesman Ebrahim Zolfaghari said on the record that new naval mines have been laid in the Strait of Hormuz

Vice President Vance said the US will not talk to Iran unless it stops shooting at commercial shipping

Iran's new Supreme National Security Council chief, the IRGC's Mohsen Reza'i, wants control of Hormuz restored before any talks

The Balochistan Human Rights Documentation Network named a fourth civilian killed at Kohistak, a 16-year-old hit by shrapnel

Iran's rial fell to a record 2.2 million to the dollar on 2 September, with economists putting inflation above 80%

Israel handed five Lebanese detainees to the Red Cross before talks in Rome, calling the transfer a goodwill gesture

US pump prices averaged $4.14 a gallon on 3 September, more than 30% above their level when the war began

3 September 2026

20 developments

A US official told Al Jazeera that no US base in the region was hit in the overnight attacks, Kuwait included

Kuwait's Foreign Ministry called the strikes on its territory a flagrant violation of its sovereignty and international law

State broadcaster IRIB said a fifth person died of injuries from the 1 September strike on a wedding gathering near Sirik

Trump denied reports that US munition stockpiles are running low, calling the reporting 'actually treasonous'

Commerce Secretary Lutnick said 18 US service members have died in the Iran war, correcting his claim that there had been no deaths

Fortune's commodity tracker put Brent at $99.38 a barrel on 3 September, up 3.4% on the previous day's close

Iran's regular Army, not the IRGC, claimed missile and drone strikes on Kuwait's Ahmad al-Jaber airbase and a US-used base in the UAE

Iran's Health Ministry put the toll from the 1 September strike wave at 18 killed and 142 injured, without a civilian-military breakdown

Brent settled at $95.63 and WTI at $91.01, five-week highs, with the front month about $8 above the six-month forward

Trump said US forces had destroyed 28 Iranian ships in the Strait of Hormuz, a figure carrying no independent damage assessment

Rubio said of the scrapped June memorandum that 'that ship, in many ways, has sailed'

Israeli Defence Minister Katz said an Iranian attack would free Israel to strike all Iranian infrastructure, energy sites included

Four US government and industry sources told NBC News that Iranian-linked hackers have probed US water, telecoms and energy networks

Axios reported Iran has shown renewed interest in talks through Pakistani, Omani and Qatari intermediaries

Jordan's military said 13 Iranian ballistic missiles entered its airspace and 10 were intercepted, with no casualties reported

Iran struck or claimed to strike US-linked sites in Bahrain, Kuwait and Iraqi Kurdistan overnight on 1-2 September

Energy Secretary Wright told CNBC more than 17 million barrels transited Hormuz on 1 September, the highest daily volume of the war

Iran's rial fell to fresh lows, with the euro above 250,000 toman and the dollar near 219,000 on open-market tracking data

The IRGC claimed its missile strike on the US Marine site Camp Titin in Jordan killed American personnel, which Washington denies

A US official told Axios that drones struck the engine rooms of two Iranian government tankers under a policy Trump approved

2 September 2026

20 developments

Iranian media and the IRGC said at least 19 people, including soldiers, were killed across the 1 September US strikes

Maritime security firm Ambrey warned that coordinating Hormuz transits with Iranian authorities carries US sanctions-compliance risk

US Energy Secretary Chris Wright said a record 17 million barrels of oil transited the Strait of Hormuz on 1 September

US drones struck the engine rooms of two Iranian government tankers, the first such strikes in retaliation for attacks on shipping

Iran fired two drones at a US base in Erbil in Iraqi Kurdistan, both intercepted with no damage reported

Hormozgan's governor named four civilians it said were killed in a US strike on a wedding near Sirik, including a four-year-old

Iran's foreign ministry called the Sirik wedding strike a war crime and said Tehran would respond with firmness

Reuters reported senior Trump aides want to avoid further escalation with Iran until after the 3 November midterms

European gas rose above EUR69/MWh, its highest level since January 2023

The Financial Times reported Russia has covertly helped Iran develop a hypersonic cruise missile able to threaten US carriers

Kuwait and Bahrain said their air defences intercepted Iranian drone and missile attacks, reporting no damage or injuries

Jordan's army said it engaged 13 Iranian ballistic missiles, intercepting 10, with three falling in remote areas and no casualties

Trump said an agreement with Iran 'isn't worth the paper it's written on', rejecting Pezeshkian's offer to restore the June memorandum

CENTCOM said US forces struck IRGC air-defence, radar, maritime, mine-laying and communications sites across Iran on 1 September

Trump said 'the biggest attack of them all' is waiting in the wings if Iran retaliates again

Treasury Secretary Bessent said new sanctions on Iranian banks are likely 'this week and next'

Reuters reported no Iranian crude cargo has reached China since the blockade was reinstated on 14 July, seven weeks ago

The IAEA's quarterly report called with utmost urgency for access to Iran's nuclear sites, singling out Isfahan

Iranian crude and condensate loadings fell to about 220,000-255,000 barrels a day in August, from roughly 740,000 in July

France said the Security Council will vote on 17 September on renewing the Iran sanctions panel of experts

1 September 2026

20 developments

Iran's parliament speaker said Tehran would respond militarily if the US intensifies its economic and naval pressure

Security forces fired on jobseekers protesting hiring practices at sites in Gachsaran and Ahvaz, rights monitors said

Brent's prompt premium over the six-month contract widened to about $8.92 a barrel, the widest since 10 June

Two supertankers, including the Saudi VLCC Sidr, were struck by projectiles off Khasab within minutes of each other

Pezeshkian said Iran would reciprocate immediately if Washington returned to its commitments under the June interim deal

Oman's Sultan Haitham and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman held direct talks on Strait of Hormuz solutions

CENTCOM said it has redirected 84 commercial vessels, disabled three and boarded two under the naval blockade

Putin held his first bilateral with Pezeshkian since the war began and said Russia is providing the assistance Iran needs

A tanker was struck by three projectiles 17 nautical miles east of Khasab, Oman, during an outbound Hormuz transit, UKMTO said

Trump said at a White House press conference that he had ruled out using a nuclear weapon against Iran

UAE presidential adviser Anwar Gargash said the US-Iran memorandum failed to draw a practical roadmap and called for a broader approach

Pezeshkian met Modi at the SCO summit in Bishkek and said continued war serves neither Iran's interest nor the region's

Iran's national oil company and a US official said no strike hit Kharg Island, after Trump posted an AI-generated video of its destruction

US Army Secretary Dan Driscoll resigned effective 3 September, citing disagreements over Army transformation and readiness

A new pro-diplomacy party, Mahd-e Iran, launched, with Ali Baqeri disavowing a confrontation-building approach at the event

US petrol averaged $4.08 a gallon, with the daily national average holding above $4 every day in August, AAA data show

Treasury Secretary Bessent told the G20 he will announce secondary sanctions on banks dealing with Iran every week

Yemeni government forces said they destroyed four Houthi explosive boats near the Hanish and Zuqar islands

EASA extended all five of its Middle East conflict-zone airspace bulletins to 30 September and downgraded none

War-risk cover for Gulf voyages runs at 7.5 to 10% of hull value, against about 0.25% before the war

31 August 2026

20 developments

The US Army extended the 82nd Airborne Division's Middle East deployment to a full year, citing operational requirements

No vessel has struck a mine in the Strait of Hormuz, CENTCOM said, rejecting an IRGC claim that a supertanker caught fire on Monday

Trump said the US would hit Iran "hard" following the Iranian attacks on US forces in Jordan

Iranian outlets put the claimed death toll from Sunday's Larak Island attack at three, a figure no independent source has verified

Iran detained a bulk carrier in the Strait of Hormuz over an alleged oil discharge and handed the vessel to its judiciary

Iran's rial traded at about 2.1 million to the dollar on the open market, its weakest reading on record

Some Iranian missiles fired at Jordan on Monday were not intercepted, two Jordanian security sources said, reporting no casualties

Iran's army said it launched dozens of drones at the Al Minhad air base in the United Arab Emirates, a claim no other party has backed

The IRGC said it shot down a US MQ-9 Reaper drone over the Strait of Hormuz, which US forces have not confirmed

President Pezeshkian said Iran "is not looking for war", hours after the IRGC announced its retaliation against the bases in Jordan

Trump posted an AI-generated video captioned "STRIKE ON KHARG", depicting Iran's main oil export terminal being destroyed

Jordan's armed forces said they intercepted eight missiles fired at two US-linked air bases after the IRGC announced a retaliation operation

Brent crude rose about 1.2 to 1.7% to roughly $89 a barrel after the Larak Island strike, with WTI near $84.5

The UAE said its air force intercepted a drone approaching from Iran and that Al Minhad Air Base was not hit

Brent crude settled near $90.69 a barrel, up about 2.9%, after the resumed exchange of US and Iranian strikes

An Istanbul ministerial on Iran and the Strait of Hormuz, planned for 30 August, was postponed with no new date set

US forces struck two Iranian rocket launchers on Larak Island, the first acknowledged US attack on Iranian forces since late July

A tanker was struck by an unattributed projectile about 12 nautical miles north of Khasab, Oman, with no casualties reported

An activist channel reported that a Revolutionary Court in Isfahan sentenced 10 protesters to death and six to prison terms

Two outlets reported a split in Tehran between officials favouring a phased Hormuz reopening and hardliners opposed to talks

30 August 2026

20 developments

Iran's armed forces said they had confronted 30 vessels crossing the Strait of Hormuz outside its approved route since 22 August

The conflict-data project ACLED recorded no strike events by either side for a second consecutive reporting window

A senior Iranian official told state agencies to streamline customs at Norduz, the country's only land crossing with Armenia

Mojtaba Khamenei published a written message to Gulf and Muslim rulers, his first substantive statement since being injured in February

Iran said its Hormuz transit understanding with Oman takes effect only once Washington meets its Islamabad memorandum commitments

Iran's president said implementing the Islamabad memorandum serves Iran's own interests, not only Washington's

CENTCOM's public-release index lists no strike announcement since 29 July and no entries of any kind after 5 August

Iran's statistics agency put headline inflation at 89%, with food and beverage prices up 127.5% year-on-year

Currency trackers in Iran quoted 207,000 to 208,000 toman per dollar on Sunday, a spread of roughly 1,000 between sites

Iran's largest commercial port reported a sharp decline in activity under the US naval blockade, without publishing a baseline figure

The US Treasury sanctioned Hong Kong-based Kameng Trading for allegedly laundering funds for a designated Iranian exchange house

The rial traded at 206,000 toman to the dollar on the open market, down from about 204,000 toman days earlier

An Iran-aligned Iraqi faction set full US and Turkish withdrawal as its price for joining Baghdad's weapons-collection process

Gulf oil flows were put at about 40% of pre-war levels, against a separate estimate of roughly two-thirds

State-run press reported a daily petrol shortfall of about 14 million litres, with officials publicly split over raising prices

Iran's crude loadings fell to about 260,000 barrels a day in August, against 1.7m barrels a day a year earlier

US petrol averaged $4.09 a gallon on 29 August, 88 cents above the same week a year earlier

Russia's foreign ministry said Moscow will coordinate with Iran and others to counter US sanctions, without naming any measure

The US State Department began a phased return of diplomats to Middle East embassies, capping staffing at 75 to 85% in seven countries

OFAC suspended five Iran general licences, including personal remittances and educational activity, with an 8 September wind-down

29 August 2026

20 developments

An MP on Iran's parliamentary energy commission attributed nationwide petrol queues to continued drawdown of fuel reserves

Pezeshkian said Iranian imports and exports have fallen between 25% and 35% in recent months under the blockade and sanctions

Supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei ordered the government to phase the US dollar out of Iran's economy, with inflation at 66% a year

The IRGC Navy said vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz without prior coordination with Iran will not be allowed through

Pezeshkian said Hormuz could open if Washington implements the 17 June Islamabad memorandum

CENTCOM said it has rerouted 82 vessels, disabled three and boarded two since the naval blockade resumed

Israeli aircraft, drones and artillery struck at least six locations across south Lebanon, Lebanon's state news agency reported

The IMO said about 400 ships and 6,000 crew remain stranded in the Gulf six months into the war

A written statement issued in Mojtaba Khamenei's name, with no video or photograph attached, banned acts that harm social cohesion

Lloyd's List Intelligence counted 114 Hormuz transits in the week to 23 August, up from 88 the week before

Hezbollah leader Naim Qassem rejected the Israel-Lebanon framework and refused any verification mechanism

Iraq's national security adviser said 30 September is the date for the international coalition to leave, not a militia disarmament deadline

The White House said no talks with Iran are under way, six months after the war began

US Treasury proposed cutting a UAE branch of Banque Misr off from American correspondent banking over $1.8bn in Iran-linked transfers

Kpler counts about 20 million barrels of Iranian crude sitting on tankers awaiting discharge, mainly in China

Iran will not reopen Hormuz until the US ends the blockade, lifts sanctions, unfreezes assets and pays reparations, Mohsen Rezaei said

Iran's foreign ministry told all governments they are obliged to refrain from implementing the new US sanctions

Of more than 200 mine-like objects swept from the Hormuz shipping lane, 11 were confirmed mines, US and Israeli officials said

Iran's rial fell 9.4% in under two weeks to a record 204,000 tomans to the dollar on the open market

Qatar's prime minister met Iran's president and foreign minister in Tehran to discuss a joint shipping corridor and mine clearance

28 August 2026

20 developments

Five commodity vessels transited the Strait of Hormuz on Thursday, against 17 the day before and a 10-day average of 15

CENTCOM's commander says US forces have cleared Iranian sea mines from the Strait of Hormuz's recognised transit routes

Iran's security council secretary says Iran will target US economic interests in the region if the naval blockade continues

CENTCOM says Iran has exported no oil since mid-July, while Iran's oil minister says reduced deliveries continue

Trump declined to rule out sanctioning Chinese banks over Iran trade while saying Russia has "behaved rather well"

Iran's deputy foreign minister said US Navy mine-detection vessels in the Strait of Hormuz would be "very good targets"

The US Treasury cut the UAE operations of Egypt's Banque Misr off from dollar access over alleged Iran sanctions evasion

Commercial tanker tracking put Iran's August crude loadings near 250,000 barrels a day, against the US military's claim of zero

China's crude purchases from Iran fell to about 534,000 barrels a day in August from 823,000 a day in July

Gulf-to-China supertanker charters were fixed near $647,000 a day, against $20,000 to $40,000 before the conflict intensified

QatarEnergy extended force majeure on LNG shipments and cancelled five cargoes due between late September and early November

At least 7,900 people have been killed since the war began on 28 February, on national health ministry and ACLED figures

The CIA director made an unannounced Moscow trip to press Russia to cut its economic and military support for Iran

The US Treasury secretary will press G20 finance ministers at the Asheville summit to cut what Washington calls Iran's illicit revenue

Continued Iranian targeting of transiting vessels jeopardises progress on reopening Hormuz, Oman's foreign ministry warned

Deputy foreign minister Kazem Gharibabadi said a temporary Hormuz route would run through Iranian waters under partial Tehran control

Greek-operated and Saudi air defences shot down a drone swarm near oil infrastructure at Yanbu on the Red Sea

Qatar's prime minister met four of Iran's most senior officials in Tehran and pressed for freedom of navigation through Hormuz

An Israeli strike on the Nabatieh area killed a woman who had been married two days earlier, Lebanon's news agency said

Iran holds more than 80 million barrels outside the blockade zone, assessed as five to six months of remaining revenue

27 August 2026

20 developments

Iran's deputy oil minister says about 40% of the South Pars gas field damaged in a March airstrike has been restored

ACLED coded two Iranian strike events for 26-27 August, its first non-zero count since 10-11 August, with US-Israeli events at zero

Israeli strikes in south Lebanon killed a woman, Lebanon's state news agency says, after Hezbollah flew two drones at Israeli troops

The USS Theodore Roosevelt carrier strike group will deploy to the Middle East for at least seven months, naval officers said

Qatar's prime minister raised a phased Hormuz framework and a joint mine-clearing project with Iran's foreign minister in Tehran

The White House press secretary says no US-Iran negotiations are happening or scheduled and that all options remain open

US military leaders plan to meet European counterparts on a Hormuz security mission once a deal is struck, unnamed sources say

Two drones of unconfirmed origin struck facilities of Iranian-Kurdish opposition parties in Iraq's Erbil governorate

A senior Iranian source tells Reuters no Iran-Oman accord on the Strait of Hormuz is final, hours after the IRGC said terms were agreed

Brent traded near $88 on 27 August, leaving the week's cumulative fall above 7%

France told its operators not to enter the airspace of Bahrain, Kuwait and Jordan, its top avoidance category

Five commodity vessels transited Hormuz on 25 August, against a ten-day average of fifteen

Iran's deputy foreign minister puts the Hormuz corridor agreed with Oman at seven nautical miles wide, with the southern route closed

Trump says he will impose "crushing measures" on Iran and that he is not in a hurry to negotiate

The foreign ministers of Oman, Qatar and Iran held a closed trilateral meeting in Tehran on the US-Iran talks

Iran's atomic energy chief says the IAEA may not inspect strike-damaged nuclear sites until a new wartime protocol is written

An Iranian army spokesperson says Iran has moved to an offensive posture that includes preemptive strikes on US assets

Iran sentenced two more detainees from the January protests to death, a rights documentation network reports

Qatar's LNG exports have fallen 96% since the war began on 28 February, at an estimated cost of $24bn

Iran's Fars news agency says an Iranian warship confronted an Indian vessel attempting to transit Hormuz

26 August 2026

20 developments

The latest sanctions round targets about 60 people, firms and tankers tied to Iran's shadow fleet, most managed by Chinese companies

Iran's IRGC says its talks with Oman produced agreements on each country's share of the strait's waters and its revenues

Qatar's prime minister is reported to be travelling to Tehran on 27 August for talks on regional tensions

Conflict monitors recorded no strike by or against Iran overnight, extending the pause to a twenty-seventh consecutive night

Oman and Iran agreed the text of a phased plan for a temporary Hormuz corridor and a joint mine-clearing project, Albusaidi said

Two rights monitors documented at least fifteen executions in Iranian prisons between 18 and 25 August

Trump says he does not believe Iran's supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei is dead, describing him as very seriously wounded

Unnamed sources say Iran's fuel reserves could run dry within weeks

Brent crude softened further to about $87.41 a barrel, down $2.80 from the previous morning

The IDF struck southern Lebanon several times overnight, with no target, casualty or damage detail reported

Trump says all mines have been removed or detonated within the international waters of the Strait of Hormuz

Two US officials say the mine clearance leaves the draft Iran-Oman corridor deal far less relevant to Washington

Iran's Mohsen Rezaei told Pakistan's Munir that Tehran distrusts America and that it must change its behaviour

Rubio privately told allied foreign ministers the US will refrain from renewed strikes on Iran for the time being

Trump said Iran was formally notified that any vessel laying new mines will be immediately and systematically destroyed

An IRGC-linked outlet urged Iran to move from reactive defence to active deterrence and strategic initiative

The State Department offered rewards of up to $10 million for information on five senior IRGC commanders

Iran's central bank injected $500 million in foreign-currency banknotes and curbed currency and gold speculation

Petrol stations across Tehran closed after running out of fuel, and officials said quotas will be cut

The tanker disabled off Oman is the Greek-managed Metro Venetian, which regained propulsion and reached Fujairah

25 August 2026

20 developments

Trump said the US Navy has removed or detonated every mine in the international waters of the Strait of Hormuz

Pakistan's interior minister said the Munir mission ended with "significant progress" on de-escalation and reopening Hormuz

Oil hit a one-week low on 25 August, with WTI down 3.14% to $82.34 a barrel

Two commodity tankers transited the Strait of Hormuz on 24 August, the lowest daily count since early May

Pakistan's Munir carried a US offer of sanctions relief and an end to the naval blockade in return for reopening Hormuz

Iran's economy minister said Washington "should expect an attack from our side as well" over the sanctions campaign

Dozens of Chinese and Hong Kong companies were named in the US Treasury's Iran sanctions package

China's foreign ministry said it will take "all necessary measures" to safeguard its interests against the US sanctions

Oman's foreign minister met Araghchi in Tehran to discuss a designated safe-passage waterway through the Strait of Hormuz

Pezeshkian told Pakistan's Field Marshal Munir in Tehran that US "coercion and bullying" will complicate any talks

UKMTO reported a tanker disabled by an unknown projectile off Ash Shishah, Oman, after damage to its engine room

The US Treasury sanctioned 60 people, firms and vessels and opened five sectors of Iran's economy to non-US designations

Pentagon chief Hegseth said sanctions pressure will leave Iran no choice but to return to nuclear talks

The Houthis said they struck the Saudi state-owned tanker Amzan with a ballistic missile off Yanbu in the Red Sea

Iran's security council secretary Rezaei threatened to halt oil exports from the whole Persian Gulf, not only through Hormuz

Rezaei said neighbouring states backing the US campaign would be treated as enemies, calling such support an act of war

Brent crude fell about 2.5% to $92.06 a barrel on 24 August, ending a two-week rally

A voyage through the Strait of Hormuz now costs about $20 million per supertanker, TotalEnergies chief executive Patrick Pouyanné said

Iran's crude exports to China ran near 534,000 barrels a day in August, against about 1.4 million a day averaged in 2025

Iran's rial fell to a record low of about 2.02 million to the dollar on the parallel market

24 August 2026

20 developments

Iran's chief negotiator Ghalibaf told Pakistan's army chief in Tehran that US breaches of the June memorandum blocked regional stability

US Treasury will ask governments to close Iran's remaining banking and third-country lifelines, a senior administration official said

An IRGC spokesman said any attack on Iran's infrastructure would bring heavy strikes on US energy sites and interests

Iran said it has blacklisted 45 tankers for breaching its Hormuz transit rules and warned of action against future transits

Two Israeli air strikes hit al-Mansouri and its surroundings in the Tyre district of southern Lebanon

Iran's security chief said Tehran would join the Saudi-Turkey-Pakistan Mecca Pact only as a founding partner setting its principles

Iran's police command said it seized 997 Starlink terminals and made 163 arrests over satellite internet equipment

Kpler data show 13 vessels transited the Strait of Hormuz on Saturday and four on Sunday, against 16 on Friday

Iran's foreign ministry said Pakistan's defence chief Asim Munir would travel to Tehran on 24 August for talks

Iraq's national security adviser said Baghdad has proposed a joint Saudi-Iranian security coordination council

Brent crude fell about 1.2% to $93.22 a barrel in early trading, ahead of the US sanctions announcement

A projectile struck a Saudi-operated tanker 63 nautical miles west of Yanbu and set fire to its main deck

China and Jordan jointly called for Strait of Hormuz shipping to return to normal after talks between Xi Jinping and King Abdullah

Bessent said maximum economic pressure will likely mean no immediate return to large-scale military action against Iran

Iran's parliamentary security committee approved Article 3 of a bill charging vessels fees for Strait of Hormuz transit

Security council secretary Mohsen Rezaei called third-country support for the US economic campaign an act of war

Iran's government is weighing petrol at about 872,000 rials a litre, nearly 60 times the lowest subsidised tier

Iranian food inflation was reported above 128%, with consumer prices up 88% year on year

Iran announced a natural-gas discovery of more than 7.5 trillion cubic feet

Iran executed Majid Adineh over the January 2026 Karaj protests, the 29th protester execution by one independent count

23 August 2026

20 developments

Iran's rial fell to a record low past 2,000,000 to the dollar, down more than 7% in under a week

Iraqi officials asked for special Strait of Hormuz transit arrangements during a visit by Iran's parliament speaker

Mossad director Roman Gofman met Syria's foreign minister on 23 August to lower tensions after an Israeli strike

Windward estimates 62% of about 430 tankers active in the Iran trade broadcast false registry flags

Pezeshkian told Iran's security council the US memorandum contains "not a single provision" of capitulation

About 40 tankers carrying some 16 million barrels transited Hormuz's southern channel on the night of 21 August

Iran executed Majid Adineh, a January protest detainee, after the Supreme Court upheld his death sentence

A live check of US Central Command's public release log on 23 August found no strike release since 29 July

An Israeli strike was reported in southern Lebanon's Ali Taher area early on 23 August, with no Israeli confirmation

Trump said Iran wants an agreement but is not ready for the right deal, citing Iranian inflation of roughly 350%

The US Treasury has scheduled a new Iran sanctions announcement for 1800 GMT on Monday 24 August

Bessent's Monday sanctions package will reportedly reach buyers in China, India, Turkey and the UAE

Floating storage of Iranian crude outside the blockade zone fell to about 80 million barrels from roughly 105 million

Iran's security council secretary said Tehran could act against alternative Gulf oil-export routes if neighbours back US pressure

Ghalibaf said Iran has received messages from neighbouring countries about new regional security and economic arrangements

Iran's foreign ministry said deputy-minister talks with Oman on Strait of Hormuz transit ran in Tehran on 21 and 22 August

Iran's defence ministry said production of strategic weapons and ammunition more than tripled during the 40-day war phase

Iran asked Qatar to move detained Iranian pilots to a land hospital, saying they are held at sea in poor health

Trade-flow data put China's August intake of Iranian crude near 534,000 barrels a day against a 1.4m average in 2025

IRGC-aligned outlets and Commander Ahmad Vahidi's faction publicly rejected concessions to Washington on 21 August

22 August 2026

20 developments

US envoy Tom Barrack said Israel struck a Syrian airbase without warning Ankara, which considered scrambling fighter jets

Iran granted several Iraqi oil tankers permission to transit the Strait of Hormuz, Iranian state media reported

The US Energy Secretary said the Navy is helping ship an average of 8 million barrels of oil a day past the strait

Brent crude settled near $93.87 a barrel on 21 August, a second consecutive weekly gain of about 6%

UKMTO research puts Strait of Hormuz commercial traffic near 20% of pre-war levels, with daily transits in single digits

Oman's and Iran's foreign ministers held a phone call on restoring freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz

Iran's foreign minister said the US sanctions package is "bound to fail", listing three earlier pressure campaigns that did

Rubio met Oman's ambassador in Washington, four days after Trump threatened military action if Muscat got in the way

CENTCOM said US forces have redirected 68 commercial vessels, disabled three and boarded two under the blockade

The Israeli military said it struck a target at Beit Jinn in southwestern Syria on 22 August

President Pezeshkian said Iran should end the war now, from what he called a position of power and dignity

Pentagon casualty reporting puts US losses in the war at 18 service members killed and more than 750 wounded

US pump prices held near $4.06 to $4.11 a gallon, about 35% above pre-war levels

US Central Command said more than 20 warships now support its blockade of shipping, a force figure not previously stated

Conflict monitors recorded no strikes by or against Iran, extending the pause to a 22nd consecutive night

The US naval blockade has brought Iranian crude exports to a halt, with gasoline imports also down

Trump said the United States views the Strait of Hormuz "as an American territory", a claim two Iranian officials rejected

Iraq's prime minister sent his oil and finance ministers to Riyadh to press for a higher OPEC production quota

The US Treasury waiver authorising dollar sales of Iranian crude reached its expiry on 21 August, with no renewal announced

Treasury Secretary Bessent said that under maximum economic pressure there will not be a large-scale kinetic response

21 August 2026

20 developments

CENTCOM said US forces have assisted the passage of 660 million barrels of oil through Hormuz since May, aboard about 1,300 vessels

Houthi forces said they struck an Aramco facility and Najran airport in Saudi Arabia with drones, a claim Riyadh has not addressed

Iranian oil offers to China for September and October delivery have fallen and prices have risen as the naval blockade cuts shipments

Israeli air strikes and artillery hit three areas of southern Lebanon overnight into 21 August, with no casualty figures reported

Seven commodity vessels transited the Strait of Hormuz on 20 August against 14 the day before, with no supertankers or LNG carriers recorded

The USS Abraham Lincoln left the theatre after nine months and the USS George Washington took over carrier presence under CENTCOM

Brent traded near $94 to $95 a barrel on 21 August, extending a second consecutive weekly gain of roughly 6%

Beijing said US sanctions and pressure will not help resolve the conflict, answering the measures Bessent threatened this week

Iran's president said it would be better to end the war today, arguing Tehran still holds "power and dignity"

Iran's armed-forces chief of staff said any new US action would meet a "crushing, punishing and devastating" response

Ghaem Hosseini was hanged in Isfahan on 20 August, the fifth protester executed over the Alikhani Square case

Bessent said maximum economic pressure makes a large-scale return to strikes unlikely, casting sanctions as a substitute

Six armed men boarded a tanker about 136 nautical miles east of Al Mukalla on 20 August and redirected it toward Somalia

Bessent warned that any country providing Iran a financial lifeline will itself face economic consequences, naming China among the targets

The tanker AMARA, boarded by Iranian forces near Qeshm Island around 17-18 August, has been reclassified as seized after showing no movement

Trump has begun threatening Oman, the principal mediator on Strait of Hormuz talks, and other Gulf allies as the war passed six months

The EPA cleared early sales of winter-blend gasoline from 1 September, citing fuel costs driven by the Iran conflict

The US Treasury re-designated Hezbollah as acting under the command of Iran's IRGC Quds Force

More than two dozen Russian-flagged ships delivered drone components, ammunition and TNT to Iran's Amirabad port

Iranian planners assessed possible strikes on US assets in Bulgaria and Cyprus, two unnamed insiders said

20 August 2026

20 developments

Brent crude closed at $93.01 on 20 August, up 1.5% on the day, after an intraday print of $95.40

Of 112 crude, LPG and LNG vessels crossing Hormuz from 1 to 19 August, 89 went dark or unclassified

Iran hanged Ghaem Hosseini, an Afghan national, in Isfahan, the fifth defendant executed over the January 2026 protests

Syria and Turkey denied the Turkish deployment Israel cited to justify its 18 August strike on the Abu al-Duhur airbase

Sources conflict on the US licence for Iranian oil sales: some put its expiry at 21 August, others say it was revoked on 7 July

Iran's foreign minister dismissed the US economic campaign as a diversion from America's own debt and interest costs

A former Central Bank of Iran adviser said the UAE embargo could deepen Iran's contraction to about 5% this year

A previously unregistered attack on a bulk carrier in the Strait of Hormuz on 18 August left one crew casualty, logged as Warning 116-26

Iran's supreme leader ordered commanders to prepare large-scale offensive operations, shifting declared doctrine from retaliation to offence

Six commodity vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on 18 August, against a 10-day average of eleven

Trump threatened consequences for any country providing Iran a financial lifeline, announcing an escalation of the economic campaign

Brent crude rose for a fourth session to about $91 to $92, with the futures curve in backwardation

Trump said talks with Iran could resume "maybe at some point", hours after his economic announcement

The UN Security Council has gone eight months without agreeing leadership of its subsidiary bodies, including the Iran sanctions committee

Iraq's parliament speaker asked Iran to grant Iraqi oil exports special status through the Strait during Ghalibaf's Baghdad visit

An Iraqi militia handed 20 Iranian-made fixed-wing drones to the federal government under Baghdad's weapons-collection push

No US or Israeli strike events inside Iran were recorded in the 24 hours to 19 August, on two independent trackers

Two US officials said American-escorted convoys have moved about 10 million barrels a day nightly through the Strait's southern lane

The 60-day US-Iran negotiating deadline lapsed on 17 August without a deal

The US Treasury licence authorising Iranian oil and petrochemical sales expires on 21 August, with no renewal decision announced

19 August 2026

20 developments

Petrol ran out at stations across parts of Tehran, with officials citing a 14-15 million litre daily shortfall

Gulf crude clearance averaged 6.1 million barrels a day over the 60-day truce, against about 15 million before the war

Three China-linked tankers turned back from Strait of Hormuz transits inside the reporting window

Iranian forces have assessed possible strikes on US-linked bases in Bulgaria and Cyprus, two insiders said

Iran boarded and seized the tanker AMARA near Qeshm Island, its first seizure since 22 June

Iran's armed forces chief said any Gulf state assisting the US military will be treated as a party to hostilities

Iran's parliament speaker Ghalibaf said the Strait will not reopen until the US implements the Islamabad memorandum

Lebanon's national news agency reported Israeli shelling and demolitions at Majdal Zoun, al-Mansouri and Haddatha overnight

Kpler revised Monday's Hormuz count upward to nine crossings and logged six for Tuesday 18 August

Iraq's cabinet approved a mechanism to export Iraqi crude through outlets that bypass Hormuz

Iran's foreign ministry rejected the UAE's missile accusation and called it a false flag operation

Israel confirmed it struck Syria's Abu al-Duhur airbase, saying Damascus was about to let Turkish forces deploy there

The UAE suspended all trade, commercial exchanges and financial transactions with Iran until further notice

The UAE said its air defences detected two ballistic missiles launched from Iran, both of which fell into the sea

France will expel two Iranian diplomats in the coming days, Foreign Minister Jean-Noël Barrot said

US prosecutors charged 17 Iranians over a cyber-intrusion campaign against 144 universities and 42 companies

A bulk carrier's chief engineer was killed when an unknown projectile hit its engine room off the Omani coast

Trump said no talks with Iran are under way or scheduled and that the naval blockade continues at full force

Qatar said de-escalation needs a ceasefire, a reopened Strait of Hormuz and a US return to talks, moving together

Araghchi ruled out a further interim ceasefire and set six conditions for talks, among them lifting the blockade

18 August 2026

10 developments

A vessel outbound through the Strait of Hormuz was struck by an unknown projectile late on 17 August, UKMTO said, with one crew casualty

Six commodity vessels transited Hormuz on 17 August against a ten-day average of about 11, on Kpler's count of tracked traffic

A European government document seen by NBC News describes Russia shipping drone components, ammunition and TNT to Iran across the Caspian

Brent crude touched a session high of $90.87 on 17 August, up 2.7%, before settling lower at $88.31

Iran's Fars news agency reported the seizure of a UAE-linked tanker near Qeshm Island, unconfirmed by any authority on either side

CENTCOM said its naval blockade has redirected 64 commercial vessels, disabled three and boarded two as of 17 August

A senior Iranian official told Reuters that Tehran has given Washington a few weeks to lift the Hormuz blockade

IRGC political deputy Yadollah Javani said Iran's defence doctrine is being reorganised into an offensive form

Foreign ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei said Iran and Oman have an understanding on a Hormuz transit-route map, unconfirmed by Muscat

The 60-day US-Iran memorandum of understanding lapsed on 17 August with no successor agreement or extension

17 August 2026

18 developments

The US Navy awarded Raytheon a $22.9bn contract to raise Tomahawk output from about 60 to over 1,000 missiles a year

The IRGC and Iran's foreign ministry both denied on the record that any US-IRGC backchannel exists

Iran's vice-president said middlemen who move its oil now profit from sanctions and oppose lifting them

Trump said he would bomb Oman if it "gets in the way" of reopening the Strait of Hormuz

Kurdish authorities said two Iranian drones launched from Iran targeted the private office of Kurdistan prime minister Masrour Barzani

Israel said its strikes in southern Lebanon killed 11 people, the deadliest 24 hours there since the June ceasefire

The Wall Street Journal reported that Iranian hardliners used the memorandum period to tighten IRGC control and raise missile production

The Houthis claimed ballistic-missile hits on a Saudi military vessel and four escort boats in the Red Sea, uncorroborated

All three Kharg Island terminals stood empty on 16 August after a dark tanker departed, with the LPG berth vacant 20 days

Twelve Saudi-flagged tankers and bulk carriers are rerouting via the Cape of Good Hope, up from eight in earlier imagery

Iran's parliament approved in principle a bill criminalising contact with foreign media deemed hostile

The 60-day US-Iran ceasefire window under the Islamabad Memorandum expired on 16 August with no extension announced

Trump said he will declare the Strait of Hormuz "a territory of the United States"

Iran's deputy foreign minister said the strait "was Iran's, is Iran's, and will remain Iran's"

ACLED logged no US or Israeli strike events in Iran across 15-16 August, and one Iranian strike event

Named witnesses accused Bushehr lawmaker Jafar Pourkabgani of shooting at protesters in January, killing at least two

Iran's ambassador to Moscow said Iran and Oman would jointly set a Hormuz transit fee of 3-7% of declared cargo value

Axios reported a direct US backchannel to IRGC officials running via intelligence director Gabbard and Masrour Barzani

16 August 2026

19 developments

The USS George Washington arrived in the Arabian Sea and is expected to relieve the USS Abraham Lincoln

The Trump administration ran a secret May backchannel to IRGC commanders through Iraqi Kurdish president Nechirvan Barzani

Iran's army chief announced a $30,000 bounty for killing or capturing US soldiers, doubled for female perpetrators

Iran executed Shahram Sadeghi, arrested in the January protests, on charges of operating on Israel's behalf, the judiciary said

Brent crude traded at $88.52 a barrel on 16 August on a maritime and market tracking feed

A Hezbollah drone attack seriously wounded three Israeli soldiers near the Ali al-Taher Ridge, an Israeli research centre said

Turkey's Erdogan called reopening the Strait of Hormuz a priority and said continued closure serves no one's interest

The UAE said an Iranian strike hit an ADNOC vessel in the Strait of Hormuz, the third such incident in under a week

Israeli strikes killed 11 people in southern Lebanon, Lebanon's health ministry said, the deadliest day since the June ceasefire

Bandar Abbas airport resumed scheduled domestic flights to Tehran, Mashhad and Isfahan after repeated wartime closures

Iraq's Security Media Cell said the Popular Mobilization Forces are exempt from the state policy restricting weapons to official bodies

Arab and Western officials described mounting Gulf frustration with Trump's handling of the war, the Washington Post reported

Iran and Oman agreed a safe shipping route through Hormuz, but Tehran said the arrangement does not reopen the strait

Iran told the Red Cross that Qatar has held three of its pilots since March, which Qatar rejected, saying the crew died

Iran's parliament is consolidating about a dozen draft bills into one asserting Tehran's legal authority over the entire waterway

Iran's foreign minister said Tehran has taken no decision to resume talks with Washington, calling relayed messages not negotiations

Houthi missiles and drones struck residential areas of government-held Marib, injuring several people, Yemen's government said

Iran's judiciary chief and two foreign ministry officials rejected Trump's stated plan to declare the Strait of Hormuz US territory

Strait of Hormuz transits ran at 17% of the pre-conflict average over the trailing seven days, UKMTO data showed

15 August 2026

20 developments

Yemen's Mocha port halted operations after Houthi missile attacks that its director said killed seven people

Israeli strikes on the southern Lebanese villages of Ansar and Deir al-Zahrani killed 11, Lebanon's Health Ministry said

UKMTO issued Warning 113-26 after a bulk carrier was struck on the hull by an unknown projectile in the Strait of Hormuz

Iran's foreign minister Abbas Araghchi said there was no ceasefire to extend, only a 60-day window for negotiations

A senior White House official said Trump was joking when he spoke of making Hormuz a US territory, and had not consulted advisers

Hezbollah said Israel's strikes in southern Lebanon would be met with an appropriate response

Brent's futures curve flipped back into backwardation, with the September contract about $8 above the six-month contract

ADNOC said a third of its vessels was attacked in the Strait of Hormuz on 14 August, with no injuries reported

The USS George Washington is deploying to the Middle East to relieve the USS Abraham Lincoln after nearly nine months at sea

The US-Iran ceasefire expires on Monday 17 August, with extension negotiations reported deadlocked and no terms agreed

Brent ended the week at $88.38 a barrel, about $5 higher, as hopes for a Hormuz management deal faded

The US has widened its Iran outreach to Austria and Greece as the Omani and Qatari channels stall

UKMTO recorded two tankers struck by drone on outbound Hormuz transits, reporting minor damage and crews accounted for

Trump said he will 'pretty soon' declare the Strait of Hormuz a territory of the United States

Canada sanctioned five senior Iranian commanders and officials, freezing assets and barring dealings, taking its Iran list to 232 people

Iran's IRGC said it destroyed a US MQ-9 Reaper drone over Hormozgan province on 14 August

Iraq's prime minister ordered a study of an operation to retake Kataib Hezbollah's Jurf al Sakhr stronghold

Charter rates for Gulf-to-Asia supertankers reached about $498,000 a day on 14 August

Iraq's Badr Organisation warned that forcing militias to disarm before the 30 September deadline would produce civil war

France barred its operators from Qatari, Bahraini, Kuwaiti and Jordanian airspace, going beyond EASA's avoidance advice

14 August 2026

20 developments

Both the Yanbu and Jizan refineries have been struck under the Houthi maritime embargo on Saudi Arabia, declared on 20 July

Oman's environment agency said the grounded tanker's oil spill has reached the mainland coast and covers about 390 square kilometres

Defense Secretary Hegseth called reports of shortages and broken plumbing aboard the USS Abraham Lincoln 'completely misrepresented'

The UAE accused Iran's Revolutionary Guard of attacking two ADNOC vessels in the Strait of Hormuz on the night of 13 August

Hegseth said the US can sustain its naval blockade of Iranian ports indefinitely

Saudi Arabia launched a 13-country Multinational Maritime Defense Coalition covering the Red Sea, Bab al-Mandeb and the Gulf of Aden

The carrier USS George Washington is under way toward the Middle East to relieve the USS Abraham Lincoln

Tankers lifting crude at Saudi Arabia's Yanbu terminal are switching off their AIS transponders to evade Houthi attack

The US Treasury said an 'economic isolation' package targeting Iranian leaders' accounts and crypto wallets rolls out next week

Iran's gasoline shortfall passed 100,000 barrels a day in 2025/26 as the reinstated blockade narrowed import options

Vice President Vance said US-Iran talks are 'currently stalled', days before the Islamabad ceasefire is due to expire on 17 August

Vance ranked low US energy prices as the war's first objective, placing Iran's nuclear programme second

Brent fell below $88 a barrel on 13 August, ending a six-session rally, as traders weighed weakening demand

The Revolutionary Guard set out its conditions for reopening Hormuz: lifting the US naval blockade, compensation and sanctions relief

Sinokor fixed a VLCC at $510,000 a day for a Gulf-China voyage through Hormuz, against roughly $200,000 before the war

CENTCOM said it has launched Task Force Falcon Strike, a multinational attack-drone unit spanning air, surface and undersea systems

Iraqi sources say Baghdad will ring Iranian-backed militia centres with army and counter-terrorism units after the 30 September deadline

Satellite imagery shows Kharg Island's western oil terminal loading a tanker again after 25 days idle, its first use since 18 July

Iran's IRGC waterway authority said the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, rejecting Trump's claim that the US controls it

Israel's defence minister said troops will not leave southern Lebanon until Hezbollah disarms

13 August 2026

20 developments

US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said the Navy can sustain the blockade of Iranian ports indefinitely, rotating ships in and out

Houthi forces claimed a two-drone strike on Saudi Aramco's Jizan refinery, with no Saudi damage assessment by window close

Hapag-Lloyd said the Hormuz closure pushed its second-quarter expenses to nearly $600 million in fuel, insurance, storage and rerouting

Greenpeace said the oil spill from a grounded tanker off Oman now covers roughly 500 square miles in scattered patches

A conflict-event dataset coded five Iranian strike events across five locations on 12-13 August, against zero US or Israeli events

France led a joint declaration by more than 30 states condemning Iran's executions of protest-related detainees

A pilot scheme selling petrol at 87,200 tomans a litre in Kerman Province was suspended hours after launch

The CIA held low confidence in the Israeli intelligence behind the reported threat to Trump that prompted July's Air Force One swap

Brent eased to $87.92 a barrel on 13 August, down 1.19% on the day, after trading between $88 and $91.60 the day before

Congressional Democrats demanded answers on food shortages and plumbing failures aboard the carrier USS Abraham Lincoln

Iraq's intelligence chief and armed-forces director fly to Saudi Arabia on 13 August to discuss militia attacks on Saudi territory

Iran's Persian Gulf Strait Authority said Hormuz remains blocked and will not reopen until Iran's conditions are accepted

Iraq's prime minister set 30 September as the final date for the US-led coalition to end its mission and withdraw

Pakistani government sources say Washington and Tehran have consented to extend the ceasefire, with only the period unsettled

A senior Iranian official told Reuters that no ceasefire-extension talks exist, because the June memorandum never entered into force

The IEA now expects 2026 oil demand to fall by 1.6 million barrels a day, 510,000 more than it forecast in July

Four drones struck three camps used by Iranian Kurdish opposition groups near Erbil, with no casualties reported

Six mariners were killed and ten wounded when missiles hit a cargo ship in the Bab al-Mandeb, Yemen's recognised government says

Trump said US naval forces have cleared mines from the Strait of Hormuz and declared the waterway open

Hormuz transits fell to 78 in the week to 9 August from 95 the week before, with 45 of them not linked to Iran

12 August 2026

19 developments

Trump wrote on Truth Social that the naval blockade will stay, calling it "a wall of steel", a day after the Vela Nova strike

The spill from the grounded tanker Caroline Bezengi has reached Oman's mainland and covers more than 2,000 sq km

Lebanon's state news agency said an Israeli drone struck an Ashura commemoration site in the south, injuring several people

An IRGC spokesman said US power plants, transmission lines and internet-linked infrastructure would be at risk if strikes resume

Brent rose for a sixth session to $89.81 a barrel, taking the week's gain above 7%, with WTI at $84.08

A human-rights monitor recorded 916 executions in Iran since January, 15 of them in August, and said the true figure is higher

Yemen's government put the death toll from the missile attack on the cargo ship Tihamah at six, after a second missile struck rescuers

Pakistan opened a four-day mediation push in Tehran before the 60-day window from the June MoU expires on 16 August

CENTCOM said it has redirected 55 commercial vessels, disabled three and boarded two since the blockade of Iranian ports resumed on 14 July

Pakistan's interior minister met Pezeshkian, Araghchi and the petroleum minister in Tehran on a visit covering energy and diplomacy

A US Navy helicopter fired two Hellfire missiles into the cargo ship Vela Nova in the Gulf of Oman, disabling it, CENTCOM said

An adviser to the IRGC commander told PBS that Iran's strategy is to prolong the war until Trump's term ends

Turkish officials suspect the Israeli intelligence report of an Iranian plot to kill Trump was fabricated to derail US-Iran talks

A conflict-event dataset recorded no US or Israeli strike events and one Iranian strike event across 10 and 11 August

The IRGC said the closure of the Strait of Hormuz stands regardless of the shipping-route agreement Iran has reached with Oman

Iran's Supreme National Security Council said Hormuz will not reopen until the US lifts the blockade, withdraws forces and releases $24bn

Trump said he is demanding compensation from Iran going back 50 years and has instructed his representatives to raise it in all talks

Khamenei named Ahmad Vahidi commander-in-chief of the IRGC, replacing Mohammad Pakpour, who was killed in earlier strikes

An Iranian parliamentary committee advanced a draft bill barring US- and Israeli-linked ships from Hormuz, with a 20% cargo-value penalty

11 August 2026

20 developments

Brent crude reached $88 a barrel overnight into 11 August, its highest level since 31 July

UNIFIL recorded 455 Israeli projectiles and 97 airspace breaches into southern Lebanon between Friday and Sunday

Houthi forces launched a third wave of missiles and drones at Mocha port and Marib in the early hours of 11 August

Qatar says Iran and Oman have reached a technical stage on reopening Hormuz and agreed inbound and outbound shipping routes

US forces fired a missile at the container ship Vela Nova in the Gulf of Oman, the twelfth vessel hit since the blockade began

Three to five crew were killed aboard the cargo ship Tihamah at anchor near Perim Island, in a suspected Houthi attack

A Houthi drone strike killed two Yemeni government soldiers and wounded seven in Shabwa province

The US average pump price crossed $4.01 a gallon as Brent traded near $87.61 a barrel

Satellite imagery showed twelve ship-to-ship crude transfers off the Oman and UAE coasts as tankers ran dark

Hormuz transits ran at six to seven vessels a day against a pre-war baseline of 130 to 140

Pakistan's defence minister said the United States and Iran are close to some sort of arrangement

Araghchi told German foreign minister Wadephul that securing the strait requires an end to the US naval blockade

Mojtaba Khamenei issued decrees naming six senior commanders, with Ahmad Vahidi as IRGC commander-in-chief

Khamenei ordered the armed forces general staff to complete its merger with the Khatam ol Anbia central headquarters

Trump declined to rule out further military escalation, telling ABC News the ability is there and 'you'll find out'

Trump ordered US negotiators to demand Iranian compensation for killed and wounded Americans in all future talks

CENTCOM has published no public release since 29 July, so no US military account of this window's strikes exists

Iran's Supreme National Security Council set war-damage compensation from Washington as a condition for reopening Hormuz

Trump said the US Navy controls the Strait of Hormuz and has cleared Iranian mines, which no independent source verified

The US strategic petroleum reserve fell to 298.7 million barrels, its lowest level since January 1983

10 August 2026

10 developments

Yemeni officials reported 11 dead and 32 wounded at Mocha after a second, larger wave of missiles and drones on Sunday evening

Trump said the US is low-keying it with Iran and only semi-negotiating, betting on economic pressure over new strikes

Araghchi said the Iran-Oman shipping-lane deal is in final drafting, with inbound and outbound routes running for two to four months

The IRGC called Hormuz a theatre of war and said the strait will stay shut until Washington accepts all of Iran's conditions

Mohsen Rezaei, a former IRGC commander-in-chief, was named secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council, replacing Zolghadr

Iran's Kharg Island oil terminal recorded no tanker departures across the ten days to 9 August, with all three berths idle

Araghchi said no negotiations are under way with the US, only an exchange of messages through intermediaries

US reporting says Trump would accept ending the war without a nuclear deal if Iran fully reopens Hormuz

Oil futures rose about 1.2% after Iran set out its reopening conditions, with Brent trading above $83 a barrel

At least 24 tankers were anchored off Larak Island on 7 August, 16 of them under US sanctions

9 August 2026

20 developments

Saudi authorities extinguished a fire at Aramco's Jizan refinery after a Houthi drone strike, reporting no casualties

Yemeni government-aligned forces reported seven killed in a Houthi missile and drone attack on the port of Mocha

Hormuz transits fell 34% week-on-week, with 33 vessels crossing Monday to Thursday against 50 the previous week

War-risk insurance for Gulf voyages is running at 7.5-10% of hull value, about ten times pre-conflict levels

Rosatom resumed staffing at Bushehr, with 25 Russian personnel on site and full restoration tied to a documented ceasefire

Iran summoned close to 100 public figures, including more than 20 actors, over posts using the hashtag "No to executions"

Iranian media reported that national security council secretary Zolghadr submitted a resignation and that Pezeshkian refused it

A transitional Hormuz plan would route inbound ships along Iran's northern coast and outbound ships along Oman's for 2-4 months

Iran is seeking roughly 5% of cargo value as a Hormuz transit fee, against Oman's proposed 3%

CENTCOM has redirected 53 commercial vessels, disabled two and boarded two since the naval blockade began

No tanker has loaded crude at Iran's Kharg Island terminal for at least a week

Iran's president and central bank chief told Khamenei directly that the naval blockade is crippling the economy

Iranian annual inflation stood at 88.6% in late June, with output expected to contract 5.4% this year

The Pentagon told defence firms to speed production of low-cost missiles after the war consumed most US long-range precision stocks

UKMTO logged the 8 August vessel strike off Khasab as an unidentified projectile and recorded no claim of responsibility

Vance says the US is negotiating a protected shipping corridor through Hormuz and expects a deal within days

Iran's security council set six conditions for reopening Hormuz, among them sanctions relief and war reparations

Oman said on 8 August that continued attacks on transiting vessels put the Hormuz navigation talks at risk

Turkey's foreign minister said the Mecca defence pact with Saudi Arabia and Pakistan could expand to include Egypt

An open-source tracker recorded no US or Israeli strike inside Iran for eight consecutive nights to 7 August

8 August 2026

20 developments

The UAE says an Iranian missile struck an ADNOC tanker off Khasab in the Strait of Hormuz, causing a fire

Iran's Supreme National Security Council has yet to ratify the Hormuz corridor framework, Iranian state media said

Foreign Minister Araghchi said talks with Oman on Hormuz traffic are "very close to an agreement"

US Vice President Vance said Iran has privately told Washington it has no plans to toll the Strait of Hormuz

Israeli troops entered the Lebanese-army-held village of Zawtar al-Gharbiya and built an earthen barrier, an AFP reporter saw

An IRGC spokesman said reopening the Strait of Hormuz depends on the US fully accepting Iran's conditions, not the Oman framework

President Pezeshkian said now is the best time for a Hormuz agreement to be reached

Qatar and Bahrain rejected using the Strait of Hormuz as a bargaining chip and called for it to reopen

An Iranian opposition council reported at least 26 executions across Iran over a single week

The US Treasury sanctioned Dubai crypto exchange Shelbit for processing IRGC-linked funds within an alleged $4bn evasion scheme

Houthi fire on a displacement camp near Sahn al-Jinn in Marib killed two civilians and wounded 14, Yemeni authorities said

Iran's Foreign Ministry denied that talks with the US are underway, contradicting Trump's account of an all-day negotiation

An Israeli drone struck a Lebanese Armed Forces bulldozer in Mansouri, Tyre district, wounding one soldier

Joint Chiefs Chairman Dan Caine is reported to have privately urged senior officials to seek an off-ramp from the war

CENTCOM says it has redirected 51 commercial vessels under the blockade since 14 July, against 44 on 3 August

A source close to the Saudi military said the coalition will not allow the balance of power in Yemen to be changed

A running tally puts the six-month war's added cost to a US household at $527.07 as of 4 August

Kharg Island's three crude export terminals stood idle, with 19 tankers waiting offshore without normal tracking signals

Aramco lifted Red Sea crude exports from about 750,000 b/d to near 4mn b/d by switching to its East-West pipeline

Qatar has lost more than $10bn in LNG export revenue over six months of the conflict

7 August 2026

20 developments

US Treasury Secretary Bessent said a 30-60 day ceasefire and a parallel Hormuz resolution could be reached today or tomorrow

Iran said on 7 August that its Hormuz framework with Oman is finalised, with the final text still to be published

Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Pakistan signed the Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, treating an attack on one as an attack on all

Iraq raised its national alert level as an Iran-aligned militia ultimatum over the US-Saudi strikes expired without an attack

ADNOC Logistics reported one crew member killed and 20 injured across 15 of its vessels struck since the war began

Hormuz transits averaged 3.9 vessels a day over the past seven days, about 4% of the pre-war level

Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan are due to sign a trilateral defence pact in Jeddah on 7 August

Mossad chief Roman Gofman reportedly removed two senior officials behind an abandoned plan to unseat Iran's leadership

A Houthi attack on Saudi Arabia's Najran region wounded 11 civilians, among them a woman and a four-year-old child

An Iranian parliamentary committee is reviewing a draft bill to bar US and Israeli ships from the Strait of Hormuz

Houthi missile and drone attacks on Yemeni government camps in Marib and Hadramawt killed at least 30 soldiers

Iran's parliamentary Hormuz plan would keep US- and Israel-linked ships barred until Tehran is compensated for war damage

Eight shipping industry associations, among them BIMCO and the ICS, wrote to the UN opposing mandatory Hormuz transit fees

US crude imports from Saudi Arabia fell to zero in July, the first full month without Saudi shipments in 41 years

Iran and Oman agreed in principle on the coordinates of a temporary Strait of Hormuz shipping route

Iran's foreign ministry said the Oman agreement alone is not enough to reopen the Strait of Hormuz

Israel's Knesset defence committee voted to extend call-up authority for up to 240,000 reservists to 30 September

A senior Saudi official said intelligence detected planning for coordinated militia and Houthi attacks on Saudi ports and energy sites

Oman has proposed a 3% transit fee on declared cargo value for the Hormuz route, against Iran's 5-7%

Brent's futures curve stayed in backwardation, with near-term contracts about $8 a barrel above six-month contracts

6 August 2026

20 developments

Houthi missiles and drones hit Yemeni army camps in Marib and Hadramaut, killing at least 30 soldiers by government counts

Saudi Arabia announced a 13-country Red Sea maritime coalition that excludes the United States and the European Union

Mediators suspended the Rome round between Israel and Lebanon for a second day running on 6 August, citing 'events on the ground'

Israeli strikes on Burj al-Shamal near Tyre in southern Lebanon wounded between four and eight people on 6 August

The Houthis said they struck the tanker Wafa near Yanbu, taking to eight the Saudi-linked vessels they claim to have hit

Brent was quoted near $83.64 on the morning of 6 August, about $4 above the settlement figures reported a day earlier

Iran's intelligence ministry said it arrested 25 people in Kerman province, 21 of them accused of passing air-defence data to Israel

Mohammad-Bagher Kharrazi, a relative by marriage of the Khamenei family, said publicly that the Islamic Republic 'doesn't work anymore'

Iran Human Rights recorded 71 executions in July, bringing its documented total for 2026 to at least 444

The Houthis said they fired a ballistic missile at the Saudi-operated tanker Daisy in the Gulf of Aden

A tanker master reported hearing two explosions while transiting the Strait of Hormuz near Kumzar, Oman, on 5 August

Pezeshkian said contact with Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei is 'very difficult', holding up sign-off on the Hormuz draft

The United States said it strongly opposes any arrangement letting Iran charge fees on Strait of Hormuz transits

Iran told Gulf capitals that renewed US strikes on its territory would trigger Iranian attacks on regional energy infrastructure

Trump told Fox News that Iran will 'get hit really hard' if it backs out of talks again

An explosive device killed two Israeli reservists and wounded four at Majdal Zoun in southern Lebanon on 5 August

The seventh round of US-mediated Israel-Lebanon talks in Rome broke off early after Israel's envoy requested a suspension

Trump confronted Defense Secretary Hegseth over shortages of long-range precision munitions and air-defence interceptors

Brent crude settled below $80 on 5 August, a third consecutive losing session

Kataib Hezbollah's leader rejected Iraq's end-September disarmament deadline and said the group will expand its arsenal

5 August 2026

20 developments

The UN human rights chief said at least 56 people have been executed on national-security charges in Iran since 19 March

Iran and Oman agreed the coordinates of a two-way Hormuz shipping corridor, with a joint statement in final drafting

Iranian and Omani negotiators finished a draft text that now awaits sign-off from Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei

Iranian state television said the corridor agreement does not reopen the strait while what Tehran calls US violations continue

An Israeli strike on Tebnine in southern Lebanon killed one person and wounded 11 to 12, Lebanese state media reported

Houthi military spokesman Yahya Saree threatened to strike Saudi oil tankers transiting the northern Red Sea

Secretary of State Rubio said there has been progress in the Hormuz talks but no finality yet

Brent traded in an $80.37 to $83.72 band on 5 August, modestly higher than the day before

Strait of Hormuz transits held at eight vessels on 5 August, against a pre-war baseline of roughly 130 to 140 a day

The US Treasury removed counterterrorism sanctions on Fly Baghdad Airlines and two of its aircraft

Khamenei's office called the claim that the Supreme Leader would accept a Pezeshkian resignation entirely false

Brent crude fell about 4.7% on 4 August to roughly $79.82 a barrel

Pezeshkian said on state television that he will not resign, rejecting a cleric's claim of repeated resignation threats

Iran's leadership approved terms for a 60-day interim Hormuz arrangement, a US official and a regional source said

Indian-flagged cargo vessel MSV Faize Noore Oliya sank 13 nautical miles south of Hodeidah after a projectile strike

Iran is privately weighing letting European navies clear mines from a proposed central Hormuz channel, people familiar said

Iranian officials cite unresolved issues over the reopening mechanism, maritime service fees and security arrangements

Trump discussed de-escalation by phone with Qatar's Emir, who urged implementation of the earlier US-Iran memorandum

Three officials said the US has expended nearly 80% of its key missile interceptors since the war began

Saudi-linked Bab el-Mandeb crossings averaged 0.86 a day over 27 July to 2 August, down from 1.83 beforehand

4 August 2026

20 developments

Iran said no IAEA inspectors are currently in the country, with a delegation visit expected in less than 10 days

The IRGC struck a US military installation area in Kuwait with at least three drones

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the US and Iran may reach a deal to open the Strait of Hormuz 'today or tomorrow'

Foreign ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei said an Oman route deal alone would not reopen the Strait without an end to US strikes

Sources familiar with the negotiations described a draft Iran-Oman arrangement giving Iran control of the inbound lane into the Gulf

A US official said any new shipping routes would be temporary and would not require Iranian approval or permission

Qatar's foreign ministry said draft language for an agreement is circulating between Washington and Tehran

Iran's foreign ministry said it has no plans to send or host negotiating delegations in the coming days

Government sources said US forces have used virtually all ATACMS missiles and about 65% of Patriot interceptors since 28 February

Yemen's Houthis claimed a drone strike on Najran Airport in southern Saudi Arabia, which Saudi authorities have not confirmed

A projectile hit the bulk carrier Minoan Pioneer 20 nautical miles off Al Khasab, Oman, leaving one crew member missing

The US blockade's running total of redirected ships reached 44 on 3 August, nine more than the day before

Trump called the talks Iran's 'last chance' for a deal and said he was offering 'every last chance before decapitation'

US Central Command asked intelligence staff for 'creative and unconventional' ways to pressure and punish Iran

The Pentagon signed contracts with Lockheed Martin and Northrop Grumman to quadruple output of missile-interceptor components

Brent's September contract traded at $85.79 a barrel against $77.49 six months out, a gap of roughly $8

Zarif and Rezaei took opposing public positions on how long Iran should keep the Strait of Hormuz closed

Iranian point-to-point inflation was reported at 96%, approaching triple digits

Araghchi said Iran's talks with Oman on a separate-lane transit route through the Strait of Hormuz are in their final stages

QatarEnergy extended force majeure to 24 cargoes after the LNG carrier GasLog Shanghai was struck off Oman on 31 July

3 August 2026

19 developments

Brent fell 5.1% to $83.44 and WTI 6.4% to $79.28 by 1315 GMT, which traders tied to the cancelled strike

US Central Command emailed military analysts asking for creative and unconventional ways to pressure and punish Iran

Singapore's foreign minister rejected Iran's Hormuz transit fees, which Lloyd's List reports reaching $2m a ship

Iran's Foreign Ministry said it is not negotiating with the United States, rejecting Trump's account of Monday talks

Israel's Knesset defence committee extended emergency reservist call-up authority to 30 September, capped at 240,000

A tanker master reported an explosion 20 nautical miles north-east of Khasab, with vessel and crew reported safe

Iran hanged Omid Behzad and Pouria Safvat at dawn on charges of passing site coordinates to Israeli intelligence

Pezeshkian said the Supreme National Security Council stands behind the June memorandum and urged Washington to honour it

Trump said a new round of US-Iran talks, arranged by Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Qatar, begins on Monday afternoon

Trump said he called off a planned major strike on Iran after Gulf states and Tehran asked him to hold off

Oman asked whether Araghchi's acceptance of the US-Qatari transit proposal carries Revolutionary Guard backing

Iran's foreign minister said talks with Oman on a new traffic-separation shipping route are in their final stages

An Iranian army spokesman said Iran used the ceasefire to import, repair and produce weapons, including an upgraded drone

Yemen's Houthis widened their declared blockade of Saudi shipping through Bab el-Mandeb after Saudi strikes on Sanaa airport

CENTCOM said it has diverted 35 commercial vessels, disabled two and boarded two more under the naval blockade

The LNG carrier GasLog Shanghai lost propulsion off the Omani coast after a projectile hit its port engine room

Iran executed Arvin Kheirkhah, a 20-year-old detained during the January protests, at Shahroud prison on 1 August

Cyberattacks disrupted municipal water systems in at least seven US states, with 30 or more affected in Minnesota

Brent crude closed July near $88 a barrel, up 24% over the month

2 August 2026

20 developments

Iran's Fars and Mehr agencies rejected Trump's claim of an agreed framework, saying Hormuz stays closed to uncoordinated vessels

Iran's negotiating team called the reported Qatar- and US-brokered plan to split Hormuz transit between Iranian and Omani waters false

No strike by any party was recorded after the cancellation, per a live-blog entry timestamped 06:37 EDT on 2 August

Trump said he cancelled the approved strike on Iran, citing agreed "perimeters of a deal" covering Hormuz and the nuclear file

Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman telephoned Trump about an hour earlier, urging him not to hit Iranian energy sites

Foreign Minister Araghchi told Pakistani, Turkish and Saudi counterparts by phone that Iran would answer any attack in kind

Kuwait said the drones intercepted on 1 August hit several vital facilities, including a government building in the north

The White House said Iran "will continue to pay" until it comes to the table, hours after Trump announced the halted strike

Israeli media report the government learned of the cancelled strike from Trump's post rather than through direct coordination

Brent futures moved into backwardation, the September contract at $85.79 against $77.49 six months out

Iranian authorities blocked or seized at least 72 high-profile social-media accounts and sealed 23 businesses between 11 July and 1 August

An explosion occurred near a second vessel 21 nautical miles north-west of Khasab on 1 August, with no damage or injuries recorded

A projectile hit the LNG carrier GasLog Shanghai, carrying Qatari cargo, off Oman and damaged its engine room, with no injuries reported

Iran's national security secretary said continued naval blockade enforcement could push Tehran to close sea passages beyond Hormuz

Two IRGC officers said Quds Force staff used the April ceasefire to coordinate with Hezbollah, Houthi and Iraqi militia commanders

Iran's Statistical Center put point-to-point inflation at 87.9% for July, with rural inflation at 106.9%

An opposition group counted at least 72 executions in Iran during July, including seven prisoners held over the January unrest

Yemen's Houthi authorities denied planning to charge ships for Red Sea passage, calling their transit service voluntary and free

US and Israeli planning for the 1-2 August weekend put Iran's oil terminals, refining capacity and Kharg Island on the target list

A maritime intelligence vendor named the two LNG carriers burned at Egypt's Port of Damietta and attributed the attack to Iran

1 August 2026

20 developments

No attack on Iranian energy sites had been carried out as of 16:20 GMT on 1 August, and no go-order was reported

Iraq and Turkey signed a one-year deal to keep 750,000 barrels a day flowing through their pipeline, bypassing Hormuz

An Israeli official said Israel had not been asked to join US operations against Iran, contradicting US sourcing in the same report

US embassies in Amman, Jerusalem and Baghdad told American citizens to prepare to leave, urging those in Iraq to depart immediately

Iran executed Arvin Kheirkhah, a 20-year-old sentenced to death over the January protests, at Shahroud prison

Iran's foreign minister warned the UK, Bulgaria and Cyprus that hosting attacks on Iran would make them aggressors

Kuwait said it destroyed a fresh wave of Iranian drones at dawn on 1 August, with falling shrapnel hitting a government facility

An unknown projectile hit a tanker 11 nautical miles off Lima, Oman, damaging its engine room and leaving it without propulsion

Iranian officials said the armed forces have a broad plan ready to strike US and Israeli sites across the region

Hormuz transits rose to nine vessels on 1 August, against about 140 a day before the crisis

Trump ordered preparations for a fresh strike on Iranian energy infrastructure, with officials saying no final order has been given

Trump told a Camp David Cabinet meeting that US strikes will continue until Iran "can't take it anymore"

Iran's new Persian Gulf Strait Authority said passage through Hormuz is "not possible" and paused transit permits

The IRGC said it struck and halted two oil tankers transiting Hormuz under US military escort

Iran said it hit two US-linked airbases in Kuwait with kamikaze drones, a claim CENTCOM answered by reporting no damage

Tehran's prosecutors opened cases against people who publicly criticised last week's executions of two protesters in Isfahan

A Houthi foreign-affairs source denied Yemeni responsibility for the drone strike on two gas carriers at Egypt's Damietta port

Iran has halted talks with the United States until Israeli strikes in Lebanon stop, one Iraqi outlet reported

Iran's ambassador to Moscow said Tehran and Oman will jointly set a Hormuz transit fee for Western ships

Weapons forensics identified a 2,000lb Mark-84 bomb at a Qeshm Island home where a family of three was killed

31 July 2026

10 developments

Brent settled near $89 after touching above $92 this week, on track for its biggest monthly gain since March at about 21%

US Treasury sanctioned two Shanghai firms and an executive for shipping electronics to Iran's Mahan Air

US Navy warships began escorting some tankers through Hormuz, though overall transit stayed about 90% below normal

British Airways permanently ended its Jeddah service as Gulf carriers cancelled flights across the region

Fourteen states signed a founding statement launching Saudi Arabia's maritime-defence coalition, without the UAE and Oman

The US State Department said a return to direct talks with Iran is not imminent and remains in a difficult phase

CENTCOM said no US aircraft were lost in its strike wave on Iran, disputing IRGC claims of destroyed jets in Jordan

Iraq's prime minister cancelled his first official visit to Saudi Arabia after US-Saudi air strikes killed about 20 fighters on Iraqi soil

A drone struck the US-owned LNG storage unit at Egypt's Damietta port, marking the war's first attack on Egyptian territory

Trump threatened to destroy an Iranian bridge or power plant for every ship Iran fires on in Hormuz

30 July 2026

20 developments

Saudi Arabia is consulting dozens of countries to build a coalition protecting Red Sea shipping as the Houthi blockade holds

US revoked the licence permitting limited Iranian oil sales after the IRGC Navy said it halted three tankers in the Strait of Hormuz

Local media reported three civilians killed on Iran's Qeshm Island in the overnight US strikes, including a two-year-old child

Iran launched retaliatory strikes on Kuwait, hitting the Ali al-Salem air base and a Chinese firm's site, where one worker was killed

US struck dozens of IRGC targets across at least six Iranian provinces overnight, ending its five-night pause in the air campaign

Brent crude closed at $90.74 a barrel on 29 July, up 7.9%, after the Jordan strike and near-halted Hormuz traffic

US Treasury sanctioned eight tankers and ten firms, six of them China-based, for moving Iranian oil through the Strait of Hormuz

Houthi forces hit Saudi oil facilities with drones launched from Iraqi soil, coordinated with Iraqi militias under IRGC supervision

Trump warned of further US strikes on Iran while framing them as contingent on reaching an agreement

Iran said it has submitted no request to negotiate with the US in the past 15 days, denying an active back-channel

Rights monitors said Iran moved protester Kaveh Arabian toward execution and upheld a second protester's death sentence

The Houthis said they will expand their Red Sea blockade and are weighing a toll system for ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb

A drone struck the US-owned tanker Energos Winter at Egypt's Damietta port and started a fire that spread to a second vessel

US and Saudi aircraft struck Iran-aligned militia sites across seven Iraqi provinces, killing at least 20 fighters and wounding 32

China supplied Iran 300 to 400 shoulder-fired air-defence systems via Pakistan in a reported deal Beijing and Islamabad denied

At least 14 drone strikes since 27 July hit Iranian-Kurdish opposition bases in Iraqi Kurdistan, Kurdish authorities said

Israel mobilised about 100,000 additional reservists and said it is prepared to resume strikes on Iran

Iran's missile strike on a US airbase in Jordan was intercepted in full, CENTCOM and Jordan's military said, with no casualties

Iran publicly hanged two men in Isfahan convicted over deaths during January's unrest, bringing the case total to four executed

Hormuz tanker transits fell to zero on both 24 and 25 July, against a historical norm near 138 vessels a day

29 July 2026

40 developments

Kataib Hezbollah threatened to strike US assets in Saudi Arabia and gave Iraq's government until 6 August to defend its sovereignty

Iran's IRGC Navy said it stopped three vessels in the Strait of Hormuz for taking an 'unsafe and illegal route'

Iran's deputy foreign minister Gharibabadi countered Oman's even split, asking that parts of both Hormuz legs sit in Iranian waters

Iran rejected a US proposal in Islamabad-mediated indirect talks and the US withdrew its delegates

The IRGC said it struck and stopped three oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz that ignored its warnings

The US Treasury sanctioned eight tankers and ten entities, six of them China-based, over Iran-related shipping

China and Pakistan denied a Reuters report that 300 to 400 man-portable air-defence systems are being routed to Iran

China is reportedly shipping 300-400 shoulder-fired air-defence missiles to Iran via Pakistan, a claim Beijing and Islamabad both deny

Brent rebounded 4% to $87.73 a barrel on 29 July, reversing the prior week's decline after Iran's missile attack

China will reportedly supply Iran with air-defence missiles within weeks

US and Saudi aircraft struck Iran-backed militia sites in eastern Iraq on 29 July, the first Saudi-claimed strikes inside Iraq this war

Jordan's armed forces said they detected and shot down five missiles fired from Iran under their rules of engagement

Iraq's prime minister cancelled a planned Jeddah meeting with the Saudi crown prince after the joint strikes on Iraqi soil

A Hezbollah drone hit an Israeli army engineering vehicle in south Lebanon, which the IDF called a breach of the June ceasefire

The front-month Brent contract traded $8.92 a barrel above the sixth month, the widest premium since 10 June

Iraq's Popular Mobilisation Forces said at least 20 of its fighters were killed and 32 wounded in the joint strikes

Iran's deputy parliament speaker, Ali Nikzad, said the Strait of Hormuz will not return to its previous status

Trump said the US would hit Iran hard in retaliation after the missile attack on its forces in Jordan

Trump said the US would be hitting Iran hard in response to the ballistic-missile launch at American forces

Iran fired ballistic missiles at US forces on 28 July, and CENTCOM said all were intercepted with no casualties

Israeli intelligence presented to Trump alleges Iran moved centrifuges to the underground Pickaxe Mountain site near Natanz

Iraq's Popular Mobilisation Forces put their losses from the US-Saudi strikes at 20 killed and 32 wounded

Netanyahu presented Trump with three Iran options at the White House: a diplomatic deal, continued sanctions, or a major offensive

Analysts map a three-way split in Iran's leadership over Hormuz, from IRGC hardliners to a Pezeshkian-aligned compromise bloc

Trump said on 28 July that the US would strike the Pickaxe Mountain nuclear site if Iran does not reach an agreement

All six Strait of Hormuz transits on 27 July used the IRGC-controlled northern corridor, with none through the contested southern channel

Iran said Ukraine told it the Caspian Sea strike that killed an Iranian sailor was unintentional

Ukraine told Tehran that its 25 July Caspian Sea strike, which killed an Iranian sailor, was unintentional

Iran's foreign ministry said no negotiations are underway and called reports of an Iranian initiative fabrications

Pakistan says Iran has signalled readiness to resume talks on a phased agenda taking Hormuz first and the nuclear file last

Iran rejected Oman's proposed 50-50 split of Strait of Hormuz shipping lanes, demanding full control of the inbound lane

Economic protests spread across at least nine Iranian cities in late July as the IMF projected a 5.4% GDP contraction for 2026

UKMTO reported that CENTCOM had redirected 17 commercial vessels, disabled two and boarded two enforcing the blockade of Iranian ports

Amnesty International said at least 60 protest-linked defendants in Iran face execution, three of them minors when the offence occurred

Houthis struck a fourth Saudi tanker, the NCC Ghazal, with ballistic missiles, forcing it to turn back under their Saudi-shipping ban

Iran publicly executed two men in Isfahan on 28 July over January protests, its first public executions of 2026, as crowds gathered

Windward recorded no tanker crossings of the Strait of Hormuz on 27 July, a count that UKMTO's official figures do not match

China and Pakistan denied a Reuters report that 300 to 400 Chinese shoulder-launched air-defence launchers are being shipped to Iran

Trump and Netanyahu met at the White House for about 80 minutes on 28 July, their first meeting in person since the war began

Asian spot LNG rose to $22/MMBtu as the Hormuz crisis cut Qatari and Emirati gas loadings

28 July 2026

20 developments

Brent crude settled near $86.58 on 28 July, down about 1.5% in a third consecutive session of losses

Trump met Netanyahu at the White House on 28 July with the Iran war top of the agenda, and played down Israeli pressure to escalate

Trump threatened to hit a named underground site, bridges and power plants, and said the US controls the Strait of Hormuz

Oman offered Iran a joint Hormuz-management scheme modelled on the Strait of Malacca and funded by voluntary contributions

A separate US-Iran back-channel on Red Sea and Hormuz shipping was reported, with Washington seeking an end to attacks at sea

Iran estimated its total conflict losses at about $270 billion, including destroyed natural-gas production capacity

Commercial transits through Bab el-Mandeb fell to 15 vessels on 26 July from 34 on 20 July, a 56% decline

Iran's foreign ministry said it will not let the US set the timing of war and peace and will keep defending itself as long as necessary

The US Joint Chiefs chairman said Russia continued sharing intelligence and satellite imagery with Iran to help target US forces

An execution monitor put Iran's 2026 total at 424 across all categories, up about 54 over July

Iran executed two more protesters in Isfahan on 28 July, raising executions in the Alikhani Square case to four of 12 sentenced

A US think tank reported Iranian-backed militias struck Jordanian and Saudi energy sites, a claim not independently corroborated

Netanyahu left Israel from a military airbase under secret arrangements, citing an Iranian threat, ahead of his 28 July Trump meeting

Iran vowed to answer Ukraine's deadly Caspian Sea strike on Iranian-linked vessels and summoned Kyiv's chargé d'affaires

Trump said he is ready to order strong military action against Iran, larger than prior strikes, if negotiations fail

Iran said it rejected a US proposal and made no request to negotiate, contradicting Trump's claim that a deal was close

Officials reported significant progress in Iran-Oman talks on a Hormuz transit compromise, with a Qatari delegation joining

Pakistani officials said the US may be readying a coastal ground push against Iran even as Islamabad and Qatar relay ceasefire offers

Brent crude fell about 8% on 27 July as the US-Iran strike pause held a fourth day, easing supply-disruption fears

The Pentagon recategorised its Iran-war casualty reporting, raising the cumulative total to 18 killed and 624 wounded

27 July 2026

18 developments

An FDD analysis judged the US short on munitions, naval modernisation and multi-theatre manpower after months of fighting Iran

Saudi Arabia said it destroyed several drones launched from Iraqi territory toward oil installations and Riyadh

Mediators reported progress toward a compromise, with Oman proposing two separately controlled but open shipping lanes through Hormuz

An Iranian source said Tehran will keep holding fire as long as the US maintains its strike pause, now in its third day

Al Arabiya reported Iran and the US each answered a Pakistani-Qatari proposal to resume talks in Geneva, Doha or Islamabad

Iran said a Ukrainian strike on an Iranian commercial vessel in the Caspian Sea killed one sailor

Mojtaba Khamenei said in a written statement there is 'no path forward except jihad and resistance' against the US and Israel

Trump posted AI-generated images depicting a strike on Iran's Kharg Island oil terminal during the strike pause

A US think tank assessed that current US strikes have likely not changed Iran's aim to control Hormuz by force

Netanyahu told Fox News the war ends only with the Iranian government's fall or its abandonment of nuclear weapons work

Netanyahu will meet Trump at the White House on 28 July to discuss Iran, including possible military action

Brent crude fell about 7% to roughly $90 a barrel on 26 July after the US paused strikes

A Patriot battery operated by Greek personnel reportedly intercepted two Houthi missiles aimed at Saudi Arabia's Yanbu on 26 July

Iranian missiles and drones are increasingly evading US air defences through saturation tactics, the Wall Street Journal reported

Araghchi told the EU and Russia that Ukraine's Caspian strike on Iran-linked shipping 'cannot go unanswered'

CENTCOM's Adm. Brad Cooper judged Iran's Hormuz-campaign targets 'mostly exhausted', reported as the driver of the US strike pause

Kpler recorded one vessel transiting the Strait of Hormuz in the 24 hours to 25 July, down from a pre-war baseline near 120-140 a day

Iran transferred Issa Chari, sentenced to death on 25 July for alleged PMOI membership, to pre-execution solitary confinement

26 July 2026

20 developments

US strikes on Iran paused for a third night after Trump declined a prepared 14th-night strike plan

Iran's army said it halted retaliatory operations while the US strike pause holds

Iran said deputy-foreign-minister talks with Oman in Tehran on safe Hormuz transit made 'useful' progress

Iran and Oman advanced a Strait of Hormuz transit-toll plan estimated at up to $7bn a year

Iranian state media said an oil tanker exploded after striking a naval mine, having left Iran's designated Hormuz route

US paused its nightly strikes on Iran for a second consecutive night, with a Defense Department source describing operations as on hold

Oman-mediated talks on reopening the Strait of Hormuz showed progress but remained unresolved

A Ukrainian strike hit a commercial vessel Tehran describes as Iran-linked in the Caspian Sea, killing one sailor

Satellite thermal data confirmed fires at Saudi Aramco's Jizan refinery after 25 July Houthi strikes on Yanbu and Jizan

US Treasury reportedly designated about $100m in properties tied to new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei

Houthis fired missiles and drones at Saudi Aramco facilities at Yanbu and Jizan, with a fire reported at Jizan

CENTCOM said its naval blockade of Iran continued despite the strike pause: 12 vessels redirected, two disabled and two boarded

Trump said the US was 'locked and loaded and ready to go, but we're talking to them' on Iran, signalling no final decision on a wider strike

Vance and Caine reportedly raised concerns about widening the war at a Friday White House meeting as Trump weighed whether to escalate

Brent crude rose above $100 a barrel after the Aramco strikes before partially retracing

Zelenskyy said he would share intelligence alleging Russian satellite targeting support to Iran

Trump and Netanyahu will meet at the White House on 28 July, officially on Iran and security

US and UK planned a London conference to build a maritime coalition to reopen the Strait of Hormuz

Pakistan and Iran explored a China-initiated path back to US talks, conditioned on a halt to Gulf attacks

Daily Strait of Hormuz crossings fell 70%, from 45 to 13, with most traffic rerouting through Iran's corridor

25 July 2026

31 developments

US skips a 14th consecutive night of strikes on Iran, breaking a 13-night run of bombing

Houthis struck Saudi Aramco sites at Yanbu and Jizan with ballistic missiles, cruise missiles and drones

US intelligence assesses Iran's new supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei favours nuclear weapons more than his father

Brent crude fell about 4% on the talks-revival reports, retracing from a peak near $102 a barrel

CENTCOM completed a 13th consecutive night of strikes on Iran, with command centres and communications networks leading the published target list alongside air-defence, missile-storage and coastal-surveillance sites; CENTCOM said the Strait of Hormuz remains open under US escort.

Corroborated

A US missile strike near Ahvaz killed four and wounded five as the 13th-night wave hit sites across Khuzestan, with strikes also reported in Isfahan, Lorestan, Markazi and Hormozgan provinces.

Corroborated

US-led forces intercepted five explosive-laden drones over Erbil, northern Iraq, near a base hosting US forces; no casualties or damage were reported and attribution between Iranian forces and Iraqi militias is unresolved.

The US Navy disabled a second merchant vessel breaching the Iran port blockade, firing into the engine room of the M/T Lavine in the Gulf of Oman; the IMO reports about 6,000 mariners stranded on roughly 400 vessels around the Strait.

Trump said he was considering 'a massive attack, bigger than anything that has happened before' and was 'close to making a decision', framing the exit as either escalated strikes or a deal Iran 'isn't ready' for; two US officials said no decision had been made and no new orders issued.

Corroborated

Trump threatened via Truth Social to strike a bridge or power plant 'in the Capital City of Tehran' in response to any new Iranian attack on a Hormuz tanker, widening the declared target set to the capital.

WSJ reporting, relayed via an aggregator, said Trump has privately 'had it' with negotiations and is inclined to keep striking (primary WSJ source paywalled; relay only).

Iran rejected a US ceasefire proposal carried to Tehran by Iraqi PM Ali al-Zaidi, insisting on a settlement codifying its say over the Strait of Hormuz rather than a time-limited truce.

Corroborated

Pakistan and Iran explored a China-initiated push to restart US-Iran talks, with Iran's interior minister visiting Islamabad a second time in ten days; sourcing cautioned that obstacles to US engagement remain high.

The US and UK are planning a London summit next week to build a Western-Middle Eastern maritime coalition for the Strait of Hormuz, framed as part of a US exit strategy; date and itinerary are not finalised.

Corroborated

Iran addressed the UN Security Council, defending its strikes as lawful self-defence under Article 51 and accusing the US of unlawful attacks it said had killed over 50 Iranians (casualty figure is an Iranian government claim, not independently verified).

The Saudi-led coalition struck Houthi military targets in Hodeidah, including reported hits on telecommunications facilities, after a Houthi attack caused minor hull damage to the Saudi-flagged tanker NCC MASA; no casualties were reported.

Corroborated

A Houthi spokesman narrowed the Red Sea blockade to Saudi-flagged and Saudi-bound shipping, with analysts reporting enforcement selective by flag; Chinese-owned tankers reportedly passed while Saudi- and Western-linked operators faced warnings or attack.

Corroborated

Brent crossed $100 mid-week and peaked near $102 before settling 3.9% lower at $96.78 on Friday, its biggest one-day drop since late June, as traders weighed mediation signals; US retail petrol reached a $4.09 national average.

Corroborated

The war fed into global debt markets, with the 10-year US Treasury yield rising to 4.71% on 23 July, its highest since January 2025, as traders braced for higher Gulf sovereign borrowing.

Corroborated

US intelligence is formally investigating a reported Russian role in Iran's precision drone strikes on CIA facilities in the Gulf; a Western intelligence memo reportedly judged Russia 'likely' involved, which Russia denies, while Trump said Xi and Putin had assured him neither would arm Iran.

Corroborated

An opposition source reported Iran executed a protester, Mehdi Khanaki, on 23 July and that scattered protests continued amid water and electricity shortages from strike damage (Iranian opposition source, not independently verified).

Bahraini and Kuwaiti warplanes reportedly struck Iranian drone and missile depots, their first direct strikes on Iran

Iran launched drones and missiles at US bases in Bahrain, Jordan, Kuwait and Qatar

A US missile strike near Ahvaz killed four people and wounded five inside Iran

Bomb-laden drones targeted Erbil in Iraqi Kurdistan, with five intercepted near the airport and one crashing nearby

Iran rejected a US ceasefire proposal delivered to Tehran by the Iraqi prime minister

China and Pakistan pushed to revive stalled US-Iran talks as Iran's interior minister visited Islamabad

Iran struck US-linked bases in Kuwait, Jordan and Bahrain in its broadest retaliation of the week; the IRGC claimed hits on the Ali Al Salem and Udairi bases in Kuwait and Iran's army claimed drone strikes on Al-Azraq in Jordan (claimed effects are Iran-sourced).

Corroborated

The US House passed a second, non-binding war-powers resolution rebuking Trump on Iran 214-208 with four Republicans crossing over, while the Senate fell short 47-49 on a binding measure.

Corroborated

Hormuz war-risk insurance premiums climbed to a reported 7.5-10% of hull value, up from about 5% on 11 July, implying $3-10m in added cost on a $100m tanker.

Corroborated

A Qatar-Pakistan-Egypt 10-day truce proposal stalled on the same Hormuz-control impasse, with an envoy meeting Iran's leadership on 24 July but no agreed diplomatic text.

24 July 2026

9 developments

Trump says Gulf shipping-damage claims will be paid from frozen Iranian assets; Araghchi calls it an 'incendiary precedent'.

Iranian officials signal Iran would strike Tel Aviv and seek a Bab al-Mandab blockade if the US strikes Tehran.

Corroborated

Iran returns a ten-point counter-proposal tying any settlement to the Strait of Hormuz's legal status, which a US official calls 'maximalist'.

Southern Red Sea war-risk premiums roughly triple in three days, passing 1% of hull value.

Brent eases to about $100.40 a barrel, holding above $100.

Corroborated

US missile strike near Ahvaz kills four and wounds five on the 13th consecutive night of CENTCOM strikes.

Corroborated

Iraqi PM al-Zaidi's Tehran visit yields four cooperation agreements and a timetable for US troops to leave Iraq by end-September.

Corroborated

Trump conditions the new US-Saudi civil-nuclear pact on Saudi normalisation with Israel.

Corroborated

Hormuz daily tanker transits fall to 10 on 22 July from 16 the day before.

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